Los Angeles KingsLAK 2–3 Final Florida PanthersFLA

Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Los Angeles KingsLAK	1	0	1	2	29
Florida PanthersFLA	0	2	1	3	29

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
13:39	LAK	Joel Armia (8)PP Brandt Clarke (10), Alex Laferriere (8) · tip-in xG 0.11	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
2:14	FLA	Anton Lundell (11)PP Aaron Ekblad (10), Mackie Samoskevich (13) · tip-in xG 0.10	1–1 ▶
7:04	FLA	Carter Verhaeghe (11) Jeff Petry (7), Brad Marchand (17) · wrist xG 0.26	1–2 ▶
3rd Period
0:10	FLA	Sam Bennett (11) Brad Marchand (18) · deflected xG 0.11	1–3 ▶
4:48	LAK	Kevin Fiala (12) Unassisted · deflected xG 0.03	2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

LAK 67%Deserve to win33% FLA

LAK		FLA
3.19	Expected goals	2.55
2	Goals (no shootout)	3
2.44	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.47
66	Shot attempts	57
43	Unblocked attempts	40
29	Shots on goal	29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
19:10	LAK	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced FLA 1.20–0.19 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:10 to 19:10 of the 2nd; neither team scored
3rd Period
1:58	LAK	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · LAK takes the lead, 60–40% FLA had led since 9:57 of the 1st, by as much as 69%
14:00	FLA	Shortened bench	Shortened bench · 3 forwards sat Kunin, Gregor and Rodrigues: last shifts between 3:53 and 5:16 of the 3rd
16:00	LAK	No shift	No shift · Helenius, 12:55 on the bench No shift after 4:00 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (6:22) before that
17:43	LAK	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Forsberg, down 3–2 With 2:17 left

Shot map

LAK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Los Angeles Kings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
11	Anze Kopitar	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	21:05
9	Adrian Kempe	0	0	0	0	4	0.08	2	1	21:00
55	Quinton Byfield	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	0	2	18:38
22	Kevin Fiala	1	0	1	0	9	0.57	1	1	18:20
14	Alex Laferriere	0	1	1	0	8	0.29	5	0	17:19
90	Corey Perry	0	0	0	-1	3	0.38	0	1	15:02
62	Andrei Kuzmenko	0	0	0	-1	3	0.13	0	0	14:48
12	Trevor Moore	0	0	0	0	6	0.32	0	1	14:38
37	Warren Foegele	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	0	14:28
40	Joel Armia	1	0	1	0	3	0.21	0	0	10:39
15	Alex Turcotte	0	0	0	-1	6	0.76	0	1	09:29
79	Samuel Helenius	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	06:22
Defense
8	Drew Doughty	0	0	0	0	5	0.01	0	1	25:21
44	Mikey Anderson	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	2	0	19:21
92	Brandt Clarke	0	1	1	-2	2	0.04	0	4	18:24
6	Joel Edmundson	0	0	0	-2	5	0.07	1	0	17:17
2	Brian Dumoulin	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	3	2	16:38
5	Cody Ceci	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	0	0	16:35

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Anton Forsberg	29	3	26	.897	2.22	-0.78

Florida Panthers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Sam Reinhart	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	0	0	21:53
9	Sam Bennett	1	0	1	+1	8	0.89	2	2	20:30
27	Eetu Luostarinen	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	2	18:41
63	Brad Marchand	0	2	2	+1	7	0.21	1	1	18:26
15	Anton Lundell	1	0	1	0	4	0.21	1	0	17:20
23	Carter Verhaeghe	1	0	1	+1	6	0.53	2	1	17:09
11	Mackie Samoskevich	0	1	1	0	4	0.25	2	1	13:26
18	A.J. Greer	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	1	13:07
17	Evan Rodrigues	0	0	0	0	4	0.08	3	0	12:03
70	Jesper Boqvist	0	0	0	0	3	0.09	3	0	10:43
73	Noah Gregor	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	06:56
71	Luke Kunin	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	2	1	06:14
Defense
3	Seth Jones	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0	2	23:42
77	Niko Mikkola	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	2	1	21:33
5	Aaron Ekblad	0	1	1	0	2	0.01	1	1	21:30
42	Gustav Forsling	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	3	19:44
2	Jeff Petry	0	1	1	+1	5	0.03	2	2	15:54
26	Uvis Balinskis	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	3	14:23

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Daniil Tarasov	29	2	27	.931	3.19	+1.19

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Los Angeles Kings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
22 Kevin Fiala L	+1.92	+0.75	+0.37	+0.60	+0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	18:20
12 Trevor Moore L	+1.35	0.00	+0.21	+1.07	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	14:38
40 Joel Armia R	+1.25	+0.75	+0.13	+0.64	-0.30	0.00	+0.02	—	10:39
15 Alex Turcotte C	+1.06	0.00	+0.49	+0.47	0.00	+0.05	+0.05	—	9:29
2 Brian Dumoulin D	+0.99	0.00	+0.01	+0.87	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	16:38
55 Quinton Byfield R	+0.96	0.00	+0.12	+0.63	+0.15	-0.04	+0.10	—	18:38
44 Mikey Anderson D	+0.91	0.00	+0.05	+0.86	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:21
5 Cody Ceci D	+0.89	0.00	+0.01	+0.86	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	16:35
14 Alex Laferriere R	+0.84	+0.55	+0.19	+0.13	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:19
8 Drew Doughty D	+0.82	0.00	+0.01	+0.78	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	25:21
92 Brandt Clarke D	+0.34	+0.70	+0.02	-0.53	0.00	0.00	+0.14	—	18:24
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L	+0.17	0.00	+0.08	+0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:48
37 Warren Foegele L	+0.15	0.00	+0.02	0.00	+0.15	-0.01	-0.02	—	14:28
11 Anze Kopitar C	-0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.17	0.00	+0.08	+0.05	—	21:05
79 Samuel Helenius C	-0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	—	6:22
10 Corey Perry R	-0.17	0.00	+0.25	-0.43	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	15:02
9 Adrian Kempe R	-0.19	0.00	+0.05	-0.14	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	21:00
31 Anton Forsberg G	-0.78	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.78	57:43
6 Joel Edmundson D	-1.03	0.00	+0.05	-1.05	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:17

Florida Panthers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
63 Brad Marchand L	+2.21	+1.25	+0.14	+0.74	0.00	0.00	+0.09	—	18:26
23 Carter Verhaeghe C	+1.93	+0.75	+0.35	+0.80	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	17:09
9 Sam Bennett C	+1.62	+0.75	+0.58	+0.49	-0.30	0.00	+0.10	—	20:30
40 Daniil Tarasov G	+1.19	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.19	60:00
2 Jeff Petry D	+0.36	+0.70	+0.02	-0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	15:54
5 Aaron Ekblad D	+0.34	+0.70	+0.01	-0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	21:30
15 Anton Lundell C	+0.30	+0.75	+0.14	-0.34	-0.15	-0.04	-0.06	—	17:20
13 Sam Reinhart C	+0.11	0.00	+0.11	-0.16	+0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	21:53
3 Seth Jones D	+0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.11	+0.15	0.00	+0.06	—	23:42
26 Uvis Balinskis D	+0.06	0.00	+0.01	-0.41	+0.30	0.00	+0.17	—	14:23
42 Gustav Forsling D	-0.06	0.00	+0.01	-0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	19:44
27 Eetu Luostarinen C	-0.11	0.00	+0.02	-0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	18:41
77 Niko Mikkola D	-0.19	0.00	+0.01	-0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	21:33
71 Luke Kunin C	-0.32	0.00	+0.01	-0.41	0.00	+0.03	+0.05	—	6:14
11 Mackie Samoskevich R	-0.36	+0.55	+0.16	-1.10	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	13:26
17 Evan Rodrigues C	-0.42	0.00	+0.05	-0.45	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	12:03
18 Noah Gregor L	-0.52	0.00	0.00	-0.38	-0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	6:56
70 Jesper Boqvist C	-0.59	0.00	+0.06	-0.61	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	10:43
10 A.J. Greer L	-1.05	0.00	0.00	-1.10	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:07

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.