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Utah MammothUTA 4–1 Final Detroit Red WingsDET

Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Utah MammothUTA 022 4 28
Detroit Red WingsDET 001 1 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
1:44 UTA Clayton Keller (11) Nick Schmaltz (19), JJ Peterka (13) · wrist xG 0.34 1–0 ▶
14:17 UTA Jack McBain (4) Michael Carcone (7), Sean Durzi (5) · wrist xG 0.14 2–0 ▶
3rd Period
9:55 DET Emmitt Finnie (8)PP John Leonard (1) · snap xG 0.16 2–1 ▶
15:52 UTA Dylan Guenther (16) Unassisted · snap xG 0.53 3–1 ▶
16:23 UTA Kevin Stenlund (3) Clayton Keller (19), Mikhail Sergachev (19) · snap xG 0.15 4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 59%Deserve to win41% DET
UTADET
2.92Expected goals2.45
4Goals (no shootout)1
2.58Expected goals, 5 on 51.05
58Shot attempts59
40Unblocked attempts40
28Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
7:10 UTA Goalie Goalie · Vejmelka +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.08 xG, 23 shots on goal

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DET shoots
James van Riemsdyk: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:21) Ian Cole: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:41) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:48) Daniil But: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:26) Sean Durzi: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:51) John Leonard: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:28) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:36) Marco Kasper: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:43) James van Riemsdyk: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:55) Michael Rasmussen: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:09) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:00) Daniil But: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:18) Dylan Guenther: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:39) Alex DeBrincat: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 11:14) James van Riemsdyk: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:50) Moritz Seider: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:59) Dylan Larkin: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 12:21) Emmitt Finnie: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 12:35) Michael Carcone: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 14:18) Sean Durzi: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:53) Clayton Keller: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:11) Emmitt Finnie: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:19) Liam O'Brien: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 15:36) Andrew Copp: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 17:08) Andrew Copp: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:17) Andrew Copp: wrist, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:49) Elmer Soderblom: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:48) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:44) Michael Carcone: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:16) Sean Durzi: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:51) Alex DeBrincat: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:58) Emmitt Finnie: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 1:14) Nick Schmaltz: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:41) Marco Kasper: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:03) Michael Rasmussen: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:08) James van Riemsdyk: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 2:12) Moritz Seider: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:02) Dylan Larkin: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:14) Moritz Seider: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:59) Barrett Hayton: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:56) Michael Rasmussen: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:44) Clayton Keller: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:24) Sean Durzi: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:27) Barrett Hayton: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:35) Daniil But: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:54) Nate Schmidt: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:04) Kailer Yamamoto: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 9:12) Andrew Copp: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:08) Emmitt Finnie: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 11:17) Alex DeBrincat: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:27) Emmitt Finnie: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:28) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:39) Lawson Crouse: backhand, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:49) Sean Durzi: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:12) James van Riemsdyk: backhand, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:04) Nick DeSimone: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:42) Marco Kasper: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:23) Michael Carcone: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:31) Nick Schmaltz: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 1:12) Dylan Guenther: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:20) Jack McBain: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:52) Michael Carcone: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:33) James van Riemsdyk: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 7:10) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:33) James van Riemsdyk: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:52) John Marino: backhand, 137 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:15) Simon Edvinsson: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:31) Simon Edvinsson: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:56) Dylan Guenther: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:26) Barrett Hayton: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 15:49) Clayton Keller: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:14) James van Riemsdyk: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:43) Sean Durzi: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:05) Barrett Hayton: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:15) Daniil But: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:53) Clayton Keller: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.34 (P2 1:44) Jack McBain: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 14:17) Emmitt Finnie: GOAL, snap, 26 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 9:55) Dylan Guenther: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.53 (P3 15:52) Kevin Stenlund: GOAL, snap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 16:23)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
8 Nick Schmaltz 011 +2 30.13 0120:08
67 Lawson Crouse 000 +1 20.03 4017:51
11 Dylan Guenther 101 +1 50.71 0017:03
9 Clayton Keller 112 +2 50.64 0116:43
82 Kevin Stenlund 101 +1 20.15 0016:04
27 Barrett Hayton 000 +1 40.28 1115:46
22 Jack McBain 101 +1 40.17 4114:45
10 JJ Peterka 011 +1 10.00 0013:52
53 Michael Carcone 011 +1 50.26 1013:44
50 Daniil But 000 +1 60.12 1013:29
38 Liam O'Brien 000 0 20.14 3109:49
56 Kailer Yamamoto 000 0 10.12 2109:48
Defense
98 Mikhail Sergachev 011 +2 30.00 1422:32
6 John Marino 000 0 20.00 0321:29
88 Nate Schmidt 000 +1 10.01 1119:19
28 Ian Cole 000 +1 20.01 2219:01
5 Sean Durzi 011 +2 80.14 0118:10
57 Nick DeSimone 000 +2 20.02 1112:47
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Karel Vejmelka 28127 .964 2.45 +1.45

Detroit Red Wings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Dylan Larkin 000 -2 50.16 1021:58
23 Lucas Raymond 000 -2 10.00 0019:05
93 Alex DeBrincat 000 0 50.26 0018:44
18 Andrew Copp 000 0 40.26 0017:25
58 Emmitt Finnie 101 -2 60.73 1016:22
21 James van Riemsdyk 000 -1 90.51 0115:01
37 J.T. Compher 000 -1 10.00 0013:23
43 John Leonard 011 0 20.02 1112:08
27 Michael Rasmussen 000 0 40.18 0112:05
92 Marco Kasper 000 -2 40.09 1011:15
25 Elmer Soderblom 000 -1 10.01 1010:19
Defense
53 Moritz Seider 000 -2 80.11 2323:41
8 Ben Chiarot 000 -1 20.02 2121:59
77 Simon Edvinsson 000 -2 20.02 1219:59
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka 000 -1 30.08 1217:15
20 Albert Johansson 000 -1 10.00 0315:03
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker 000 -1 10.00 0114:40
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Cam Talbot 28424 .857 2.92 -1.08

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
9 Clayton Keller R +2.54 +1.45 +0.41 +0.82 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 16:43
11 Dylan Guenther R +2.37 +0.75 +0.46 +1.17 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 17:03
98 Mikhail Sergachev D +2.03 +0.55 0.00 +1.28 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 22:32
8 Nick Schmaltz C +1.72 +0.70 +0.08 +0.87 0.00 -0.01 +0.07 — 20:08
50 Sean Durzi D +1.55 +0.55 +0.09 +0.69 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 18:10
70 Karel Vejmelka G +1.45 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.45 59:57
82 Kevin Stenlund C +1.43 +0.75 +0.10 +0.50 0.00 +0.08 0.00 — 16:04
88 Nate Schmidt D +1.27 0.00 +0.01 +1.10 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 19:19
53 Michael Carcone L +1.19 +0.70 +0.17 +0.21 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 13:44
77 JJ Peterka R +1.06 +0.55 0.00 +0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:52
22 Jack McBain C +1.04 +0.75 +0.11 +0.16 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 14:45
67 Lawson Crouse L +1.03 0.00 +0.02 +1.17 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 17:51
57 Nick DeSimone D +0.98 0.00 +0.02 +0.91 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:47
27 Barrett Hayton C +0.84 0.00 +0.18 +0.96 -0.30 -0.05 +0.05 — 15:46
28 Ian Cole D +0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 19:01
19 Daniil But L +0.44 0.00 +0.08 +0.21 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:29
56 Kailer Yamamoto R +0.28 0.00 +0.08 +0.18 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 9:48
38 Liam O'Brien C +0.26 0.00 +0.09 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:49
6 John Marino D +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 21:29

Detroit Red Wings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
43 John Leonard L +0.61 +0.70 +0.01 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 12:08
27 Michael Rasmussen C +0.44 0.00 +0.11 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:05
21 James van Riemsdyk L +0.35 0.00 +0.33 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:01
18 Andrew Copp C -0.03 0.00 +0.17 -0.22 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 — 17:25
20 Albert Johansson D -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.19 — 15:03
93 Alex DeBrincat R -0.08 0.00 +0.17 -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:44
37 J.T. Compher L -0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.03 -0.15 +0.03 0.00 — 13:23
58 Emmitt Finnie C -0.14 +0.75 +0.48 -1.49 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 16:22
8 Ben Chiarot D -0.23 0.00 +0.01 -0.44 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 21:59
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:40
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D -0.37 0.00 +0.06 -0.46 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 17:15
29 Nate Danielson C -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:38
85 Elmer Soderblom L -0.64 0.00 +0.01 -0.46 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 10:19
92 Marco Kasper C -0.85 0.00 +0.06 -0.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:15
39 Cam Talbot G -1.08 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.08 60:00
71 Dylan Larkin C -1.28 0.00 +0.10 -1.51 +0.15 -0.04 +0.02 — 21:58
77 Simon Edvinsson D -1.43 0.00 +0.02 -1.39 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 19:59
53 Moritz Seider D -1.54 0.00 +0.07 -1.75 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 23:41
23 Lucas Raymond L -1.65 0.00 0.00 -1.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:05

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.