| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 33 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:50 | Connor Brown (8) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.19 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:49 | Pavel Dorofeyev (14)PP Mark Stone (19), Tomas Hertl (10) · snap xG 0.22 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Paul Cotter vs Carter Hart | Saved | ||
| Pavel Dorofeyev vs Jake Allen | Saved | ||
| Jesper Bratt vs Carter Hart | Goal | ||
| Mark Stone vs Jake Allen | Saved | ||
| Dougie Hamilton vs Carter Hart | Saved | ||
| Mitch Marner vs Jake Allen | Saved | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NJD | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | Expected goals | 4.33 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 3.21 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.29 |
| 68 | Shot attempts | 67 |
| 47 | Unblocked attempts | 55 |
| 33 | Shots on goal | 37 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:20 | NJD | Goalie | Goalie · Allen +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.00 xG, 24 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:09 | VGK | Goalie | Goalie · Hart +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.08 xG, 25 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.76 | 1 | 1 | 23:15 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.44 | 1 | 1 | 20:55 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.50 | 1 | 0 | 20:32 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.38 | 1 | 0 | 20:17 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 16:05 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.46 | 1 | 0 | 15:52 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 4 | 0 | 14:41 |
| 11 | Stefan Noesen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 12:19 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:07 |
| 83 | Juho Lammikko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:36 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 26:17 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 25:05 |
| 22 | Brett Pesce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.07 | 0 | 3 | 23:58 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.31 | 1 | 3 | 23:17 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 15:28 |
| 6 | Colton White | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 09:07 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | 37 | 1 | 36 | .973 | 4.33 | +3.33 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 61 | Mark Stone | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 23:38 |
| 16 | Pavel Dorofeyev | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.60 | 0 | 0 | 22:38 |
| 93 | Mitch Marner | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | 21:27 |
| 48 | Tomas Hertl | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 9 | 0.64 | 1 | 3 | 20:26 |
| 21 | Brett Howden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 18:15 |
| 49 | Ivan Barbashev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 3 | 16:59 |
| 19 | Reilly Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 16:08 |
| 42 | Braeden Bowman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 20 | Brandon Saad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.64 | 1 | 0 | 12:46 |
| 15 | Colton Sissons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 11:24 |
| 55 | Keegan Kolesar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 10:28 |
| 29 | Cole Reinhardt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 07:53 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 15 | Noah Hanifin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.16 | 2 | 1 | 26:07 |
| 6 | Kaedan Korczak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 2 | 21:17 |
| 3 | Brayden McNabb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 3 | 3 | 20:44 |
| 28 | Zach Whitecloud | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 18:52 |
| 17 | Ben Hutton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 16:13 |
| 5 | Jeremy Lauzon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 3 | 1 | 13:52 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart | 33 | 1 | 32 | .970 | 4.15 | +3.15 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Jake Allen G | +3.33 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +3.33 | 65:00 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | +1.56 | +0.75 | +0.33 | +0.50 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 20:32 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | +1.41 | 0.00 | +0.50 | +0.71 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 23:15 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | +1.40 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 15:52 |
| 18 Ondrej Palat L | +1.23 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:05 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | +1.21 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:55 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:28 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.85 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 20:17 |
| 45 Colton White D | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:07 |
| 22 Brett Pesce D | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:58 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 25:05 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.07 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 23:17 |
| 11 Stefan Noesen R | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.10 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 12:19 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 26:17 |
| 67 Xavier Parent C | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:21 |
| 36 Angus Crookshank C | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:01 |
| 14 Luke Glendening C | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 | — | 12:07 |
| 83 Juho Lammikko C | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.33 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:36 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.48 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:41 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79 Carter Hart G | +3.15 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +3.15 | 65:00 |
| 61 Mark Stone R | +1.73 | +0.70 | +0.49 | +0.26 | +0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:38 |
| 16 Pavel Dorofeyev R | +0.93 | +0.75 | +0.39 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:38 |
| 17 Ben Hutton D | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.61 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:13 |
| 48 Tomas Hertl C | +0.68 | +0.55 | +0.41 | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.15 | — | 20:26 |
| 93 Mitch Marner R | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.45 | -0.15 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 21:27 |
| 15 Noah Hanifin D | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 26:07 |
| 49 Ivan Barbashev L | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.17 | — | 16:59 |
| 42 Braeden Bowman R | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:46 |
| 19 Reilly Smith R | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 16:08 |
| 20 Brandon Saad L | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.42 | -0.68 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:46 |
| 23 Cole Reinhardt L | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.38 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 7:53 |
| 21 Brett Howden C | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 18:15 |
| 5 Jeremy Lauzon D | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:52 |
| 10 Colton Sissons C | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.42 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 11:24 |
| 6 Kaedan Korczak D | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:17 |
| 3 Brayden McNabb D | -0.86 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 20:44 |
| 55 Keegan Kolesar R | -0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:28 |
| 2 Zach Whitecloud D | -0.98 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.29 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 18:52 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.