hockeystats.io

Edmonton OilersEDM 3–1 Final Boston BruinsBOS

Thursday, December 18, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Edmonton OilersEDM 111 3 25
Boston BruinsBOS 100 1 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
13:38 EDM Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (8)PP Connor McDavid (37), Leon Draisaitl (31) · wrist xG 0.04 1–0 ▶
16:27 BOS Pavel Zacha (9)PP Elias Lindholm (17), Charlie McAvoy (16) · backhand xG 0.18 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
14:38 EDM Quinn Hutson (1) Max Jones (1) · backhand xG 0.38 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
1:41 EDM Connor McDavid (21)SH Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (19), Darnell Nurse (7) · backhand xG 0.47 3–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

EDM 64%Deserve to win36% BOS
EDMBOS
2.95Expected goals2.22
3Goals (no shootout)1
1.73Expected goals, 5 on 51.50
46Shot attempts58
34Unblocked attempts38
25Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
16:08 EDM Goalie change Goalie change · Pickard in for Jarry
16:08 of the 2nd; Jarry had allowed 1 goal on 13 shots (0.94 xG)

Shot map

EDM shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BOS shoots
Casey Mittelstadt: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:25) Casey Mittelstadt: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:45) Victor Soderstrom: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:49) Mark Kastelic: wrist, 105 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:59) Adam Henrique: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:12) Sean Kuraly: snap, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:53) Mattias Ekholm: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:03) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:13) Riley Stillman: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:14) Ty Emberson: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:19) Fraser Minten: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:22) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:08) Pavel Zacha: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:36) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:56) Mark Kastelic: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:50) Sean Kuraly: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:22) Leon Draisaitl: bat, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:04) Connor McDavid: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:05) Connor McDavid: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 1:58) Elias Lindholm: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:05) Morgan Geekie: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:11) Max Jones: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 4:15) Marat Khusnutdinov: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 5:01) David Pastrnak: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:03) Victor Soderstrom: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:06) Adam Henrique: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:06) Hampus Lindholm: wrist, 114 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:15) Victor Soderstrom: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:46) Evan Bouchard: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:43) Charlie McAvoy: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:14) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:59) Zach Hyman: deflected, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 14:01) Max Jones: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:35) Morgan Geekie: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:08) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:29) Michael Eyssimont: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 16:47) Evan Bouchard: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:37) Elias Lindholm: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:22) Victor Soderstrom: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:41) Hampus Lindholm: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:03) Fraser Minten: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:24) Morgan Geekie: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:11) Mason Lohrei: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 1:55) Hampus Lindholm: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:01) Casey Mittelstadt: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 2:07) Alex Steeves: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:07) Hampus Lindholm: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:28) Quinn Hutson: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:19) Max Jones: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 4:21) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:26) Nikita Zadorov: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:25) Leon Draisaitl: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:26) Nikita Zadorov: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:58) Charlie McAvoy: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 9:00) Leon Draisaitl: backhand, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:36) Leon Draisaitl: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 10:30) Zach Hyman: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:31) Zach Hyman: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 10:47) Zach Hyman: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 12:39) Marat Khusnutdinov: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:51) Zach Hyman: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:59) Adam Henrique: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 13:32) Riley Stillman: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:33) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: backhand, 104 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:01) Alex Steeves: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:42) Charlie McAvoy: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:00) Elias Lindholm: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:57) David Pastrnak: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:08) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: GOAL, wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:38) Pavel Zacha: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 16:27) Quinn Hutson: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.38 (P2 14:38) Connor McDavid: GOAL, backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.47 (P3 1:41)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Connor McDavid 112 +1 40.64 0022:56
29 Leon Draisaitl 011 +1 60.38 0022:50
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 112 +1 30.14 2022:05
18 Zach Hyman 000 0 80.66 2120:14
92 Vasily Podkolzin 000 0 10.03 3016:04
19 Adam Henrique 000 0 30.14 2415:07
13 Mattias Janmark 000 0 00.00 1013:17
22 Matt Savoie 000 0 00.00 0013:13
26 Andrew Mangiapane 000 0 00.00 0011:41
10 Trent Frederic 000 0 10.00 2111:40
Defense
2 Evan Bouchard 000 0 40.06 0125:09
14 Mattias Ekholm 000 +1 40.01 2122:33
25 Darnell Nurse 011 +1 20.02 1421:23
24 Spencer Stastney 000 +1 10.00 1219:09
49 Ty Emberson 000 +1 20.04 2214:31
61 Riley Stillman 000 0 20.06 1111:22
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Tristan Jarry 13112 .923 0.94 -0.06
Calvin Pickard 13013 1.000 1.28 +1.28

Boston Bruins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
88 David Pastrnak 000 -2 30.02 2222:07
39 Morgan Geekie 000 -2 70.17 2020:14
28 Elias Lindholm 011 -2 40.19 0019:33
18 Pavel Zacha 101 -1 20.25 1015:26
11 Casey Mittelstadt 000 0 30.32 0014:45
93 Fraser Minten 000 0 40.14 2013:47
92 Marat Khusnutdinov 000 0 20.27 0113:19
47 Mark Kastelic 000 0 20.01 3013:16
52 Sean Kuraly 000 0 20.01 1012:42
84 Tanner Jeannot 000 0 10.00 1112:26
21 Alex Steeves 000 0 30.06 4009:44
81 Michael Eyssimont 000 0 10.13 1009:32
Defense
27 Hampus Lindholm 000 0 70.16 0125:10
73 Charlie McAvoy 011 -2 30.28 2223:21
20 Andrew Peeke 000 0 30.00 1021:10
91 Nikita Zadorov 000 -1 20.08 2220:04
6 Mason Lohrei 000 0 40.09 0015:13
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jeremy Swayman 25322 .880 2.95 -0.05

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
97 Connor McDavid C +2.32 +1.45 +0.42 +0.17 +0.30 +0.02 -0.04 — 22:56
46 Max Jones L +1.87 +0.70 +0.21 +0.91 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 5:48
29 Leon Draisaitl C +1.71 +0.55 +0.25 +0.99 0.00 -0.07 0.00 — 22:50
23 Quinn Hutson R +1.60 +0.75 +0.29 +0.52 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 6:26
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C +1.47 +1.45 +0.09 -0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 22:05
30 Calvin Pickard G +1.28 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.28 23:52
18 Zach Hyman L +0.80 0.00 +0.43 +0.17 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 20:14
49 Ty Emberson D +0.75 0.00 +0.03 +0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 14:31
14 Mattias Ekholm D +0.73 0.00 +0.01 +0.52 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 22:33
61 Riley Stillman D +0.37 0.00 +0.04 +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:22
2 Evan Bouchard D +0.31 0.00 +0.04 +0.39 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 25:09
10 Trent Frederic C +0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.01 +0.15 +0.01 +0.05 — 11:40
35 Tristan Jarry G -0.06 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.06 36:08
25 Darnell Nurse D -0.14 +0.55 +0.01 -0.73 -0.15 0.00 +0.18 — 21:23
24 Spencer Stastney D -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:09
22 Matt Savoie C -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 13:13
88 Andrew Mangiapane L -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.20 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 11:41
19 Adam Henrique C -0.25 0.00 +0.09 -0.47 0.00 -0.01 +0.14 — 15:07
13 Mattias Janmark C -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.27 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:17
92 Vasily Podkolzin R -0.42 0.00 +0.02 -0.31 -0.15 +0.02 0.00 — 16:04

Boston Bruins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
18 Pavel Zacha C +0.79 +0.75 +0.16 -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:26
73 Charlie McAvoy D +0.51 +0.55 +0.18 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 23:21
27 Hampus Lindholm D +0.35 0.00 +0.10 +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 25:10
93 Fraser Minten C +0.33 0.00 +0.09 +0.11 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 13:47
28 Elias Lindholm C +0.26 +0.70 +0.12 -0.43 -0.15 +0.03 -0.02 — 19:33
11 Casey Mittelstadt C +0.12 0.00 +0.21 -0.08 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 14:45
84 Tanner Jeannot L +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:26
81 Michael Eyssimont C +0.08 0.00 +0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:32
92 Marat Khusnutdinov C +0.07 0.00 +0.18 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 13:19
29 Victor Soderstrom D +0.06 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 12:28
88 David Pastrnak R +0.04 0.00 +0.01 -0.18 +0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 22:07
21 Alex Steeves C +0.02 0.00 +0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 9:44
52 Sean Kuraly C +0.01 0.00 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 12:42
1 Jeremy Swayman G -0.05 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.05 58:35
47 Mark Kastelic C -0.06 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 -0.15 +0.05 0.00 — 13:16
6 Mason Lohrei D -0.16 0.00 +0.06 -0.07 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:13
91 Nikita Zadorov D -0.27 0.00 +0.05 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 20:04
26 Andrew Peeke D -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.17 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 21:10
39 Morgan Geekie C -0.38 0.00 +0.11 -0.40 0.00 -0.01 -0.08 — 20:14

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.