Thursday, December 18, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
MIN 60%Deserve to win 40% CBJ
MIN CBJ
4.38 Expected goals 2.44
5 Goals (no shootout) 2
2.76 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.01
59 Shot attempts 64
45 Unblocked attempts 42
28 Shots on goal 29
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
17:47
CBJ
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Greaves, down 3–2
With 2:13 left; MIN scored at 18:08 of the 3rd (4–2)
Shot map
MIN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → CBJ shoots
Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:35)
Ivan Provorov: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:15)
Brock Faber: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:40)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:19)
Kirill Marchenko: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:48)
Damon Severson: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:09)
Tyler Pitlick: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 6:14)
Nico Sturm: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:24)
Brock Faber: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:20)
Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:36)
Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:19)
Isac Lundeström: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:00)
Adam Fantilli: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:27)
Ryan Hartman: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:40)
Yakov Trenin: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 12:59)
Yakov Trenin: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:05)
Vladimir Tarasenko: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:30)
Matt Boldy: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:35)
Quinn Hughes: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:44)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:00)
Carson Lambos: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:32)
Ryan Hartman: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:59)
Quinn Hughes: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:15)
Matt Boldy: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:41)
Boone Jenner: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:14)
Dante Fabbro: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:49)
Zach Werenski: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:14)
Miles Wood: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:04)
Cole Sillinger: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:34)
Kirill Marchenko: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:15)
Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:20)
Damon Severson: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:34)
Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:56)
Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:39)
Dmitri Voronkov: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:40)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:46)
Zach Werenski: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:55)
Miles Wood: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:02)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:35)
Nicolas Aube-Kubel: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:51)
Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:33)
Adam Fantilli: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:51)
Ben Jones: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:31)
Ryan Hartman: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:08)
Yakov Trenin: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:42)
Cole Sillinger: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 16:28)
Miles Wood: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 16:41)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:53)
Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:57)
Miles Wood: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 17:02)
Dmitri Voronkov: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:09)
Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:17)
Vladimir Tarasenko: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:36)
Danila Yurov: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 18:45)
Brock Faber: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:12)
Matt Boldy: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 19:35)
Carson Lambos: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:13)
Damon Severson: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:29)
Ben Jones: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:57)
Tyler Pitlick: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:20)
Danila Yurov: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 4:57)
Matt Boldy: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:22)
Adam Fantilli: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 7:45)
Boone Jenner: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:40)
Matt Boldy: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:02)
Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:06)
Brock Faber: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:20)
Yakov Trenin: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:47)
Joel Eriksson Ek: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 11:48)
Tyler Pitlick: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:49)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:19)
Ryan Hartman: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:19)
Ryan Hartman: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:34)
Boone Jenner: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 17:30)
Boone Jenner: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:31)
Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:39)
Nico Sturm: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:19)
Adam Fantilli: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 18:36)
Isac Lundeström: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 19:10)
Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:25)
Zach Werenski: GOAL, slap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 15:20)
Ryan Hartman: GOAL, tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 13:30)
Vladimir Tarasenko: GOAL, wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 16:15)
Zach Werenski: GOAL, wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 17:39)
Joel Eriksson Ek: GOAL, tip-in, 3 ft, xG 0.61 (P3 11:50)
Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, wrist, 81 ft, xG 0.58 (P3 18:08)
Matt Boldy: GOAL, backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.82 (P3 18:46)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Minnesota Wild
Columbus Blue Jackets
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Jet Greaves
26 3 23
.885
2.98
-0.02
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Minnesota Wild
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
13 Yakov Trenin C
+3.18
+1.40
+0.15
+1.65
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
17:32
12 Matt Boldy L
+2.95
+2.00
+0.65
+0.21
0.00
-0.03
+0.12
—
21:25
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C
+1.86
+1.30
+0.47
+0.17
0.00
-0.06
-0.02
—
18:37
97 Kirill Kaprizov L
+1.67
+2.15
+0.42
-0.86
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
23:44
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R
+1.50
+0.75
+0.21
+0.54
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
15:33
22 Danila Yurov R
+1.39
+0.55
+0.16
+0.65
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
16:12
38 Ryan Hartman R
+1.36
+0.75
+0.26
+0.33
0.00
-0.03
+0.05
—
14:44
7 Brock Faber D
+1.04
+0.55
+0.13
+0.38
0.00
0.00
-0.01
—
30:57
71 Carson Lambos D
+0.64
0.00
+0.04
+0.59
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
10:16
55 David Jiricek D
+0.63
0.00
0.00
+0.55
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
9:04
30 Jesper Wallstedt G
+0.44
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.44
60:00
16 Nicolas Aube-Kubel R
+0.35
0.00
+0.06
+0.30
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
10:39
43 Quinn Hughes D
+0.31
0.00
+0.02
+0.26
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
32:02
17 Marcus Foligno L
+0.17
0.00
0.00
+0.13
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
14:32
26 Matt Kiersted D
+0.08
0.00
0.00
-0.06
0.00
0.00
+0.14
—
17:37
46 Jared Spurgeon D
+0.04
0.00
0.00
-0.07
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
18:56
39 Ben Jones C
-0.09
0.00
+0.02
-0.14
0.00
-0.02
+0.05
—
7:02
19 Tyler Pitlick C
-0.12
0.00
+0.18
-0.18
-0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
8:10
78 Nico Sturm C
-0.26
0.00
+0.07
-0.33
0.00
-0.02
+0.02
—
10:02
Columbus Blue Jackets
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
8 Zach Werenski D
+3.27
+1.50
+0.31
+1.37
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
28:30
3 Charlie Coyle C
+0.97
+0.70
0.00
+0.16
0.00
+0.06
+0.05
—
18:28
5 Denton Mateychuk D
+0.85
0.00
+0.06
+0.61
+0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
24:20
86 Kirill Marchenko R
+0.80
0.00
+0.14
+0.58
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
15:50
19 Adam Fantilli C
+0.78
0.00
+0.22
+0.52
0.00
+0.07
-0.04
—
18:00
10 Dmitri Voronkov L
+0.57
0.00
+0.10
+0.49
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:25
38 Boone Jenner C
+0.54
0.00
+0.23
+0.24
0.00
-0.01
+0.08
—
19:38
11 Miles Wood L
+0.27
0.00
+0.17
+0.03
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
16:05
4 Cole Sillinger C
+0.09
+0.55
+0.20
-0.65
0.00
+0.01
-0.02
—
17:14
73 Jet Greaves G
-0.02
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.02
59:21
23 Sean Monahan C
-0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.24
+0.15
+0.05
-0.02
—
16:30
59 Egor Chinakhov R
-0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.04
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:58
7 Brendan Smith D
-0.08
0.00
0.00
-0.09
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
10:24
91 Kent Johnson C
-0.47
0.00
0.00
-0.47
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
8:44
15 Dante Fabbro D
-0.53
0.00
+0.02
-0.59
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
14:57
78 Damon Severson D
-1.03
0.00
+0.04
-1.11
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
17:16
21 Isac Lundeström C
-1.40
0.00
+0.10
-1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:40
27 Zachary Aston-Reese L
-1.68
0.00
0.00
-1.59
-0.15
+0.01
+0.05
—
8:50
9 Ivan Provorov D
-1.81
0.00
+0.01
-1.82
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
23:13
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.