New York RangersNYR 2–1 Final/OT St. Louis BluesSTL

Thursday, December 18, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
New York RangersNYR 0101 2 31
St. Louis BluesSTL 1000 1 27

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
18:58 STL Jonatan Berggren (3) Dalibor Dvorsky (2) · wrist xG 0.03 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:02 NYR Gabe Perreault (1)PP Will Cuylle (10), Noah Laba (6) · deflected xG 0.10 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
2:21 NYR J.T. Miller (10) Vincent Trocheck (11), Vladislav Gavrikov (8) · wrist xG 0.06 2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYR 61%Deserve to win39% STL
NYRSTL
3.24Expected goals2.62
2Goals (no shootout)1
2.24Expected goals, 5 on 51.87
53Shot attempts56
44Unblocked attempts39
31Shots on goal27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
9:10 NYR xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced STL 1.64–0.11
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:00 to 13:00 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
6:40 STL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.44–0.11
In xG over 10 minutes, 17:10 of the 2nd to 7:10 of the 3rd; neither team scored
18:47 STL Goalie Goalie · Binnington +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.10 xG, 30 shots on goal
19:00 STL No shift No shift · Luff, 11:01 on the bench
No shift after 8:59 of the 3rd; 12 shifts (7:20) before that

Shot map

NYR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ STL shoots
Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 130 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:03) Conor Sheary: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 0:13) Conor Sheary: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:14) Scott Morrow: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:32) Pavel Buchnevich: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:39) Alexey Toropchenko: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:45) Vincent Trocheck: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 6:31) Alexey Toropchenko: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:25) Matthew Robertson: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:59) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:03) Will Cuylle: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:10) Will Borgen: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:12) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:33) Taylor Raddysh: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:34) Noah Laba: wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:03) Will Borgen: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:05) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:13) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:00) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:07) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 18:27) Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:47) Colton Parayko: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:58) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:14) Cam Fowler: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:58) Pius Suter: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 3:51) Sam Carrick: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 4:02) Sam Carrick: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 4:04) Alexis Lafrenière: deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 4:56) Scott Morrow: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:11) J.T. Miller: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:38) Sam Carrick: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:53) Sam Carrick: slap, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:26) Brennan Othmann: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 7:31) Alexis Lafrenière: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:27) Mika Zibanejad: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:09) Vincent Trocheck: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 9:24) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 9:44) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:03) Braden Schneider: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:26) Alexey Toropchenko: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:12) Robert Thomas: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 13:16) Scott Morrow: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:15) Robert Thomas: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:07) J.T. Miller: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:04) Colton Parayko: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 17:13) Justin Faulk: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:23) Cam Fowler: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:31) Pavel Buchnevich: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:09) Will Borgen: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:21) Jake Neighbours: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 18:50) Justin Faulk: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 19:02) Brayden Schenn: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 19:37) Pavel Buchnevich: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:22) Logan Mailloux: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:34) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:09) Philip Broberg: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:56) Pavel Buchnevich: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:36) Robert Thomas: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:51) Matt Rempe: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 5:45) Brennan Othmann: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:09) Alexey Toropchenko: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:21) Robert Thomas: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:32) Robert Thomas: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 6:40) Jonatan Berggren: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 6:55) Robert Thomas: bat, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:56) Colton Parayko: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:18) Will Borgen: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:17) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:21) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 12:28) Logan Mailloux: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:59) Cam Fowler: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:03) Justin Faulk: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:13) Vincent Trocheck: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:58) Robert Thomas: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:59) Carson Soucy: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:53) Vladislav Gavrikov: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:34) J.T. Miller: deflected, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 18:43) J.T. Miller: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.27 (P3 18:47) Conor Sheary: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:00) Justin Faulk: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 1:56) Jonatan Berggren: GOAL, wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:58) Gabe Perreault: GOAL, deflected, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:02) J.T. Miller: GOAL, wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 2:21)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
16 Vincent Trocheck 011 0 50.42 3122:49
93 Mika Zibanejad 000 0 60.35 1021:26
10 J.T. Miller 101 0 60.57 1120:57
13 Alexis Lafrenière 000 0 20.32 0219:17
50 Will Cuylle 011 0 10.01 2217:52
43 Conor Sheary 000 -1 40.37 0115:36
42 Noah Laba 011 0 10.00 2013:29
94 Gabe Perreault 101 0 30.13 0113:09
10 Sam Carrick 000 0 40.48 0111:41
14 Taylor Raddysh 000 0 10.01 2010:47
73 Matt Rempe 000 0 10.06 2008:02
Defense
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 011 0 30.08 1126:36
4 Braden Schneider 000 -1 10.02 3424:02
29 Matthew Robertson 000 0 20.02 2017:58
17 Will Borgen 000 0 40.08 1116:53
7 Carson Soucy 000 0 20.04 1116:09
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Igor Shesterkin 27126 .963 2.62 +1.62

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Robert Thomas 000 0 90.65 0121:03
89 Pavel Buchnevich 000 0 80.58 0020:44
22 Pius Suter 000 0 20.11 1017:23
29 Jonatan Berggren 101 +1 20.20 1017:04
10 Brayden Schenn 000 0 10.19 2116:48
63 Jake Neighbours 000 0 20.11 1016:32
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 011 0 10.00 2015:40
28 Otto Stenberg 000 0 00.00 2215:12
70 Oskar Sundqvist 000 0 00.00 0013:02
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 0 50.14 0112:57
21 Mathieu Joseph 000 0 10.00 2011:19
Defense
72 Justin Faulk 000 +1 80.25 0025:12
17 Cam Fowler 000 +1 40.11 0022:22
55 Colton Parayko 000 -1 40.16 1119:54
6 Philip Broberg 000 0 10.04 0119:53
75 Tyler Tucker 000 0 40.02 1016:11
23 Logan Mailloux 000 0 40.05 0014:32
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jordan Binnington 31229 .935 3.24 +1.24

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
31 Igor Shesterkin G +1.62 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.62 62:21
8 J.T. Miller C +1.47 +0.75 +0.37 +0.27 0.00 +0.01 +0.07 — 20:57
60 Scott Morrow D +1.29 0.00 +0.03 +1.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:06
16 Vincent Trocheck C +1.26 +0.70 +0.27 +0.27 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 22:49
39 Sam Carrick C +1.13 0.00 +0.31 +0.64 +0.15 -0.02 +0.05 — 11:41
29 Matthew Robertson D +0.79 0.00 +0.01 +0.82 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:58
94 Gabe Perreault R +0.76 +0.75 +0.08 -0.04 -0.08 0.00 +0.05 — 13:09
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D +0.70 +0.55 +0.05 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 26:36
50 Will Cuylle L +0.60 +0.70 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 17:52
78 Brennan Othmann L +0.55 0.00 +0.16 +0.49 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 7:14
73 Matt Rempe C +0.52 0.00 +0.04 +0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:02
42 Noah Laba C +0.51 +0.55 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:29
43 Conor Sheary L +0.33 0.00 +0.24 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:36
4 Braden Schneider D -0.03 0.00 +0.01 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 24:02
13 Alexis Lafrenière L -0.15 0.00 +0.21 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 19:17
93 Mika Zibanejad C -0.20 0.00 +0.23 -0.39 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 21:26
14 Taylor Raddysh R -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.36 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:47
17 Will Borgen D -0.62 0.00 +0.05 -0.62 -0.08 0.00 +0.03 — 16:53
24 Carson Soucy D -0.72 0.00 +0.03 -0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:09

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
29 Jonatan Berggren R +1.82 +0.75 +0.13 +0.83 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 17:04
18 Robert Thomas C +1.29 0.00 +0.42 +0.83 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 21:03
50 Jordan Binnington G +1.24 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.24 62:21
17 Cam Fowler D +1.11 0.00 +0.07 +0.93 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 22:22
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +1.05 0.00 +0.38 +0.82 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:44
22 Pius Suter C +0.37 0.00 +0.07 +0.27 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 17:23
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R +0.34 +0.70 0.00 -0.31 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 15:40
6 Philip Broberg D +0.18 0.00 +0.03 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 19:53
23 Logan Mailloux D +0.06 0.00 +0.04 +0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:32
71 Mathieu Joseph R -0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:19
70 Oskar Sundqvist C -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:02
63 Jake Neighbours L -0.22 0.00 +0.07 -0.36 +0.08 0.00 0.00 — 16:32
55 Colton Parayko D -0.25 0.00 +0.10 -0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:54
39 Matt Luff R -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:20
13 Alexey Toropchenko R -0.47 0.00 +0.09 -0.60 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 12:57
75 Tyler Tucker D -0.52 0.00 +0.01 -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:11
10 Brayden Schenn C -0.56 0.00 +0.12 -0.82 +0.08 +0.01 +0.05 — 16:48
72 Justin Faulk D -0.63 0.00 +0.16 -0.62 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 25:12
28 Otto Stenberg C -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.90 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 15:12

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.