| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | |
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 46 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:52 | Chandler Stephenson (8) Eeli Tolvanen (13), Frederick Gaudreau (4) · backhand xG 0.25 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 10:20 | Mikael Backlund (6) Rasmus Andersson (16), Joel Hanley (5) · deflected xG 0.19 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 17:16 | Kaapo Kakko (2)PP Ryker Evans (5), Jani Nyman (2) · tip-in xG 0.12 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:04 | Nazem Kadri (8)PP Rasmus Andersson (17), Morgan Frost (11) · slap xG 0.11 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 11:19 | Matt Coronato (11) Rasmus Andersson (18), Jonathan Huberdeau (12) · wrist xG 0.04 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 19:52 | Mikael Backlund (7)EN Nazem Kadri (23), Joel Farabee (9) · backhand xG 0.92 | 2–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SEA | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.09 | Expected goals | 3.57 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.93 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.49 |
| 42 | Shot attempts | 76 |
| 28 | Unblocked attempts | 57 |
| 23 | Shots on goal | 46 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:13 | CGY | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CGY takes the lead, 60–40%
SEA had led since 6:10 of the 1st, by as much as 65% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:39 | SEA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Daccord, down 3–2
With 2:21 left; CGY scored at 19:52 of the 3rd (2–4) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 19:37 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 18:00 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.04 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16:53 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 16:53 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.53 | 1 | 0 | 14:34 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 13:04 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 12:20 |
| 63 | Jacob Melanson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 7 | 0 | 09:39 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 3 | 0 | 09:17 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 4 | 2 | 22:06 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.22 | 1 | 1 | 21:59 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 21:36 |
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 8 | 0.16 | 0 | 2 | 21:33 |
| 28 | Josh Mahura | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 2 | 15:27 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:23 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 45 | 3 | 42 | .933 | 2.65 | -0.35 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 91 | Nazem Kadri | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 | 0.66 | 1 | 1 | 22:02 |
| 17 | Yegor Sharangovich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.30 | 2 | 0 | 20:58 |
| 10 | Jonathan Huberdeau | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 19:13 |
| 20 | Blake Coleman | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.27 | 3 | 1 | 18:21 |
| 86 | Joel Farabee | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 3 | 17:05 |
| 11 | Mikael Backlund | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 1.20 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 |
| 27 | Matt Coronato | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 16:27 |
| 16 | Morgan Frost | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 14:53 |
| 47 | Connor Zary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 14:24 |
| 43 | Adam Klapka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 11:17 |
| 94 | Ryan Lomberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 08:18 |
| 17 | John Beecher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 07:50 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 4 | Rasmus Andersson | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 | 0.29 | 0 | 1 | 25:11 |
| 52 | MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.12 | 3 | 3 | 23:11 |
| 7 | Kevin Bahl | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.06 | 3 | 1 | 21:56 |
| 37 | Yan Kuznetsov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 18:50 |
| 48 | Hunter Brzustewicz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 11:22 |
| 44 | Joel Hanley | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | 23 | 2 | 21 | .913 | 2.09 | +0.09 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 Ben Meyers C | +1.24 | 0.00 | +0.34 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 14:34 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | +0.85 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.19 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:11 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | +0.82 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.09 | -0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 16:53 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | +0.76 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.19 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:18 |
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | +0.66 | +0.75 | +0.11 | -0.23 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.04 | — | 12:20 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.46 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 9:17 |
| 63 Jacob Melanson R | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 9:39 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 22:06 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:59 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | +0.35 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.25 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:23 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.24 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 21:33 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:36 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 19:37 |
| 28 Josh Mahura D | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:27 |
| 38 Jani Nyman R | -0.02 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:55 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 18:00 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:53 |
| 35 Joey Daccord G | -0.20 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.15 | — | — | -0.35 | 57:47 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.25 | 0.00 | -0.07 | -0.02 | — | 13:04 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mikael Backlund C | +2.72 | +1.50 | +0.78 | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 16:34 |
| 4 Rasmus Andersson D | +2.70 | +2.10 | +0.19 | +0.21 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 25:11 |
| 91 Nazem Kadri C | +1.88 | +1.45 | +0.43 | -0.39 | +0.30 | +0.06 | +0.03 | — | 22:02 |
| 44 Joel Hanley D | +1.21 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:40 |
| 10 Jonathan Huberdeau L | +0.82 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.28 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 19:13 |
| 27 Matt Coronato R | +0.55 | +0.75 | +0.07 | -0.31 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:27 |
| 16 Morgan Frost C | +0.52 | +0.55 | +0.13 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:53 |
| 86 Joel Farabee L | +0.51 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.21 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.17 | — | 17:05 |
| 20 Blake Coleman L | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:21 |
| 48 Hunter Brzustewicz D | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 11:22 |
| 32 Dustin Wolf G | +0.09 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.09 | 59:54 |
| 17 Yegor Sharangovich C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:58 |
| 43 Adam Klapka R | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:17 |
| 70 Ryan Lomberg L | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:18 |
| 47 Connor Zary C | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 14:24 |
| 18 John Beecher C | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 7:50 |
| 7 Kevin Bahl D | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:56 |
| 52 MacKenzie Weegar D | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:11 |
| 37 Yan Kuznetsov D | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:50 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.