| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 30 | |
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 37 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:25 | Roope Hintz (10) Mikko Rantanen (31), Esa Lindell (9) · wrist xG 0.18 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 17:38 | Wyatt Johnston (18) Miro Heiskanen (23), Esa Lindell (10) · wrist xG 0.13 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:43 | Shakir Mukhamadullin (2) Ty Dellandrea (9) · slap xG 0.04 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 8:40 | Wyatt Johnston (19)PP Mikko Rantanen (32), Roope Hintz (18) · wrist xG 0.14 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 16:44 | Collin Graf (7) Macklin Celebrini (34) · wrist xG 0.03 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 19:17 | Justin Hryckowian (4) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.04 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:32 | Collin Graf (8) Igor Chernyshov (2), Macklin Celebrini (35) · wrist xG 0.18 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 18:42 | Jamie Benn (5)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.46 | 5–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| DAL | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | Expected goals | 3.48 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.14 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.37 |
| 53 | Shot attempts | 70 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 49 |
| 30 | Shots on goal | 37 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:17 | SJS | Goalie | Goalie · Nedeljkovic −2.2 goals saved
4 goals on 1.82 xG, 19 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:36 | SJS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Nedeljkovic, down 4–3
With 2:24 left; DAL scored at 18:42 of the 3rd (5–3) |
| 19:10 | SJS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Nedeljkovic, down 5–3
With 0:50 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 53 | Wyatt Johnston | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.32 | 1 | 1 | 18:43 |
| 96 | Mikko Rantanen | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 17:43 |
| 95 | Matt Duchene | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.32 | 1 | 0 | 16:02 |
| 21 | Jason Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 8 | 0.25 | 2 | 1 | 15:43 |
| 10 | Oskar Bäck | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 2 | 15:34 |
| 24 | Roope Hintz | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 14:35 |
| 22 | Mavrik Bourque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 14:30 |
| 49 | Justin Hryckowian | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 1 | 14:07 |
| 14 | Jamie Benn | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.72 | 1 | 0 | 13:44 |
| 12 | Radek Faksa | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 11:57 |
| 18 | Sam Steel | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:09 |
| 15 | Colin Blackwell | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 10:41 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 23 | Esa Lindell | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 25:46 |
| 4 | Miro Heiskanen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 3 | 23:48 |
| 55 | Thomas Harley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 22:00 |
| 5 | Nils Lundkvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.06 | 0 | 3 | 17:54 |
| 46 | Ilya Lyubushkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 5 | 15:58 |
| 36 | Alexander Petrovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.08 | 3 | 0 | 14:06 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | 37 | 3 | 34 | .919 | 3.48 | +0.48 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0.51 | 1 | 0 | 24:04 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.36 | 0 | 1 | 20:59 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 8 | 0.51 | 0 | 0 | 20:31 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 | 19:29 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 18:49 |
| 92 | Igor Chernyshov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.71 | 0 | 1 | 18:39 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.09 | 5 | 0 | 13:31 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 12:46 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 09:56 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 08:52 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 5 | 0 | 07:36 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | John Klingberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 10 | 0.22 | 0 | 2 | 26:54 |
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 23:40 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 20:46 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.10 | 3 | 1 | 17:31 |
| 6 | Vincent Iorio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 14:02 |
| 85 | Shakir Mukhamadullin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 11:53 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | 29 | 4 | 25 | .862 | 2.29 | -1.71 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Mikko Rantanen R | +2.08 | +1.40 | +0.08 | +0.76 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 17:43 |
| 53 Wyatt Johnston C | +2.01 | +1.50 | +0.21 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:43 |
| 23 Esa Lindell D | +1.71 | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 25:46 |
| 24 Roope Hintz C | +1.41 | +1.30 | +0.19 | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:35 |
| 4 Miro Heiskanen D | +1.32 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:48 |
| 95 Matt Duchene C | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:02 |
| 49 Justin Hryckowian C | +0.85 | +0.75 | +0.03 | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 14:07 |
| 14 Jamie Benn L | +0.62 | +0.75 | +0.47 | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:44 |
| 29 Jake Oettinger G | +0.48 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.48 | 60:00 |
| 10 Oskar Bäck C | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:34 |
| 22 Mavrik Bourque C | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:30 |
| 5 Nils Lundkvist D | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 17:54 |
| 12 Radek Faksa C | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 11:57 |
| 28 Alexander Petrovic D | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:06 |
| 55 Thomas Harley D | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:00 |
| 46 Ilya Lyubushkin D | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.25 | — | 15:58 |
| 21 Jason Robertson L | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 15:43 |
| 15 Colin Blackwell C | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.68 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 10:41 |
| 18 Sam Steel C | -1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.71 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:09 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 Collin Graf R | +2.98 | +1.50 | +0.31 | +1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:29 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +2.85 | +1.25 | +0.33 | +1.32 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 24:04 |
| 92 Igor Chernyshov L | +2.01 | +0.70 | +0.46 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:39 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | +1.11 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:46 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 23:40 |
| 85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D | +0.39 | +0.75 | +0.03 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 11:53 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | +0.25 | +0.70 | +0.06 | -0.45 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 13:31 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.20 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 20:59 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 7:36 |
| 72 William Eklund L | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.33 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:31 |
| 22 Vincent Iorio D | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:02 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:31 |
| 56 Ethan Cardwell R | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 11:22 |
| 63 Zack Ostapchuk C | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | +0.15 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 9:56 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.26 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:46 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:52 |
| 3 John Klingberg D | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 26:54 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 18:49 |
| 33 Alex Nedeljkovic G | -1.71 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.71 | 58:04 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.