| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 29 |
 |
0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 41 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:53 | |
Jordan Staal (10) Eric Robinson (3), Shayne Gostisbehere (22) · backhand xG 0.03 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:27 | |
Sebastian Aho (12) Andrei Svechnikov (14), Seth Jarvis (9) · wrist xG 0.12 | 2–0 ▶ |
| 7:34 | |
Sebastian Aho (13)PP Andrei Svechnikov (15), Seth Jarvis (10) · snap xG 0.39 | 3–0 ▶ |
| 10:16 | |
Brad Marchand (20) Sam Bennett (12), Carter Verhaeghe (17) · wrist xG 0.28 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 17:35 | |
Sam Bennett (12) Evan Rodrigues (9), Sam Reinhart (16) · bat xG 0.28 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 19:18 | |
Sam Reinhart (18) Brad Marchand (19), Evan Rodrigues (10) · wrist xG 0.16 | 3–3 ▶ |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
|
Anton Lundell vs Brandon Bussi | Saved | |
|
Sebastian Aho vs Sergei Bobrovsky | Saved | |
|
Sam Reinhart vs Brandon Bussi | Goal | |
|
Andrei Svechnikov vs Sergei Bobrovsky | Missed | |
|
Brad Marchand vs Brandon Bussi | Missed | |
|
Jackson Blake vs Sergei Bobrovsky | Goal | |
|
Evan Rodrigues vs Brandon Bussi | Goal | |
|
Nikolaj Ehlers vs Sergei Bobrovsky | Saved | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CAR | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | Expected goals | 3.96 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.31 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.57 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 73 |
| 45 | Unblocked attempts | 55 |
| 29 | Shots on goal | 41 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:35 | CAR | Goalie | Goalie · Bussi +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.10 xG, 25 shots on goal |
| 15:23 | FLA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Bobrovsky, down 3–1
With 4:37 left; FLA scored at 17:35 of the 3rd (3–2) |
| 17:40 | FLA | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CAR 1.46–0.13
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:20 to 19:20 of the 3rd; goals 3–0 |
| 17:51 | FLA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Bobrovsky, down 3–2
With 2:09 left; FLA scored at 19:18 of the 3rd (3–3) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 20 | Sebastian Aho | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1.30 | 1 | 0 | 23:40 |
| 24 | Seth Jarvis | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 7 | 0.58 | 1 | 1 | 20:59 |
| 37 | Andrei Svechnikov | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 0.21 | 7 | 0 | 20:54 |
| 53 | Jackson Blake | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 18:12 |
| 11 | Jordan Staal | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.14 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 |
| 27 | Nikolaj Ehlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 16:46 |
| 22 | Logan Stankoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 13:53 |
| 50 | Eric Robinson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:51 |
| 71 | Taylor Hall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 12:21 |
| 82 | Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 10:32 |
| 77 | Mark Jankowski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.42 | 1 | 0 | 10:05 |
| 28 | William Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 09:03 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 4 | Shayne Gostisbehere | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 22:16 |
| 5 | Jalen Chatfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 21:34 |
| 26 | Sean Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.22 | 6 | 2 | 21:15 |
| 19 | K'Andre Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 |
| 74 | Jaccob Slavin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 18:36 |
| 21 | Alexander Nikishin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 17:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bussi | 41 | 3 | 38 | .927 | 3.96 | +0.96 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 63 | Brad Marchand | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 0.66 | 1 | 0 | 23:46 |
| 9 | Sam Bennett | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 14 | 1.01 | 3 | 1 | 23:24 |
| 13 | Sam Reinhart | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 0.46 | 2 | 0 | 22:51 |
| 17 | Evan Rodrigues | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 9 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 19:47 |
| 23 | Carter Verhaeghe | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 19:39 |
| 15 | Anton Lundell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.30 | 1 | 2 | 17:49 |
| 18 | A.J. Greer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.32 | 3 | 0 | 14:51 |
| 11 | Mackie Samoskevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 |
| 27 | Eetu Luostarinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 4 | 0 | 14:04 |
| 70 | Jesper Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 08:32 |
| 71 | Luke Kunin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 07:10 |
| 73 | Noah Gregor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 06:44 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Seth Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 30:47 |
| 77 | Niko Mikkola | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 |
| 5 | Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.23 | 0 | 2 | 20:34 |
| 42 | Gustav Forsling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 20:24 |
| 2 | Jeff Petry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 11:44 |
| 26 | Uvis Balinskis | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 11:37 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | 29 | 3 | 26 | .897 | 2.75 | -0.25 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sebastian Aho C | +2.53 | +1.50 | +0.85 | +0.23 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 23:40 |
| 24 Seth Jarvis C | +1.21 | +1.10 | +0.38 | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 20:59 |
| 37 Andrei Svechnikov R | +1.11 | +1.40 | +0.13 | -0.25 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:54 |
| 32 Brandon Bussi G | +0.96 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.96 | 65:00 |
| 11 Jordan Staal C | +0.55 | +0.75 | +0.09 | -0.42 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.13 | — | 17:12 |
| 50 Eric Robinson L | +0.54 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 12:51 |
| 4 Shayne Gostisbehere D | +0.51 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:16 |
| 77 Mark Jankowski L | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +0.12 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 10:05 |
| 74 Jaccob Slavin D | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:36 |
| 82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi C | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:32 |
| 26 Sean Walker D | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 21:15 |
| 27 Nikolaj Ehlers L | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.37 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 16:46 |
| 28 William Carrier L | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 9:03 |
| 71 Taylor Hall L | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 12:21 |
| 21 Alexander Nikishin D | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:40 |
| 53 Jackson Blake R | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:12 |
| 5 Jalen Chatfield D | -0.65 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 21:34 |
| 22 Logan Stankoven C | -1.16 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -1.16 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 13:53 |
| 19 K'Andre Miller D | -1.39 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 21:11 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sam Bennett C | +2.83 | +1.45 | +0.66 | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 23:24 |
| 63 Brad Marchand L | +2.44 | +1.45 | +0.43 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:46 |
| 17 Evan Rodrigues C | +1.98 | +1.25 | +0.09 | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.04 | — | 19:47 |
| 11 Mackie Samoskevich R | +1.56 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +1.14 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:44 |
| 13 Sam Reinhart C | +1.37 | +1.30 | +0.30 | -0.38 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:51 |
| 5 Aaron Ekblad D | +1.14 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 20:34 |
| 23 Carter Verhaeghe C | +1.10 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:39 |
| 10 A.J. Greer L | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:51 |
| 42 Gustav Forsling D | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:24 |
| 77 Niko Mikkola D | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:13 |
| 2 Jeff Petry D | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 11:44 |
| 26 Uvis Balinskis D | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 11:37 |
| 15 Anton Lundell C | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.07 | -0.15 | +0.03 | +0.08 | — | 17:49 |
| 3 Seth Jones D | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 30:47 |
| 70 Jesper Boqvist C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 8:32 |
| 18 Noah Gregor L | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:44 |
| 71 Luke Kunin C | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 7:10 |
| 72 Sergei Bobrovsky G | -0.25 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.25 | 61:21 |
| 27 Eetu Luostarinen C | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:04 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.