| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 31 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:57 | David Kampf (1) Jake DeBrusk (7) · wrist xG 0.11 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 10:35 | Kiefer Sherwood (14) Evander Kane (11), Marcus Pettersson (5) · wrist xG 0.07 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 15:47 | Kiefer Sherwood (15)PP Filip Hronek (16), Tom Willander (8) · snap xG 0.20 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 14:55 | Anders Lee (9) Calum Ritchie (4), Mathew Barzal (18) · wrist xG 0.13 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 18:39 | Kiefer Sherwood (16)EN Filip Hronek (17) · wrist xG 0.53 | 4–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| VAN | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.44 | Expected goals | 2.41 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 2.00 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.17 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 38 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 24 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:02 | VAN | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · VAN takes the lead, 61–39%
NYI had led since 5:09 of the 1st, by as much as 62% |
| 15:47 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Sorokin −2.0 goals saved
3 goals on 0.95 xG, 9 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 14:08 | NYI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 3–0
With 5:52 left; NYI scored at 14:55 of the 3rd (3–1) |
| 15:49 | NYI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 3–1
With 4:11 left; VAN scored at 18:39 of the 3rd (4–1) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 83 | Conor Garland | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 20:14 |
| 6 | Brock Boeser | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.41 | 0 | 3 | 19:42 |
| 23 | Marco Rossi | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.51 | 0 | 2 | 19:07 |
| 64 | David Kampf | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 |
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 |
| 44 | Kiefer Sherwood | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 0.80 | 2 | 0 | 15:13 |
| 91 | Evander Kane | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.41 | 1 | 0 | 14:38 |
| 18 | Drew O'Connor | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 |
| 21 | Nils Hoglander | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:13 |
| 63 | Max Sasson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 10:05 |
| 92 | Liam Ohgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.22 | 3 | 0 | 08:53 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 26 | Marcus Pettersson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.05 | 0 | 3 | 25:21 |
| 17 | Filip Hronek | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 24:11 |
| 57 | Tyler Myers | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 21:22 |
| 8 | Zeev Buium | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 18:13 |
| 5 | Tom Willander | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 14:02 |
| 25 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | 24 | 1 | 23 | .958 | 2.41 | +1.41 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 23:01 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.15 | 4 | 0 | 20:39 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.46 | 2 | 0 | 18:08 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 16:06 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 15:52 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 14:27 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 11:27 |
| 17 | Marc Gatcomb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.42 | 5 | 0 | 11:12 |
| 49 | Maxim Shabanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:04 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 09:51 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 21:37 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 20:39 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.27 | 0 | 2 | 20:09 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 19:38 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 19:37 |
| 34 | Adam Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 12:31 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 30 | 3 | 27 | .900 | 2.50 | -0.50 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Kiefer Sherwood L | +3.00 | +2.25 | +0.52 | +0.37 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 15:13 |
| 91 Evander Kane L | +2.23 | +0.70 | +0.27 | +1.15 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:38 |
| 17 Filip Hronek D | +1.88 | +1.40 | +0.01 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 24:11 |
| 35 Thatcher Demko G | +1.41 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.41 | 60:00 |
| 29 Marcus Pettersson D | +1.33 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.45 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 25:21 |
| 64 David Kampf C | +1.01 | +0.75 | +0.07 | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.02 | — | 16:37 |
| 57 Tyler Myers D | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 21:22 |
| 5 Tom Willander D | +0.87 | +0.55 | +0.06 | +0.42 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 14:02 |
| 24 Zeev Buium D | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:13 |
| 93 Marco Rossi C | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.33 | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 19:07 |
| 94 Linus Karlsson C | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.56 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 11:21 |
| 6 Brock Boeser R | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.13 | — | 19:42 |
| 74 Jake DeBrusk L | +0.59 | +0.70 | +0.06 | -0.16 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:02 |
| 18 Drew O'Connor L | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.47 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 13:40 |
| 92 Liam Ohgren L | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 8:53 |
| 8 Conor Garland R | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 20:14 |
| 63 Max Sasson C | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 10:05 |
| 21 Nils Hoglander L | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:13 |
| 25 Elias Pettersson D | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 13:10 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | +1.05 | +0.70 | +0.21 | +0.19 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 11:27 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +0.87 | +0.75 | +0.30 | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:08 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +0.49 | +0.55 | +0.08 | -0.37 | +0.30 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 23:01 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 20:09 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 19:37 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 16:06 |
| 49 Max Shabanov R | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:04 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:40 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 9:51 |
| 16 Marc Gatcomb C | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.40 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:12 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:39 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:15 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:39 |
| 34 Adam Boqvist D | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:31 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | -0.50 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.50 | 56:21 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:52 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 14:27 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:38 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | -1.04 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -1.03 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 21:37 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.