| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 25 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:37 | Oskar Bäck (3)SH Radek Faksa (12) · snap xG 0.24 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 3:32 | Ryan Poehling (2) Radko Gudas (6), Ross Johnston (7) · snap xG 0.34 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 4:42 | Roope Hintz (11) Jason Robertson (21), Mavrik Bourque (7) · snap xG 0.13 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 12:41 | Sam Steel (5) Jamie Benn (6), Miro Heiskanen (24) · wrist xG 0.22 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 14:19 | Thomas Harley (2) Mikko Rantanen (33) · snap xG 0.13 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 11:10 | Jason Robertson (21)PP Mikko Rantanen (34), Miro Heiskanen (25) · wrist xG 0.16 | 5–1 ▶ | |
| 15:10 | Jason Robertson (22) Roope Hintz (19) · backhand xG 0.13 | 6–1 ▶ | |
| 18:30 | Adam Erne (3) Radek Faksa (13), Thomas Harley (11) · wrist xG 0.17 | 7–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:01 | Beckett Sennecke (11) Mason McTavish (14), Chris Kreider (9) · snap xG 0.05 | 7–2 ▶ | |
| 1:42 | Ilya Lyubushkin (1) Justin Hryckowian (6), Esa Lindell (11) · snap xG 0.02 | 8–2 ▶ | |
| 14:22 | Mikael Granlund (5) Jackson LaCombe (15), Troy Terry (25) · snap xG 0.09 | 8–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| DAL | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.08 | Expected goals | 2.52 |
| 8 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.15 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.12 |
| 46 | Shot attempts | 64 |
| 32 | Unblocked attempts | 41 |
| 25 | Shots on goal | 25 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:41 | ANA | Goalie | Goalie · Dostal −2.2 goals saved
3 goals on 0.77 xG, 5 shots on goal |
| 14:19 | ANA | Goalie change | Goalie change · Mrazek in for Dostal
14:19 of the 1st; Dostal had allowed 4 goals on 7 shots (1.09 xG) |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 18:30 | ANA | Goalie | Goalie · Mrazek −2.2 goals saved
3 goals on 0.81 xG, 8 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 53 | Wyatt Johnston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 16:43 |
| 96 | Mikko Rantanen | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 16:03 |
| 18 | Sam Steel | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 |
| 10 | Oskar Bäck | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 |
| 22 | Mavrik Bourque | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 |
| 21 | Jason Robertson | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 0.64 | 0 | 1 | 15:18 |
| 24 | Roope Hintz | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 15:18 |
| 95 | Matt Duchene | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 14:24 |
| 49 | Justin Hryckowian | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 14:19 |
| 12 | Radek Faksa | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 3 | 13:52 |
| 14 | Jamie Benn | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 12:49 |
| 73 | Adam Erne | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.55 | 3 | 0 | 11:25 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 23 | Esa Lindell | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 4 | 23:12 |
| 4 | Miro Heiskanen | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 22:05 |
| 55 | Thomas Harley | 1 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 5 | 0.24 | 0 | 3 | 21:09 |
| 46 | Ilya Lyubushkin | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 17:50 |
| 5 | Nils Lundkvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 3 | 16:43 |
| 36 | Alexander Petrovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 16:00 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith | 25 | 3 | 22 | .880 | 2.52 | -0.48 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Chris Kreider | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 8 | 0.40 | 0 | 1 | 18:28 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 16:43 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 16:41 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 16:12 |
| 25 | Ryan Poehling | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.44 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 |
| 91 | Leo Carlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 16:03 |
| 83 | Mason McTavish | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 5 | 0.14 | 3 | 0 | 16:01 |
| 19 | Troy Terry | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 13:57 |
| 64 | Mikael Granlund | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 13:57 |
| 22 | Ryan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 13:26 |
| 49 | Ross Johnston | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.14 | 4 | 0 | 12:44 |
| 77 | Frank Vatrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Radko Gudas | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.06 | 5 | 0 | 21:01 |
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 19:51 |
| 14 | Drew Helleson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 18:47 |
| 3 | Ian Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 18:32 |
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 18:06 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 17:43 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | 7 | 4 | 3 | .429 | 1.09 | -2.91 |
| Petr Mrazek | 18 | 4 | 14 | .778 | 1.99 | -2.01 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jason Robertson L | +3.26 | +2.20 | +0.42 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:18 |
| 55 Thomas Harley D | +2.74 | +1.30 | +0.16 | +1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 21:09 |
| 12 Radek Faksa C | +2.01 | +1.40 | +0.08 | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.13 | — | 13:52 |
| 24 Roope Hintz C | +1.99 | +1.45 | +0.22 | +0.33 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:18 |
| 73 Adam Erne L | +1.54 | +0.75 | +0.36 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:25 |
| 10 Oskar Bäck C | +1.36 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.48 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:33 |
| 4 Miro Heiskanen D | +1.33 | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:05 |
| 23 Esa Lindell D | +1.25 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 23:12 |
| 18 Sam Steel C | +1.16 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:51 |
| 22 Mavrik Bourque C | +1.07 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:26 |
| 96 Mikko Rantanen R | +1.04 | +1.40 | +0.13 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 16:03 |
| 49 Justin Hryckowian C | +0.92 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.20 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 14:19 |
| 14 Jamie Benn L | +0.77 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.07 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:49 |
| 5 Nils Lundkvist D | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 16:43 |
| 46 Ilya Lyubushkin D | +0.20 | +0.75 | +0.02 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 17:50 |
| 53 Wyatt Johnston C | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.53 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:43 |
| 1 Casey DeSmith G | -0.48 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.48 | 60:00 |
| 95 Matt Duchene C | -0.64 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.83 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.07 | — | 14:24 |
| 28 Alexander Petrovic D | -1.03 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.98 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Ryan Poehling C | +1.43 | +0.75 | +0.29 | +0.12 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.13 | — | 16:10 |
| 7 Radko Gudas D | +1.09 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:01 |
| 64 Mikael Granlund C | +1.03 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.23 | -0.15 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 13:57 |
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | +1.01 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 19:51 |
| 19 Troy Terry R | +0.94 | +0.55 | +0.18 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:57 |
| 44 Ross Johnston L | +0.86 | +0.55 | +0.09 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:44 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 17:43 |
| 20 Chris Kreider L | +0.58 | +0.55 | +0.26 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 18:28 |
| 77 Frank Vatrano R | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.79 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:12 |
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | +0.40 | +0.75 | +0.06 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:43 |
| 23 Mason McTavish C | +0.05 | +0.70 | +0.09 | -0.69 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 16:01 |
| 91 Leo Carlsson C | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.14 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 16:03 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 18:06 |
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.43 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 16:41 |
| 16 Ryan Strome C | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.48 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:26 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:12 |
| 14 Drew Helleson D | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:47 |
| 74 Ian Moore D | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.10 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:32 |
| 34 Petr Mrazek G | -2.01 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.01 | 45:41 |
| 1 Lukas Dostal G | -2.91 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.91 | 14:19 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.