| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:24 | Artemi Panarin (12) Mika Zibanejad (15) · wrist xG 0.11 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:42 | Travis Sanheim (3)PP Denver Barkey (1), Matvei Michkov (11) · wrist xG 0.09 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 7:05 | Owen Tippett (10) Denver Barkey (2), Cam York (12) · wrist xG 0.05 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 10:18 | Trevor Zegras (15)PP Jamie Drysdale (13), Noah Cates (10) · slap xG 0.11 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 12:23 | Artemi Panarin (13) Unassisted · snap xG 0.03 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 14:36 | Rodrigo Abols (2)SH Travis Sanheim (13) · deflected xG 0.22 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:13 | Vincent Trocheck (6) J.T. Miller (12), Gabe Perreault (2) · backhand xG 0.19 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 17:26 | Mika Zibanejad (12)PP Scott Morrow (2), Will Cuylle (11) · slap xG 0.11 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Artemi Panarin vs Samuel Ersson | Goal | ||
| Trevor Zegras vs Igor Shesterkin | Saved | ||
| Vincent Trocheck vs Samuel Ersson | Goal | ||
| Travis Konecny vs Igor Shesterkin | Missed | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PHI | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.96 | Expected goals | 2.49 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.89 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.82 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 47 | Unblocked attempts | 44 |
| 32 | Shots on goal | 27 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:36 | NYR | Goalie | Goalie · Shesterkin −2.4 goals saved
4 goals on 1.63 xG, 21 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:30 | NYR | No shift | No shift · Rempe, 11:03 on the bench
No shift from 13:48 of the 2nd to 11:33 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (4:26) before that |
| 11:00 | PHI | No shift | No shift · Deslauriers, 18:38 on the bench
No shift after 13:48 of the 2nd; 9 shifts (6:08) before that |
| 11:00 | NYR | No shift | No shift · Othmann, 10:47 on the bench
No shift from 13:48 of the 2nd to 11:43 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (4:31) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.56 | 1 | 0 | 23:31 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.34 | 0 | 1 | 22:58 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.21 | 3 | 1 | 19:58 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 17:19 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 17:01 |
| 86 | Denver Barkey | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | 1 | 2 | 15:18 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 2 | 15:14 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 15:04 |
| 91 | Carl Grundstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 12:29 |
| 18 | Rodrigo Abols | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 3 | 1 | 11:57 |
| 17 | Nikita Grebenkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 11:27 |
| 44 | Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 06:08 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 55 | Rasmus Ristolainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.13 | 3 | 3 | 23:05 |
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 3 | 22:57 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 21:40 |
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 20:56 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 19:09 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ersson | 27 | 4 | 23 | .852 | 2.49 | -1.51 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0.71 | 1 | 0 | 25:38 |
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.21 | 2 | 0 | 22:50 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 22:31 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 18:44 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 18:24 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 4 | 0 | 16:46 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 2 | 0 | 16:03 |
| 94 | Gabe Perreault | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 15:31 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 15:26 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 3 | 0 | 08:28 |
| 73 | Matt Rempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 4 | 0 | 04:56 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 28:56 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 25:12 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 17:28 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 16:01 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 15:37 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | 32 | 4 | 28 | .875 | 2.96 | -1.04 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Denver Barkey C | +2.11 | +1.40 | +0.20 | +0.26 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:18 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +1.38 | +1.45 | +0.07 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:56 |
| 8 Cam York D | +1.17 | +0.55 | +0.14 | +0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 22:57 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +1.15 | +0.75 | +0.04 | +0.42 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 17:01 |
| 18 Rodrigo Abols C | +1.07 | +0.75 | +0.18 | -0.08 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 11:57 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | +1.01 | +0.55 | +0.06 | +0.20 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:04 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +0.76 | +0.75 | +0.22 | -0.37 | +0.15 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 22:58 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 19:58 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.48 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 17:15 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +0.45 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:40 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.36 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 23:31 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | +0.01 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 17:19 |
| 29 Nikita Grebenkin R | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:27 |
| 55 Rasmus Ristolainen D | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.11 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:05 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:14 |
| 44 Nicolas Deslauriers L | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.11 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:08 |
| 91 Carl Grundstrom R | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.51 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:29 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:09 |
| 33 Samuel Ersson G | -1.51 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.51 | 65:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +1.82 | +0.75 | +0.46 | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.04 | — | 25:38 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +1.46 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.04 | — | 18:44 |
| 94 Gabe Perreault R | +1.41 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:31 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +1.26 | +1.50 | +0.23 | -0.29 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:31 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +1.24 | +1.45 | +0.14 | -0.29 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 22:50 |
| 60 Scott Morrow D | +0.98 | +0.70 | +0.16 | +0.29 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 20:12 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:28 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +0.41 | +0.55 | +0.08 | -0.08 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:46 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:01 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:03 |
| 78 Brennan Othmann L | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 4:51 |
| 73 Matt Rempe C | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 4:56 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:37 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.11 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 8:28 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 28:56 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:26 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 18:24 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 25:12 |
| 31 Igor Shesterkin G | -1.04 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.04 | 64:59 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.