| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 24 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 40 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:36 | Brady Tkachuk (5) Tyler Kleven (5), Tim Stützle (20) · deflected xG 0.43 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:53 | Ilya Mikheyev (5) Wyatt Kaiser (5), Ryan Greene (7) · wrist xG 0.09 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 8:02 | Tim Stützle (16)SH Unassisted · wrist xG 0.30 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 9:55 | Andre Burakovsky (9)PP Ryan Greene (8), Artyom Levshunov (14) · slap xG 0.10 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 14:07 | Brady Tkachuk (6) Thomas Chabot (9) · wrist xG 0.10 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 18:32 | Ilya Mikheyev (6) Ryan Donato (6), Oliver Moore (6) · backhand xG 0.16 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:45 | David Perron (6)PP Claude Giroux (15), Fabian Zetterlund (6) · snap xG 0.15 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 5:31 | David Perron (7) Tim Stützle (21), Olle Lycksell (1) · wrist xG 0.14 | 3–5 ▶ | |
| 7:17 | Nick Lardis (1) Alex Vlasic (4) · backhand xG 0.25 | 4–5 ▶ | |
| 16:10 | Fabian Zetterlund (7) Ridly Greig (9), Claude Giroux (16) · wrist xG 0.09 | 4–6 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CHI | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 | Expected goals | 5.11 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 1.14 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.13 |
| 42 | Shot attempts | 81 |
| 32 | Unblocked attempts | 61 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 40 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:50 | OTT | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.47–0.37
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:50 to 13:50 of the 1st; goals 1–0 |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:40 | CHI | No shift | No shift · Nazar, 36:26 on the bench
No shift after 5:11 of the 1st; 3 shifts (1:58) before that |
| 16:00 | OTT | No shift | No shift · Kleven, 27:29 on the bench
No shift after 3:34 of the 2nd; 9 shifts (6:47) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:30 | OTT | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.47–0.19
In xG over 10 minutes, 13:30 of the 2nd to 3:30 of the 3rd; goals 2–1 |
| 7:17 | OTT | Goalie | Goalie · Meriläinen −2.3 goals saved
4 goals on 1.71 xG, 22 shots on goal |
| 18:53 | CHI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Soderblom, down 6–4
With 1:07 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 | 0.10 | 3 | 1 | 22:46 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 19:58 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 7 | 0.26 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 17:58 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 17:39 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 5 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 16:26 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 15:12 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.05 | 4 | 0 | 13:49 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 |
| 18 | Sam Lafferty | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 09:28 |
| 76 | Nick Lardis | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 08:13 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 01:58 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 4 | 0.06 | 1 | 3 | 23:21 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 19:51 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 19:42 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 5 | 2 | 18:43 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 17:48 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 16:42 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom | 40 | 6 | 34 | .850 | 5.11 | -0.89 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 28 | Claude Giroux | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 4 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 20:32 |
| 18 | Tim Stützle | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 2 | 0.34 | 2 | 0 | 19:43 |
| 8 | Brady Tkachuk | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 16 | 1.63 | 4 | 1 | 19:25 |
| 19 | Drake Batherson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.39 | 2 | 0 | 18:51 |
| 24 | Dylan Cozens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.35 | 2 | 0 | 17:32 |
| 20 | Fabian Zetterlund | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 11 | 1.13 | 3 | 0 | 16:22 |
| 22 | Michael Amadio | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 1 | 15:05 |
| 71 | Ridly Greig | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 14:57 |
| 16 | David Perron | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 11:57 |
| 21 | Nick Cousins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 11:15 |
| 34 | Stephen Halliday | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 11:06 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 85 | Jake Sanderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 7 | 0.16 | 1 | 2 | 27:17 |
| 72 | Thomas Chabot | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 26:37 |
| 2 | Artem Zub | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.05 | 2 | 1 | 19:40 |
| 10 | Jordan Spence | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 16:43 |
| 4 | Nick Jensen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 14:27 |
| 43 | Tyler Kleven | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 06:47 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevi Meriläinen | 24 | 4 | 20 | .833 | 1.79 | -2.21 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76 Nick Lardis L | +1.32 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:13 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | +0.78 | +1.50 | +0.16 | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:58 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | +0.78 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:42 |
| 24 Sam Lafferty C | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:28 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:42 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | +0.06 | +1.25 | +0.07 | -1.12 | -0.15 | -0.06 | +0.07 | — | 22:46 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | +0.05 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 19:51 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.26 | +0.15 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 13:49 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | -0.13 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.70 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:12 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:58 |
| 91 Frank Nazar C | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 1:58 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | -0.29 | +0.75 | +0.21 | -1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:26 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.25 | -0.15 | -0.07 | +0.01 | — | 17:39 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 18:43 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | -0.55 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:09 |
| 40 Arvid Soderblom G | -0.89 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.89 | 58:53 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | -1.16 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -1.45 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 18:10 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | -1.19 | +0.55 | +0.04 | -1.78 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:21 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | -1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.70 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 17:48 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Tim Stützle C | +5.14 | +2.00 | +0.22 | +2.73 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 19:43 |
| 20 Fabian Zetterlund L | +4.24 | +1.30 | +0.73 | +2.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:22 |
| 7 Brady Tkachuk L | +4.12 | +1.50 | +1.06 | +1.47 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 19:25 |
| 10 Jordan Spence D | +2.24 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +2.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:43 |
| 72 Thomas Chabot D | +1.88 | +0.70 | +0.09 | +0.91 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 26:37 |
| 57 David Perron L | +1.73 | +1.50 | +0.21 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:57 |
| 85 Jake Sanderson D | +1.35 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 27:17 |
| 28 Claude Giroux R | +1.22 | +1.25 | +0.13 | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 20:32 |
| 43 Tyler Kleven D | +1.02 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 6:47 |
| 24 Dylan Cozens C | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.49 | +0.15 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 17:32 |
| 19 Drake Batherson R | +0.84 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:51 |
| 71 Ridly Greig C | +0.56 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.02 | — | 14:57 |
| 15 Olle Lycksell R | +0.52 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 7:17 |
| 21 Nick Cousins C | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:15 |
| 22 Michael Amadio R | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:05 |
| 2 Artem Zub D | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:40 |
| 3 Nick Jensen D | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:27 |
| 83 Stephen Halliday C | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:06 |
| 1 Leevi Meriläinen G | -2.21 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.21 | 59:25 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.