| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 |
 |
3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 37 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:42 | |
Matt Boldy (21) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.17 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 10:56 | |
Matt Boldy (22)PP Quinn Hughes (23), Mats Zuccarello (11) · slap xG 0.09 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 13:35 | |
Andrew Mangiapane (5) Evan Bouchard (27), Leon Draisaitl (32) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 18:44 | |
Connor McDavid (22)PP Leon Draisaitl (33), Zach Hyman (6) · wrist xG 0.31 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 19:52 | |
Ryan Hartman (8) Jake Middleton (7), Mats Zuccarello (12) · tip-in xG 0.11 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:08 | |
Vladimir Tarasenko (7) Yakov Trenin (9) · backhand xG 0.79 | 2–4 ▶ |
| 18:35 | |
Nico Sturm (2)EN Vladimir Tarasenko (12), Marcus Johansson (16) · wrist xG 0.94 | 2–5 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| EDM | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.06 | Expected goals | 5.11 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.95 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.84 |
| 68 | Shot attempts | 52 |
| 43 | Unblocked attempts | 46 |
| 30 | Shots on goal | 37 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:10 | MIN | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced EDM 1.57–0.16
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:30 to 10:30 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 16:13 | EDM | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Pickard, down 4–2
With 3:47 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 12 | 0.89 | 3 | 0 | 25:09 |
| 18 | Zach Hyman | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 5 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 22:49 |
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 10 | 0.50 | 1 | 0 | 22:07 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.32 | 1 | 0 | 21:58 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.13 | 6 | 0 | 17:21 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 12:42 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 11:49 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 11:35 |
| 13 | Mattias Janmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:37 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 09:55 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 7 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 27:07 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.15 | 3 | 0 | 21:46 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 21:25 |
| 24 | Spencer Stastney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 18:54 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 14:25 |
| 61 | Riley Stillman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 11:57 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard | 36 | 4 | 32 | .889 | 4.18 | +0.18 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 12 | Matt Boldy | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.35 | 0 | 1 | 20:57 |
| 14 | Joel Eriksson Ek | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.33 | 3 | 2 | 20:08 |
| 97 | Kirill Kaprizov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.54 | 1 | 2 | 17:51 |
| 38 | Ryan Hartman | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.44 | 1 | 2 | 15:46 |
| 90 | Marcus Johansson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 15:38 |
| 36 | Mats Zuccarello | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 15:36 |
| 91 | Vladimir Tarasenko | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.96 | 3 | 0 | 14:53 |
| 13 | Yakov Trenin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.19 | 9 | 0 | 14:10 |
| 22 | Danila Yurov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 13:52 |
| 78 | Nico Sturm | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1.10 | 0 | 1 | 10:30 |
| 17 | Marcus Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.39 | 4 | 0 | 09:49 |
| 18 | Vinnie Hinostroza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 09:10 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 7 | Brock Faber | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 4 | 26:03 |
| 43 | Quinn Hughes | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 24:53 |
| 25 | Jonas Brodin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 19:47 |
| 46 | Jared Spurgeon | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 17:18 |
| 5 | David Jiricek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 15:03 |
| 55 | Jake Middleton | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 15:02 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | 30 | 2 | 28 | .933 | 3.06 | +1.06 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | +0.84 | +0.75 | +0.18 | -0.24 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:55 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +0.32 | +0.75 | +0.58 | -0.99 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 25:09 |
| 30 Calvin Pickard G | +0.18 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.18 | 57:42 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | +0.10 | +0.70 | +0.22 | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 27:07 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.17 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 21:58 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:21 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:25 |
| 23 Quinn Hutson R | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:17 |
| 13 Mattias Janmark C | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 10:37 |
| 24 Spencer Stastney D | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:54 |
| 46 Max Jones L | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 8:22 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 11:49 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 11:35 |
| 18 Zach Hyman L | -0.57 | +0.55 | +0.10 | -1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:49 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | -0.59 | +1.25 | +0.33 | -1.95 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.06 | — | 22:07 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:42 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | -0.96 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:46 |
| 61 Riley Stillman D | -1.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:57 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | -1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:25 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 Vladimir Tarasenko R | +3.85 | +1.45 | +0.62 | +1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:53 |
| 43 Quinn Hughes D | +2.40 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:53 |
| 13 Yakov Trenin C | +2.14 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +1.28 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 14:10 |
| 7 Brock Faber D | +1.96 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 26:03 |
| 36 Mats Zuccarello R | +1.87 | +1.10 | +0.06 | +0.74 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:36 |
| 14 Joel Eriksson Ek C | +1.76 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +1.52 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.06 | — | 20:08 |
| 38 Ryan Hartman R | +1.58 | +0.75 | +0.29 | +0.44 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.12 | — | 15:46 |
| 12 Matt Boldy L | +1.45 | +1.50 | +0.23 | -0.29 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 20:57 |
| 78 Nico Sturm C | +1.42 | +0.75 | +0.72 | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.07 | — | 10:30 |
| 5 Jake Middleton D | +1.26 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.68 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:02 |
| 97 Kirill Kaprizov L | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.35 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:51 |
| 17 Marcus Foligno L | +1.06 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:49 |
| 32 Filip Gustavsson G | +1.06 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.06 | 60:00 |
| 90 Marcus Johansson L | +0.96 | +0.55 | +0.19 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:38 |
| 55 David Jiricek D | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:03 |
| 22 Danila Yurov R | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 13:52 |
| 46 Jared Spurgeon D | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 17:18 |
| 25 Jonas Brodin D | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 19:47 |
| 18 Vinnie Hinostroza C | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 9:10 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.