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Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 3–6 Final Calgary FlamesCGY

Saturday, December 20, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 111 3 37
Calgary FlamesCGY 321 6 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:54 CGY Mikael Backlund (8) Blake Coleman (6), Connor Zary (4) · snap xG 0.30 0–1 ▶
8:42 CGY Adam Klapka (3) Yan Kuznetsov (4), MacKenzie Weegar (7) · deflected xG 0.40 0–2 ▶
10:03 VGK Reilly Smith (4) Mark Stone (20), Zach Whitecloud (4) · backhand xG 0.24 1–2 ▶
15:45 CGY Ryan Lomberg (2) Connor Zary (5), John Beecher (2) · wrist xG 0.19 1–3 ▶
2nd Period
8:38 CGY Mikael Backlund (9) MacKenzie Weegar (8), Connor Zary (6) · backhand xG 0.21 1–4 ▶
12:21 CGY Joel Farabee (9)SH MacKenzie Weegar (9) · wrist xG 0.18 1–5 ▶
14:34 VGK Kaedan Korczak (3) Mitch Marner (27), Tomas Hertl (11) · snap xG 0.13 2–5 ▶
3rd Period
16:03 VGK Mark Stone (7)PP Noah Hanifin (5), Mitch Marner (28) · bat xG 0.08 3–5 ▶
19:15 CGY Jonathan Huberdeau (7)EN Mikael Backlund (12), Blake Coleman (7) · wrist xG 0.94 3–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 70%Deserve to win30% CGY
VGKCGY
3.92Expected goals3.57
3Goals (no shootout)6
3.30Expected goals, 5 on 52.45
71Shot attempts55
57Unblocked attempts42
37Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
8:38 VGK Goalie Goalie · Schmid −2.1 goals saved
4 goals on 1.87 xG, 17 shots on goal
3rd Period
7:20 VGK xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CGY 1.08–0.05
In xG over 10 minutes, 17:20 of the 2nd to 7:20 of the 3rd; neither team scored
15:18 VGK Deserve to win Deserve to win · VGK takes the lead, 62–38%
CGY had led since 3:54 of the 1st, by as much as 71%

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CGY shoots
Mark Stone: wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:13) Adam Klapka: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:03) Kevin Bahl: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:06) Connor Zary: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 3:51) Blake Coleman: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:52) Tomas Hertl: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 4:16) Blake Coleman: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:16) Pavel Dorofeyev: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 7:51) Pavel Dorofeyev: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:57) Brandon Saad: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:04) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:53) Hunter Brzustewicz: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:51) John Beecher: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:06) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:09) Joel Farabee: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:18) Mitch Marner: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:41) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:25) Tomas Hertl: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:27) Morgan Frost: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:29) Hunter Brzustewicz: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:36) Mikael Backlund: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:42) Brandon Saad: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:55) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:50) Kevin Bahl: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:09) Blake Coleman: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:02) Mark Stone: wrist, 98 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:46) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:03) Hunter Brzustewicz: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:11) Colton Sissons: backhand, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:44) Brandon Saad: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 3:10) Matt Coronato: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 3:43) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:00) Mark Stone: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:15) Reilly Smith: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:18) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:53) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:12) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:15) Jonathan Huberdeau: deflected, 142 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:22) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:32) Zach Whitecloud: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:38) Yegor Sharangovich: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:09) Mikael Backlund: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 8:36) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:41) Mikael Backlund: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:58) Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 10:24) Jonathan Huberdeau: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:46) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:53) Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:38) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 151 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:44) Noah Hanifin: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:04) Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:20) Mikael Backlund: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:08) Joel Farabee: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:17) Ben Hutton: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:23) Blake Coleman: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:15) Reilly Smith: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:23) Reilly Smith: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 19:59) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:21) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:38) Brett Howden: bat, 10 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:39) Reilly Smith: wrap-around, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:41) Kaedan Korczak: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 1:36) Braeden Bowman: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:24) Brandon Saad: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:12) Morgan Frost: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:22) Cole Reinhardt: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:49) Brandon Saad: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 6:36) Kaedan Korczak: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:39) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 7:01) Colton Sissons: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:16) Hunter Brzustewicz: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:36) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:46) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 11:11) Matt Coronato: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 13:01) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:24) Brandon Saad: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:30) Zach Whitecloud: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:40) Zach Whitecloud: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:49) Noah Hanifin: slap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:12) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 15:16) Mitch Marner: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:17) Mitch Marner: bat, 2 ft, xG 0.32 (P3 15:18) Ben Hutton: wrist, 102 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:15) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:54) Ivan Barbashev: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:33) Ivan Barbashev: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:45) Ivan Barbashev: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:46) Tomas Hertl: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 18:48) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 18:56) Keegan Kolesar: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:46) Mikael Backlund: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.30 (P1 3:54) Adam Klapka: GOAL, deflected, 4 ft, xG 0.40 (P1 8:42) Reilly Smith: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 10:03) Ryan Lomberg: GOAL, wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 15:45) Mikael Backlund: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 8:38) Joel Farabee: GOAL, wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 12:21) Kaedan Korczak: GOAL, snap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 14:34) Mark Stone: GOAL, bat, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:03) Jonathan Huberdeau: GOAL, wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.94 (P3 19:15)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mitch Marner 022 -3 50.39 0019:01
48 Tomas Hertl 011 -2 80.82 0018:59
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 000 -1 70.34 1117:20
49 Ivan Barbashev 000 -2 60.23 3016:56
20 Brandon Saad 000 -1 70.53 0016:16
61 Mark Stone 112 -2 40.13 0015:41
42 Braeden Bowman 000 -1 10.05 0014:47
21 Brett Howden 000 -1 10.02 2013:51
19 Reilly Smith 101 -1 50.59 0213:46
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 0 20.07 8113:12
29 Cole Reinhardt 000 -1 10.09 1112:39
15 Colton Sissons 000 0 20.04 2112:32
Defense
15 Noah Hanifin 011 -2 60.06 1024:39
6 Kaedan Korczak 101 0 50.32 1021:08
28 Zach Whitecloud 011 -1 40.11 2119:44
17 Ben Hutton 000 -1 30.01 1319:20
3 Brayden McNabb 000 -1 30.13 1017:57
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 -1 10.01 4313:31
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Akira Schmid 25520 .800 2.64 -2.36

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Mikael Backlund 213 +2 90.75 0019:24
20 Blake Coleman 022 +2 40.08 0017:00
17 Yegor Sharangovich 000 +1 40.15 0216:36
86 Joel Farabee 101 +1 40.28 1216:29
47 Connor Zary 033 +2 10.15 0116:14
91 Nazem Kadri 000 +1 20.00 0115:33
10 Jonathan Huberdeau 101 0 30.98 1015:00
16 Morgan Frost 000 -1 20.05 0013:45
27 Matt Coronato 000 -1 20.36 0013:13
43 Adam Klapka 101 +1 30.40 6012:47
94 Ryan Lomberg 101 +1 10.19 0010:50
17 John Beecher 011 +2 20.04 0010:36
Defense
7 Kevin Bahl 000 +2 30.01 0023:24
52 MacKenzie Weegar 033 +2 40.01 3322:51
4 Rasmus Andersson 000 +2 20.01 1222:43
37 Yan Kuznetsov 011 +2 20.03 2022:38
48 Hunter Brzustewicz 000 0 40.08 0014:39
44 Joel Hanley 000 0 30.00 0114:05
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Devin Cooley 37334 .919 3.92 +0.92

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
48 Tomas Hertl C +2.19 +0.55 +0.53 +1.03 +0.15 -0.05 -0.02 — 18:59
6 Kaedan Korczak D +2.08 +0.75 +0.21 +1.18 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 21:08
61 Mark Stone R +1.80 +1.45 +0.08 +0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:41
93 Mitch Marner R +1.57 +1.25 +0.25 +0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:01
15 Noah Hanifin D +1.29 +0.70 +0.04 +0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 24:39
19 Reilly Smith R +1.28 +0.75 +0.38 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 13:46
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +1.09 0.00 +0.22 +0.84 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:20
20 Brandon Saad L +1.01 0.00 +0.35 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:16
3 Brayden McNabb D +0.85 0.00 +0.08 +0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 17:57
2 Zach Whitecloud D +0.55 +0.55 +0.07 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:44
10 Colton Sissons C +0.46 0.00 +0.03 +0.36 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 12:32
55 Keegan Kolesar R +0.41 0.00 +0.04 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:12
21 Brett Howden C -0.10 0.00 +0.01 -0.13 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 13:51
17 Ben Hutton D -0.23 0.00 +0.01 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 19:20
23 Cole Reinhardt L -0.30 0.00 +0.06 -0.42 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 12:39
49 Ivan Barbashev L -0.44 0.00 +0.15 -0.64 +0.15 -0.04 -0.06 — 16:56
42 Braeden Bowman R -0.51 0.00 +0.04 -0.57 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 14:47
5 Jeremy Lauzon D -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 13:31
40 Akira Schmid G -2.36 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.36 58:41

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
52 MacKenzie Weegar D +2.37 +1.95 +0.01 +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 22:51
11 Mikael Backlund C +2.23 +2.20 +0.49 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 19:24
47 Connor Zary C +1.88 +1.80 +0.10 -0.07 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 16:14
20 Blake Coleman L +1.25 +1.25 +0.05 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:00
43 Adam Klapka R +1.00 +0.75 +0.26 +0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 12:47
70 Ryan Lomberg L +0.96 +0.75 +0.12 +0.10 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:50
1 Devin Cooley G +0.92 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.92 60:00
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L +0.86 +0.75 +0.64 -0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:00
18 John Beecher C +0.67 +0.55 +0.03 +0.10 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:36
86 Joel Farabee L +0.50 +0.75 +0.18 -0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 16:29
17 Yegor Sharangovich C +0.32 0.00 +0.10 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 16:36
91 Nazem Kadri C +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.18 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 — 15:33
37 Yan Kuznetsov D +0.17 +0.70 +0.02 -0.38 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 22:38
44 Joel Hanley D +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:05
48 Hunter Brzustewicz D -0.20 0.00 +0.05 -0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:39
7 Kevin Bahl D -0.21 0.00 +0.01 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 23:24
27 Matt Coronato R -0.26 0.00 +0.23 -0.48 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 13:13
4 Rasmus Andersson D -0.40 0.00 +0.01 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 22:43
16 Morgan Frost C -0.57 0.00 +0.04 -0.44 -0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 13:45

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.