| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 |
 |
2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 28 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:14 | |
Mikael Granlund (6) Olen Zellweger (10), Frank Vatrano (3) · snap xG 0.18 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 3:00 | |
Jacob Trouba (6) Ryan Poehling (11), Alex Killorn (9) · slap xG 0.04 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 5:54 | |
Dmitri Voronkov (13)PP Charlie Coyle (17), Zach Werenski (26) · tip-in xG 0.41 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:39 | |
Mason Marchment (5) Damon Severson (8), Ivan Provorov (9) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 13:36 | |
Mason McTavish (8) Ross Johnston (8) · snap xG 0.24 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:44 | |
Zach Werenski (14) Denton Mateychuk (7), Kent Johnson (8) · snap xG 0.02 | 3–3 ▶ |
| 16:31 | |
Pavel Mintyukov (4) Mikael Granlund (8), Radko Gudas (7) · wrist xG 0.12 | 3–4 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CBJ | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.22 | Expected goals | 4.05 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.57 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.50 |
| 69 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 49 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 28 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:31 | ANA | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · ANA takes the lead, 61–39%
CBJ had led since 5:54 of the 1st, by as much as 63% |
| 19:25 | CBJ | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Merzlikins, down 4–3
With 0:35 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.11 | 1 | 2 | 22:32 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.43 | 1 | 0 | 19:41 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 3 | 1 | 17:38 |
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.13 | 3 | 0 | 17:36 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.21 | 0 | 3 | 17:11 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 15:40 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.70 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 08:51 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 07:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 8 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 27:56 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 26:18 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 23:24 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.17 | 1 | 2 | 19:22 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 10:30 |
| 7 | Brendan Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | 28 | 4 | 24 | .857 | 4.05 | +0.05 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Chris Kreider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.51 | 0 | 0 | 17:47 |
| 91 | Leo Carlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 | 17:16 |
| 19 | Troy Terry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 3 | 17:11 |
| 83 | Mason McTavish | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:15 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 16:04 |
| 64 | Mikael Granlund | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.59 | 1 | 1 | 15:23 |
| 22 | Ryan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.24 | 1 | 1 | 13:20 |
| 77 | Frank Vatrano | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 12:56 |
| 25 | Ryan Poehling | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:58 |
| 49 | Ross Johnston | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.19 | 5 | 0 | 11:53 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 2 | 25:03 |
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 2 | 24:29 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 6 | 20:18 |
| 6 | Radko Gudas | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 6 | 3 | 19:21 |
| 3 | Ian Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 13:25 |
| 8 | Olen Zellweger | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 13:06 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | 26 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 3.22 | +0.22 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | +1.43 | +0.75 | +0.45 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:38 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | +1.32 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:22 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +1.11 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.08 | +0.15 | +0.08 | +0.03 | — | 17:38 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 15:41 |
| 17 Mason Marchment L | +0.50 | +0.75 | +0.28 | -0.38 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:41 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.33 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:13 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +0.40 | +0.55 | +0.06 | -0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:40 |
| 90 Elvis Merzlikins G | +0.20 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.15 | — | — | +0.05 | 59:25 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +0.02 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 26:18 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | -0.01 | +1.30 | +0.16 | -1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 27:56 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | -0.02 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:24 |
| 7 Brendan Smith D | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:07 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:30 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.13 | — | 17:11 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:36 |
| 65 Luca Del Bel Belluz C | -0.65 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.78 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 7:56 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 7:21 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:51 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | -0.86 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.96 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.08 | — | 22:32 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 Mikael Granlund C | +3.05 | +1.45 | +0.38 | +1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 15:23 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | +2.02 | +0.75 | +0.18 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.30 | — | 20:18 |
| 77 Frank Vatrano R | +1.96 | +0.55 | +0.09 | +1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:56 |
| 74 Ian Moore D | +1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.12 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 13:25 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | +1.09 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 24:29 |
| 7 Radko Gudas D | +1.08 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 19:21 |
| 51 Olen Zellweger D | +1.08 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:06 |
| 23 Mason McTavish C | +0.97 | +0.75 | +0.35 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 17:04 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | +0.94 | +0.55 | +0.16 | +0.19 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 13:20 |
| 16 Ryan Strome C | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.86 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.04 | — | 13:48 |
| 44 Ross Johnston L | +0.86 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:53 |
| 20 Chris Kreider L | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.33 | +0.39 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:47 |
| 91 Leo Carlsson C | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.36 | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | — | 17:16 |
| 25 Ryan Poehling C | +0.62 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.11 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 11:58 |
| 19 Troy Terry R | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 17:11 |
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 25:03 |
| 1 Lukas Dostal G | +0.22 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.22 | 60:00 |
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:04 |
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:15 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.