| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 32 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 36 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:52 | Eeli Tolvanen (5) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.08 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 11:22 | Adam Gaudette (8)PP Igor Chernyshov (3), Macklin Celebrini (36) · backhand xG 0.55 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:36 | Collin Graf (9) Unassisted · xG 0.95 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 1:55 | Ryker Evans (3) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.01 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 4:27 | Ryan Lindgren (1) Chandler Stephenson (12), Frederick Gaudreau (5) · wrist xG 0.02 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 18:36 | Chandler Stephenson (9)EN Eeli Tolvanen (14), Joey Daccord (2) · backhand xG 0.93 | 4–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SEA | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.69 | Expected goals | 5.21 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.61 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.60 |
| 45 | Shot attempts | 86 |
| 36 | Unblocked attempts | 61 |
| 32 | Shots on goal | 36 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:52 | SEA | Goalie | Goalie · Daccord +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.02 xG, 17 shots on goal |
| 11:30 | SJS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced SEA 1.65–0.23
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:00 to 17:00 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 0.93 | 0 | 1 | 22:06 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.31 | 0 | 1 | 21:21 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.08 | 3 | 2 | 19:22 |
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 | 17:20 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 16:31 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 16:28 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 14:10 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.30 | 0 | 2 | 12:43 |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 09:59 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 06:54 |
| 63 | Jacob Melanson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 06:12 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 5 | 23:35 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 20:57 |
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 20:11 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 5 | 19:29 |
| 28 | Josh Mahura | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 17:36 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 16:52 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 36 | 2 | 35 | .972 | 5.21 | +3.21 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 22:32 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 21:47 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 12 | 1.17 | 0 | 0 | 20:48 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 1.22 | 0 | 1 | 19:24 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 11 | 0.51 | 0 | 0 | 19:18 |
| 92 | Igor Chernyshov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 10 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | 16:10 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 1 | 12:50 |
| 53 | Jeff Skinner | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 11:53 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 11:50 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 10:20 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 3 | 0 | 10:14 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 1 | 09:48 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | John Klingberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.30 | 1 | 1 | 24:17 |
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 3 | 0 | 20:45 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.09 | 2 | 2 | 18:20 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 17:33 |
| 85 | Shakir Mukhamadullin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 16:47 |
| 6 | Vincent Iorio | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 31 | 3 | 28 | .903 | 1.76 | -1.24 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Joey Daccord G | +3.76 | +0.55 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +3.21 | 60:00 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | +1.08 | +1.45 | +0.61 | -1.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 22:06 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | +1.06 | +0.75 | +0.04 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:52 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 12:43 |
| 38 Jani Nyman R | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:30 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.42 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:31 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:10 |
| 28 Josh Mahura D | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:36 |
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:28 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 6:54 |
| 63 Jacob Melanson R | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 6:12 |
| 59 Ben Meyers C | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 9:59 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | -0.44 | +0.75 | +0.01 | -1.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:57 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | -0.67 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.76 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.23 | — | 19:29 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | -0.71 | +1.45 | +0.05 | -2.16 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:22 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:20 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | -1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 20:11 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | -1.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.25 | — | 23:35 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | -1.59 | +0.55 | +0.20 | -2.44 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.09 | — | 21:21 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 Collin Graf R | +3.48 | +0.75 | +0.79 | +1.73 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:24 |
| 92 Igor Chernyshov L | +3.07 | +0.70 | +0.35 | +1.89 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:10 |
| 3 John Klingberg D | +2.34 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +1.95 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:17 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +2.13 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +1.50 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 22:32 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | +1.95 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +1.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:45 |
| 72 William Eklund L | +1.28 | 0.00 | +0.76 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:48 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.33 | +0.62 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:18 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 18:20 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.77 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.01 | — | 21:47 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +0.56 | +0.75 | +0.39 | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:50 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:20 |
| 63 Zack Ostapchuk C | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.08 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.02 | — | 10:14 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:33 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:48 |
| 53 Jeff Skinner L | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.47 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 11:53 |
| 22 Vincent Iorio D | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:58 |
| 85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:47 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.01 | — | 11:50 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | -1.24 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.24 | 58:26 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.