| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 28 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:30 | Drake Batherson (14) Nick Jensen (7), Dylan Cozens (15) · snap xG 0.14 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 13:44 | Claude Giroux (7) Drake Batherson (20), Dylan Cozens (16) · wrist xG 0.35 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 16:47 | Fabian Zetterlund (8)PP Thomas Chabot (10), David Perron (12) · snap xG 0.12 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 19:07 | David Pastrnak (14)PP Pavel Zacha (16), Charlie McAvoy (18) · slap xG 0.27 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:44 | Tim Stützle (17) Brady Tkachuk (10), Fabian Zetterlund (7) · wrist xG 0.22 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 7:03 | Dylan Cozens (11) Drake Batherson (21), David Perron (13) · wrist xG 0.01 | 5–1 ▶ | |
| 14:36 | Charlie McAvoy (1) Marat Khusnutdinov (7) · tip-in xG 0.06 | 5–2 ▶ | |
| 17:26 | Fabian Zetterlund (9)PP Stephen Halliday (3), Claude Giroux (17) · slap xG 0.12 | 6–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| OTT | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.55 | Expected goals | 2.42 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.65 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.56 |
| 51 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 37 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 20 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:20 | OTT | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.35–0.15
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:00 to 17:00 of the 1st; goals 2–0 |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:03 | BOS | Goalie | Goalie · Korpisalo −2.3 goals saved
5 goals on 2.71 xG, 17 shots on goal |
| 7:03 | BOS | Goalie change | Goalie change · Swayman in for Korpisalo
7:03 of the 2nd; Korpisalo had allowed 5 goals on 17 shots (2.71 xG) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Michael Amadio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.47 | 1 | 0 | 17:20 |
| 20 | Fabian Zetterlund | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 17:12 |
| 28 | Claude Giroux | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.35 | 1 | 1 | 17:02 |
| 71 | Ridly Greig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 17:00 |
| 18 | Tim Stützle | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.82 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 |
| 19 | Drake Batherson | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 0.14 | 2 | 1 | 16:11 |
| 24 | Dylan Cozens | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 0.21 | 6 | 0 | 15:40 |
| 16 | David Perron | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 15:11 |
| 8 | Brady Tkachuk | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.37 | 5 | 1 | 13:46 |
| 21 | Nick Cousins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 12:43 |
| 34 | Stephen Halliday | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 11:24 |
| 23 | Kurtis MacDermid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 05:34 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 85 | Jake Sanderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | 24:26 |
| 72 | Thomas Chabot | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 0.17 | 0 | 3 | 22:46 |
| 2 | Artem Zub | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 19:51 |
| 33 | Nikolas Matinpalo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 17:19 |
| 10 | Jordan Spence | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:52 |
| 4 | Nick Jensen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 14:23 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | 20 | 2 | 18 | .900 | 2.42 | +0.42 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 11 | 0.63 | 2 | 0 | 19:04 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 18:57 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.20 | 2 | 0 | 17:44 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 17:34 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 15:29 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 13:37 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 4 | 0 | 13:27 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.40 | 1 | 1 | 13:24 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 6 | 0 | 13:05 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 11:15 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 10:49 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.31 | 1 | 0 | 21:59 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21:46 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 20:57 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 18:44 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 17:26 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo | 17 | 5 | 12 | .706 | 2.71 | -2.29 |
| Jeremy Swayman | 11 | 1 | 10 | .909 | 0.84 | -0.16 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Drake Batherson R | +3.00 | +2.15 | +0.09 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:11 |
| 72 Thomas Chabot D | +3.00 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +2.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 22:46 |
| 24 Dylan Cozens C | +2.99 | +1.85 | +0.14 | +0.77 | +0.15 | +0.07 | +0.02 | — | 15:40 |
| 20 Fabian Zetterlund L | +2.99 | +2.05 | +0.22 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:12 |
| 28 Claude Giroux R | +2.80 | +1.30 | +0.23 | +1.22 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 17:02 |
| 18 Tim Stützle C | +2.39 | +0.75 | +0.53 | +1.09 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 16:25 |
| 7 Brady Tkachuk L | +1.90 | +0.70 | +0.24 | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 13:46 |
| 10 Jordan Spence D | +1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:52 |
| 57 David Perron L | +1.28 | +1.10 | +0.12 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:11 |
| 22 Michael Amadio R | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:20 |
| 3 Nick Jensen D | +0.50 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.25 | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 14:23 |
| 35 Linus Ullmark G | +0.42 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.42 | 60:00 |
| 71 Ridly Greig C | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.31 | -0.22 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 17:00 |
| 85 Jake Sanderson D | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.22 | +0.30 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 24:26 |
| 23 Kurtis MacDermid L | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 5:34 |
| 83 Stephen Halliday C | +0.02 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.58 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.08 | — | 11:24 |
| 33 Nikolas Matinpalo D | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 17:19 |
| 2 Artem Zub D | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.11 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:51 |
| 21 Nick Cousins C | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.36 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:43 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +1.95 | +1.30 | +0.20 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:59 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +1.11 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.82 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 13:24 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | +1.06 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.79 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:15 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:44 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +0.30 | +0.70 | +0.05 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:49 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 13:11 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:27 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.10 | — | 13:37 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | -0.11 | +0.75 | +0.41 | -1.40 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:04 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | -0.16 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.16 | 32:57 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.12 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:05 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | -0.55 | +0.70 | +0.10 | -1.42 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 18:57 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:46 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:57 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.99 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:34 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | -1.06 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -1.01 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 17:44 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | -1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:29 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | -1.33 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:26 |
| 29 Victor Soderstrom D | -1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:24 |
| 70 Joonas Korpisalo G | -2.29 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.29 | 26:31 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.