Montréal CanadiensMTL 3–4 Final/SO Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

Sunday, December 21, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Montréal CanadiensMTL 11101 3 25
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 21002 4 31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:31 MTL Oliver Kapanen (11) Juraj Slafkovský (12), Ivan Demidov (20) · wrist xG 0.10 1–0 ▶
7:58 PIT Sidney Crosby (20) Erik Karlsson (23), Rickard Rakell (8) · wrist xG 0.28 1–1 ▶
12:40 PIT Rickard Rakell (4)PP Bryan Rust (17), Sidney Crosby (17) · wrist xG 0.34 1–2 ▶
2nd Period
3:54 MTL Ivan Demidov (8) Juraj Slafkovský (13), Oliver Kapanen (8) · wrist xG 0.03 2–2 ▶
11:51 PIT Noel Acciari (2) Kris Letang (15), Arturs Silovs (2) · wrist xG 0.10 2–3 ▶
3rd Period
4:04 MTL Noah Dobson (6) Sammy Blais (3), Mike Matheson (13) · backhand xG 0.17 3–3 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
PIT Kevin Hayes vs Jakub Dobes Goal
MTL Alexandre Texier vs Arturs Silovs Saved
PIT Sidney Crosby vs Jakub Dobes Saved
MTL Cole Caufield vs Arturs Silovs Goal
PIT Rickard Rakell vs Jakub Dobes Goal
MTL Nick Suzuki vs Arturs Silovs Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MTL 36%Deserve to win64% PIT
MTLPIT
3.07Expected goals3.95
3Goals (no shootout)3
1.53Expected goals, 5 on 52.83
55Shot attempts75
41Unblocked attempts51
25Shots on goal31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
12:40 PIT Deserve to win Deserve to win · PIT takes the lead, 62–38%
MTL had led since 2:06 of the 1st, by as much as 69%
2nd Period
19:30 PIT xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.11–0.05
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:00 of the 2nd to the end of the 2nd; goals 1–0

Shot map

MTL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PIT shoots
Joseph Veleno: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:03) Alexandre Texier: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:22) Arber Xhekaj: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:44) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:54) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 2:06) Connor Dewar: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:35) Rutger McGroarty: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:09) Mike Matheson: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 3:34) Sidney Crosby: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 4:25) Rickard Rakell: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:06) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 6:36) Kris Letang: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:52) Rickard Rakell: poke, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 7:50) Cole Caufield: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 11:01) Brett Kulak: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:45) Ben Kindel: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 11:47) Ryan Shea: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 11:48) Josh Anderson: slap, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 12:19) Jack St. Ivany: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:58) Kris Letang: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:43) Alexandre Texier: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:06) Ben Kindel: wrist, 96 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:15) Ivan Demidov: wrist, 80 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:20) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:27) Tommy Novak: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:40) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 0:56) Brett Kulak: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.34 (P2 1:24) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:49) Sammy Blais: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 4:38) Lane Hutson: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:20) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:29) Joseph Veleno: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:28) Noah Dobson: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:36) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:47) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:17) Rutger McGroarty: tip-in, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:43) Parker Wotherspoon: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:29) Bryan Rust: wrist, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 13:03) Brett Kulak: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:13) Rickard Rakell: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:20) Rickard Rakell: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 13:28) Jack St. Ivany: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:05) Ben Kindel: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 14:12) Rutger McGroarty: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:13) Ben Kindel: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:18) Kris Letang: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:37) Bryan Rust: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:44) Rutger McGroarty: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 16:03) Kevin Hayes: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:04) Kevin Hayes: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:05) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:26) Noah Dobson: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:03) Ben Kindel: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:52) Mike Matheson: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:19) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:18) Brett Kulak: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:38) Ville Koivunen: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 5:45) Ivan Demidov: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:18) Cole Caufield: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:18) Joseph Veleno: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:50) Tommy Novak: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 8:58) Ville Koivunen: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:13) Oliver Kapanen: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:27) Mike Matheson: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:30) Alexandre Texier: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:36) Parker Wotherspoon: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:55) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:12) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 12:05) Erik Karlsson: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:07) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 12:44) Erik Karlsson: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:47) Connor Dewar: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:33) Noel Acciari: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:39) Jack St. Ivany: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:44) Sidney Crosby: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:00) Brett Kulak: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:08) Lane Hutson: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:04) Lane Hutson: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (OT 0:38) Lane Hutson: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (OT 0:57) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 1:03) Mike Matheson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 1:14) Erik Karlsson: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 2:54) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 3:16) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 4:18) Nick Suzuki: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 4:49) Cole Caufield: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 4:55) Oliver Kapanen: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:31) Sidney Crosby: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.28 (P1 7:58) Rickard Rakell: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.34 (P1 12:40) Ivan Demidov: GOAL, wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:54) Noel Acciari: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 11:51) Noah Dobson: GOAL, backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 4:04)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Nick Suzuki 000 -2 50.25 0123:26
20 Juraj Slafkovský 022 +2 50.20 1021:13
13 Cole Caufield 000 -1 40.34 0120:04
17 Josh Anderson 000 0 20.22 3018:17
85 Alexandre Texier 000 -1 40.05 1116:48
93 Ivan Demidov 112 +2 30.12 1015:56
91 Oliver Kapanen 112 +2 70.64 0014:44
90 Joseph Veleno 000 0 40.27 0013:22
76 Zachary Bolduc 000 -2 00.00 3013:05
7 Brendan Gallagher 000 +1 00.00 0010:40
62 Owen Beck 000 +1 00.00 3110:07
0 Sammy Blais 011 +1 10.13 6108:32
Defense
48 Lane Hutson 000 0 60.42 1428:58
8 Mike Matheson 011 +1 50.20 1427:23
53 Noah Dobson 101 0 40.22 1222:33
45 Alexandre Carrier 000 0 20.00 0221:29
72 Arber Xhekaj 000 0 20.03 4111:05
42 Adam Engstrom 000 +1 10.00 0010:40
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jakub Dobes 31328 .903 3.95 +0.95

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
67 Rickard Rakell 112 +1 90.92 2021:44
17 Bryan Rust 011 0 30.06 1121:36
87 Sidney Crosby 112 +1 80.58 2120:53
39 Anthony Mantha 000 0 40.08 4118:13
18 Tommy Novak 000 0 20.10 0017:41
81 Ben Kindel 000 0 50.44 0115:11
16 Justin Brazeau 000 0 10.13 2114:27
2 Rutger McGroarty 000 -1 50.26 0012:49
52 Noel Acciari 101 -1 40.16 3012:34
19 Connor Dewar 000 -2 20.03 4012:00
41 Ville Koivunen 000 0 40.24 1011:47
13 Kevin Hayes 000 -1 30.09 1109:26
Defense
65 Erik Karlsson 011 0 90.18 1027:07
58 Kris Letang 011 +1 40.06 3023:36
27 Brett Kulak 000 +1 60.42 1121:51
29 Parker Wotherspoon 000 0 20.07 1321:34
6 Ryan Shea 000 -2 10.07 0013:49
6 Jack St. Ivany 000 -2 30.07 4112:42
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Arturs Silovs 25322 .880 3.07 +0.07

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
91 Oliver Kapanen C +2.24 +1.30 +0.42 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 14:44
20 Juraj Slafkovský L +2.04 +1.40 +0.13 +0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:13
93 Ivan Demidov R +1.97 +1.30 +0.07 +0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:56
75 Jakub Dobes G +0.95 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.95 65:00
27 Sammy Blais L +0.89 +0.70 +0.08 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:32
72 Arber Xhekaj D +0.69 0.00 +0.02 +0.47 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 11:05
62 Owen Beck C +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.04 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 — 10:07
42 Adam Engstrom D +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.22 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 10:40
48 Lane Hutson D -0.02 0.00 +0.27 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.14 — 28:58
8 Mike Matheson D -0.04 +0.55 +0.13 -0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 27:23
90 Joseph Veleno C -0.07 0.00 +0.18 -0.24 0.00 +0.03 -0.04 — 13:22
11 Brendan Gallagher R -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:40
17 Josh Anderson R -0.46 0.00 +0.15 -0.61 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 18:17
45 Alexandre Carrier D -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:29
53 Noah Dobson D -0.77 +0.75 +0.14 -1.56 -0.15 0.00 +0.04 — 22:33
85 Alexandre Texier L -0.80 0.00 +0.03 -0.83 0.00 -0.01 +0.01 — 16:48
13 Cole Caufield R -0.83 0.00 +0.22 -1.09 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 20:04
76 Zachary Bolduc R -1.08 0.00 0.00 -1.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:05
14 Nick Suzuki C -1.22 0.00 +0.16 -1.35 0.00 -0.06 +0.03 — 23:26

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
87 Sidney Crosby C +2.78 +1.30 +0.38 +1.04 0.00 +0.04 +0.03 — 20:53
67 Rickard Rakell R +2.74 +1.30 +0.60 +0.85 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 21:44
77 Brett Kulak D +1.57 0.00 +0.27 +1.25 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:51
17 Bryan Rust R +1.46 +0.70 +0.04 +0.69 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:36
58 Kris Letang D +1.46 +0.70 +0.04 +0.92 -0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 23:36
65 Erik Karlsson D +1.28 +0.70 +0.12 +0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 27:07
81 Ben Kindel C +1.22 0.00 +0.28 +0.90 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 15:11
41 Ville Koivunen R +1.13 0.00 +0.16 +0.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:47
55 Noel Acciari C +0.62 +0.75 +0.11 -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:34
37 Arturs Silovs G +0.62 +0.55 — — 0.00 — — +0.07 65:00
28 Parker Wotherspoon D +0.56 0.00 +0.04 +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 21:34
2 Rutger McGroarty R +0.46 0.00 +0.17 +0.16 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 12:49
39 Anthony Mantha R +0.42 0.00 +0.05 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:13
18 Tommy Novak C +0.34 0.00 +0.07 +0.42 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 17:41
16 Justin Brazeau R +0.06 0.00 +0.08 -0.22 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 14:27
5 Ryan Shea D -0.20 0.00 +0.04 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:49
13 Kevin Hayes R -0.27 0.00 +0.06 -0.36 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 9:26
3 Jack St. Ivany D -0.36 0.00 +0.04 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:42
19 Connor Dewar C -0.50 0.00 +0.02 -0.56 0.00 +0.02 +0.02 — 12:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.