| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 31 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:31 | Oliver Kapanen (11) Juraj Slafkovský (12), Ivan Demidov (20) · wrist xG 0.10 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 7:58 | Sidney Crosby (20) Erik Karlsson (23), Rickard Rakell (8) · wrist xG 0.28 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 12:40 | Rickard Rakell (4)PP Bryan Rust (17), Sidney Crosby (17) · wrist xG 0.34 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:54 | Ivan Demidov (8) Juraj Slafkovský (13), Oliver Kapanen (8) · wrist xG 0.03 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 11:51 | Noel Acciari (2) Kris Letang (15), Arturs Silovs (2) · wrist xG 0.10 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:04 | Noah Dobson (6) Sammy Blais (3), Mike Matheson (13) · backhand xG 0.17 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Kevin Hayes vs Jakub Dobes | Goal | ||
| Alexandre Texier vs Arturs Silovs | Saved | ||
| Sidney Crosby vs Jakub Dobes | Saved | ||
| Cole Caufield vs Arturs Silovs | Goal | ||
| Rickard Rakell vs Jakub Dobes | Goal | ||
| Nick Suzuki vs Arturs Silovs | Saved | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MTL | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.07 | Expected goals | 3.95 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.53 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.83 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 75 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 51 |
| 25 | Shots on goal | 31 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:40 | PIT | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · PIT takes the lead, 62–38%
MTL had led since 2:06 of the 1st, by as much as 69% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 19:30 | PIT | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.11–0.05
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:00 of the 2nd to the end of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 23:26 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 21:13 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.34 | 0 | 1 | 20:04 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 3 | 0 | 18:17 |
| 85 | Alexandre Texier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 16:48 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 15:56 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.64 | 0 | 0 | 14:44 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 13:05 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 |
| 62 | Owen Beck | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 10:07 |
| 0 | Sammy Blais | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.13 | 6 | 1 | 08:32 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.42 | 1 | 4 | 28:58 |
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.20 | 1 | 4 | 27:23 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.22 | 1 | 2 | 22:33 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 21:29 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 4 | 1 | 11:05 |
| 42 | Adam Engstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | 31 | 3 | 28 | .903 | 3.95 | +0.95 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 67 | Rickard Rakell | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 0.92 | 2 | 0 | 21:44 |
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 21:36 |
| 87 | Sidney Crosby | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 0.58 | 2 | 1 | 20:53 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.08 | 4 | 1 | 18:13 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 17:41 |
| 81 | Ben Kindel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.44 | 0 | 1 | 15:11 |
| 16 | Justin Brazeau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 2 | 1 | 14:27 |
| 2 | Rutger McGroarty | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 12:49 |
| 52 | Noel Acciari | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.16 | 3 | 0 | 12:34 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 4 | 0 | 12:00 |
| 41 | Ville Koivunen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 11:47 |
| 13 | Kevin Hayes | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 09:26 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 65 | Erik Karlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 27:07 |
| 58 | Kris Letang | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.06 | 3 | 0 | 23:36 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.42 | 1 | 1 | 21:51 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 3 | 21:34 |
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 |
| 6 | Jack St. Ivany | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.07 | 4 | 1 | 12:42 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | 25 | 3 | 22 | .880 | 3.07 | +0.07 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +2.24 | +1.30 | +0.42 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:44 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +2.04 | +1.40 | +0.13 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:13 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +1.97 | +1.30 | +0.07 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:56 |
| 75 Jakub Dobes G | +0.95 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.95 | 65:00 |
| 27 Sammy Blais L | +0.89 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:32 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.47 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:05 |
| 62 Owen Beck C | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 10:07 |
| 42 Adam Engstrom D | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 10:40 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 28:58 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | -0.04 | +0.55 | +0.13 | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 27:23 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.04 | — | 13:22 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:40 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:17 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:29 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | -0.77 | +0.75 | +0.14 | -1.56 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 22:33 |
| 85 Alexandre Texier L | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.83 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 16:48 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | -0.83 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -1.09 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 20:04 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | -1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:05 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | -1.22 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -1.35 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.03 | — | 23:26 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87 Sidney Crosby C | +2.78 | +1.30 | +0.38 | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 20:53 |
| 67 Rickard Rakell R | +2.74 | +1.30 | +0.60 | +0.85 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 21:44 |
| 77 Brett Kulak D | +1.57 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:51 |
| 17 Bryan Rust R | +1.46 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:36 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | +1.46 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +0.92 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 23:36 |
| 65 Erik Karlsson D | +1.28 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 27:07 |
| 81 Ben Kindel C | +1.22 | 0.00 | +0.28 | +0.90 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:11 |
| 41 Ville Koivunen R | +1.13 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:47 |
| 55 Noel Acciari C | +0.62 | +0.75 | +0.11 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:34 |
| 37 Arturs Silovs G | +0.62 | +0.55 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.07 | 65:00 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 21:34 |
| 2 Rutger McGroarty R | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.16 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:49 |
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:13 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.42 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:41 |
| 16 Justin Brazeau R | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.22 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:27 |
| 5 Ryan Shea D | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:49 |
| 13 Kevin Hayes R | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.36 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 9:26 |
| 3 Jack St. Ivany D | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:42 |
| 19 Connor Dewar C | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | — | 12:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.