hockeystats.io

New York RangersNYR 1–2 Final Nashville PredatorsNSH

Sunday, December 21, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New York RangersNYR 001 1 17
Nashville PredatorsNSH 011 2 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
10:44 NSH Filip Forsberg (16) Ryan O'Reilly (19), Adam Wilsby (5) · wrist xG 0.05 0–1 ▶
3rd Period
19:12 NSH Steven Stamkos (14)EN Cole Smith (1), Ryan O'Reilly (20) · wrist xG 0.58 0–2 ▶
19:23 NYR Jonny Brodzinski (3) Taylor Raddysh (3) · snap xG 0.40 1–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYR 31%Deserve to win69% NSH
NYRNSH
1.54Expected goals3.11
1Goals (no shootout)2
1.37Expected goals, 5 on 52.05
50Shot attempts64
30Unblocked attempts43
17Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
14:30 NSH xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.23–0.01
In xG over 10 minutes, 6:30 to 16:30 of the 1st; neither team scored
3rd Period
18:24 NYR Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Quick, down 1–0
With 1:36 left; NSH scored at 19:12 of the 3rd (0–2)

Shot map

NYR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NSH shoots
Scott Morrow: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:30) Scott Morrow: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:42) Michael Bunting: tip-in, 107 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:49) Vincent Trocheck: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:58) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:58) Vladislav Gavrikov: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:06) Brennan Othmann: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:22) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:11) Alexis Lafrenière: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:37) Scott Morrow: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:44) Michael McCarron: wrap-around, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:56) Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:29) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:03) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:14) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 7:16) Nick Perbix: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:06) Luke Evangelista: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 9:02) Will Borgen: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:09) Michael McCarron: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:18) Tyson Jost: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 10:35) Matthew Wood: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:05) Matthew Wood: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:53) Brady Skjei: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 13:55) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:08) Tyson Jost: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:39) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 15:50) Fedor Svechkov: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 15:52) Urho Vaakanainen: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:37) Mika Zibanejad: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:00) Filip Forsberg: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 18:53) Jonny Brodzinski: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:44) Vincent Trocheck: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:29) Michael Bunting: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 1:37) Brennan Othmann: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:46) Taylor Raddysh: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 3:42) Roman Josi: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:54) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:36) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:20) Michael Bunting: bat, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:21) Erik Haula: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:37) Jonny Brodzinski: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:51) Filip Forsberg: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 7:10) Michael Bunting: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:08) Artemi Panarin: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:03) Nick Perbix: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 12:22) Michael Bunting: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:50) Nick Perbix: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:52) Michael Bunting: backhand, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:19) Sam Carrick: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:40) Brady Skjei: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:59) Nicolas Hague: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:15) Nicolas Hague: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:18) Filip Forsberg: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:23) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:32) Brady Skjei: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:22) Tyson Jost: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:17) Tyson Jost: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:33) Luke Evangelista: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:48) Michael Bunting: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:23) Conor Sheary: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:30) Braden Schneider: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:16) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 9:07) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:33) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:36) Matthew Robertson: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:07) Mika Zibanejad: backhand, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:55) Alexis Lafrenière: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 16:37) Will Cuylle: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:34) Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 170 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:38) Jonny Brodzinski: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 19:21) Filip Forsberg: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:44) Steven Stamkos: GOAL, wrist, 114 ft, xG 0.58 (P3 19:12) Jonny Brodzinski: GOAL, snap, 6 ft, xG 0.40 (P3 19:23)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
16 Vincent Trocheck 000 -1 60.18 3124:15
10 Artemi Panarin 000 -1 50.04 0123:57
93 Mika Zibanejad 000 -1 30.04 1023:01
13 Alexis Lafrenière 000 -1 30.17 0219:41
50 Will Cuylle 000 -1 20.01 0118:45
14 Taylor Raddysh 011 +1 20.15 0214:19
43 Conor Sheary 000 0 30.03 0114:07
42 Noah Laba 000 0 10.00 0213:56
22 Jonny Brodzinski 101 0 60.63 1011:43
10 Sam Carrick 000 0 10.05 1109:46
Defense
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 000 -1 50.06 2126:24
4 Braden Schneider 000 0 20.02 1121:36
17 Will Borgen 000 0 10.01 3316:34
7 Carson Soucy 000 +1 10.00 2115:21
29 Matthew Robertson 000 -1 20.01 2012:27
18 Urho Vaakanainen 000 0 10.00 0003:59
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jonathan Quick 31130 .968 2.53 +1.53

Nashville Predators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
90 Ryan O'Reilly 022 +2 20.00 0121:24
56 Erik Haula 000 -1 20.06 2017:03
9 Filip Forsberg 101 +1 100.77 1216:57
91 Steven Stamkos 101 +2 20.64 1016:49
77 Luke Evangelista 000 -1 50.26 0016:27
58 Michael Bunting 000 0 90.29 1016:18
47 Michael McCarron 000 -1 20.06 2013:28
22 Cole Smith 011 +1 00.00 0012:44
71 Matthew Wood 000 0 20.10 1112:43
9 Fedor Svechkov 000 0 30.11 0011:32
17 Tyson Jost 000 0 50.23 1110:49
49 Reid Schaefer 000 0 00.00 7109:34
Defense
76 Brady Skjei 000 0 30.26 0222:32
48 Nick Perbix 000 -1 50.11 0321:19
59 Roman Josi 000 +1 30.04 0019:53
3 Nick Blankenburg 000 0 60.12 0219:45
41 Nicolas Hague 000 +1 50.07 1018:03
2 Adam Wilsby 011 +1 00.00 1316:40
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Justus Annunen 17116 .941 1.54 +0.54

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
22 Jonny Brodzinski C +1.63 +0.75 +0.41 +0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:43
32 Jonathan Quick G +1.53 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.53 59:12
14 Taylor Raddysh R +1.52 +0.70 +0.10 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 14:19
24 Carson Soucy D +0.78 0.00 0.00 +0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 15:21
39 Sam Carrick C +0.51 0.00 +0.03 +0.41 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 9:46
16 Vincent Trocheck C +0.25 0.00 +0.11 -0.13 +0.15 +0.07 +0.05 — 24:15
17 Will Borgen D -0.01 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 -0.15 0.00 +0.11 — 16:34
50 Will Cuylle L -0.15 0.00 +0.01 -0.16 0.00 +0.01 -0.01 — 18:45
60 Scott Morrow D -0.17 0.00 +0.02 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:14
42 Noah Laba C -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.37 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 13:56
78 Brennan Othmann L -0.28 0.00 +0.08 -0.55 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 10:43
18 Urho Vaakanainen D -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 3:59
13 Alexis Lafrenière L -0.40 0.00 +0.11 -0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 19:41
29 Matthew Robertson D -0.43 0.00 +0.01 -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:27
4 Braden Schneider D -0.56 0.00 +0.01 -0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 21:36
93 Mika Zibanejad C -0.60 0.00 +0.02 -0.60 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 23:01
43 Conor Sheary L -0.65 0.00 +0.02 -0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:07
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D -0.67 0.00 +0.04 -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.03 — 26:24
10 Artemi Panarin L -0.74 0.00 +0.02 -0.62 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 23:57

Nashville Predators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
90 Ryan O'Reilly C +2.14 +1.25 0.00 +0.86 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 21:24
9 Filip Forsberg L +2.11 +0.75 +0.50 +0.91 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 16:57
91 Steven Stamkos C +2.07 +0.75 +0.42 +0.91 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 16:49
37 Nick Blankenburg D +0.96 0.00 +0.08 +0.82 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 19:45
41 Nicolas Hague D +0.85 0.00 +0.04 +0.83 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:03
83 Adam Wilsby D +0.85 +0.55 0.00 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 16:40
58 Michael Bunting L +0.75 0.00 +0.19 +0.40 +0.15 -0.01 +0.02 — 16:18
29 Justus Annunen G +0.54 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.54 60:00
36 Cole Smith R +0.47 +0.70 0.00 -0.07 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 12:44
59 Roman Josi D +0.43 0.00 +0.02 +0.27 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 19:53
17 Tyson Jost C +0.42 0.00 +0.15 +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:49
71 Matthew Wood R +0.33 0.00 +0.06 +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:43
40 Fedor Svechkov C +0.26 0.00 +0.07 +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 11:32
49 Reid Schaefer L 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:34
76 Brady Skjei D -0.07 0.00 +0.17 -0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:32
48 Nick Perbix D -0.09 0.00 +0.07 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 21:19
77 Luke Evangelista R -0.16 0.00 +0.17 -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:27
56 Erik Haula L -0.19 0.00 +0.04 -0.19 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 17:03
47 Michael McCarron C -0.93 0.00 +0.04 -0.79 -0.15 -0.03 0.00 — 13:28

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.