| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 41 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:49 | Frederick Gaudreau (2)PP Shane Wright (8), Kaapo Kakko (4) · wrist xG 0.07 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 15:40 | Mikael Granlund (7) Jacob Trouba (11), Jackson LaCombe (16) · tip-in xG 0.07 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:04 | Jordan Eberle (11) Matty Beniers (15), Kaapo Kakko (5) · snap xG 0.09 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 19:24 | Jordan Eberle (12)EN Eeli Tolvanen (15) · backhand xG 0.39 | 3–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SEA | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.86 | Expected goals | 3.92 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 1.71 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.02 |
| 45 | Shot attempts | 76 |
| 33 | Unblocked attempts | 63 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 41 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:11 | SEA | Goalie | Goalie · Grubauer +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.04 xG, 17 shots on goal |
| 18:57 | ANA | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · ANA takes the lead, 60–40%
SEA had led since 8:44 of the 1st, by as much as 66% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:00 | SEA | No shift | No shift · Dunn, 13:32 on the bench
No shift after 2:53 of the 3rd; 18 shifts (15:14) before that |
| 18:08 | ANA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Dostal, down 2–1
With 1:52 left; SEA scored at 19:24 of the 3rd (3–1) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 21:21 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 19:46 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 18:37 |
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 3 | 18:28 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.49 | 2 | 1 | 18:07 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.16 | 2 | 1 | 17:07 |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.38 | 1 | 0 | 11:38 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.33 | 2 | 1 | 10:27 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 5 | 0 | 09:30 |
| 63 | Jacob Melanson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.21 | 4 | 0 | 08:39 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 0 | 25:04 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 23:12 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 20:33 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 |
| 28 | Josh Mahura | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 15:57 |
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 15:14 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | 41 | 1 | 40 | .976 | 3.92 | +2.92 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 64 | Mikael Granlund | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.24 | 2 | 1 | 20:59 |
| 19 | Troy Terry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 | 19:36 |
| 22 | Chris Kreider | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 19:11 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 2 | 1 | 18:00 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0.86 | 1 | 0 | 17:45 |
| 83 | Mason McTavish | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 16:31 |
| 25 | Ryan Poehling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 13:42 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 12:33 |
| 77 | Frank Vatrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 11:23 |
| 22 | Ryan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 10:56 |
| 49 | Ross Johnston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 4 | 0 | 10:28 |
| 10 | Jansen Harkins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 08:51 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 24:58 |
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.17 | 3 | 2 | 21:07 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.28 | 0 | 4 | 19:24 |
| 6 | Radko Gudas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 18:59 |
| 3 | Ian Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 0 | 2 | 16:00 |
| 8 | Olen Zellweger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.19 | 2 | 0 | 15:57 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | 20 | 2 | 18 | .900 | 2.47 | +0.47 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Philipp Grubauer G | +2.92 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.92 | 60:00 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +1.32 | +1.50 | +0.32 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:07 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.98 | +0.70 | +0.25 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 11:38 |
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | +0.91 | +1.10 | +0.10 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:07 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:27 |
| 38 Jani Nyman R | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:57 |
| 63 Jacob Melanson R | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 8:39 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +0.25 | +0.70 | +0.07 | -0.47 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.11 | — | 18:28 |
| 28 Josh Mahura D | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:57 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.07 | +0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:30 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 18:10 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | +0.03 | +0.70 | +0.06 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:37 |
| 59 Ben Meyers C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.32 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:13 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | -0.39 | +0.75 | +0.13 | -1.24 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.02 | — | 19:46 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 15:14 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -1.01 | +0.15 | -0.04 | +0.07 | — | 21:21 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | -0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 23:12 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | -0.92 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 20:33 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | -0.94 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 25:04 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | +1.83 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +1.01 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 24:58 |
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | +1.78 | 0.00 | +0.56 | +1.21 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 17:45 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | +1.72 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.98 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:07 |
| 64 Mikael Granlund C | +1.62 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.52 | +0.15 | +0.04 | +0.01 | — | 20:59 |
| 23 Mason McTavish C | +1.48 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +1.21 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.04 | — | 16:31 |
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | +1.20 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 18:00 |
| 19 Troy Terry R | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.37 | +0.52 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:36 |
| 74 Ian Moore D | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 16:00 |
| 77 Frank Vatrano R | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:23 |
| 24 Jansen Harkins C | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 8:51 |
| 1 Lukas Dostal G | +0.47 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.47 | 58:44 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 19:24 |
| 20 Chris Kreider L | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.23 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 19:11 |
| 51 Olen Zellweger D | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.38 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:57 |
| 16 Ryan Strome C | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.34 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 10:56 |
| 7 Radko Gudas D | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 18:59 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.42 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 12:33 |
| 44 Ross Johnston L | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.45 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:28 |
| 25 Ryan Poehling C | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:42 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.