| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 30 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:07 | Mason Marchment (6)PP Damon Severson (9), Dmitri Voronkov (11) · wrist xG 0.07 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 19:36 | Mason Marchment (7)PP Damon Severson (10), Boone Jenner (10) · deflected xG 0.10 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 18:41 | Andrei Kuzmenko (6) Mikey Anderson (6), Drew Doughty (9) · wrist xG 0.02 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 14:16 | Kirill Marchenko (11)PP Denton Mateychuk (8), Adam Fantilli (11) · snap xG 0.09 | 3–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CBJ | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | Expected goals | 2.44 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 1.07 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.91 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 57 |
| 44 | Unblocked attempts | 39 |
| 30 | Shots on goal | 24 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:48 | LAK | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · LAK takes the lead, 60–40%
CBJ had led since 6:32 of the 1st, by as much as 67% |
| 16:50 | LAK | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.13–0.12
In xG over 10 minutes, 6:50 to 16:50 of the 1st; neither team scored |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 12:00 | CBJ | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 61–39%
LAK had led since 16:48 of the 1st, by as much as 69% |
| 12:20 | CBJ | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.16–0.15
In xG over 10 minutes, 2:20 to 12:20 of the 2nd; neither team scored |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:53 | LAK | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Forsberg, down 3–1
With 1:07 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 22:03 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.28 | 2 | 2 | 19:58 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 18:41 |
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 17:26 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 16:01 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 13:36 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 13:28 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 12:40 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.61 | 2 | 0 | 12:08 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:53 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:16 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 28:35 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.05 | 1 | 3 | 27:12 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 19:06 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 3 | 3 | 18:46 |
| 7 | Brendan Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:59 |
| 2 | Jake Christiansen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 09:50 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 24 | 1 | 23 | .958 | 2.44 | +1.44 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 20:29 |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 20:23 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.17 | 6 | 0 | 20:03 |
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 19:26 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.50 | 3 | 0 | 16:48 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 16:46 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 |
| 37 | Warren Foegele | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 13:31 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:36 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 1 | 1 | 12:26 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 11:14 |
| 79 | Samuel Helenius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 01:10 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 23:59 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 18:55 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 18:46 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 18:26 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 17:43 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:54 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg | 30 | 3 | 27 | .900 | 2.65 | -0.35 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mason Marchment L | +2.00 | +1.50 | +0.28 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:01 |
| 73 Jet Greaves G | +1.44 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.44 | 60:00 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | +1.19 | +1.40 | +0.06 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:06 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +0.89 | +0.75 | +0.10 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 17:26 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | +0.83 | +0.55 | +0.40 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:08 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +0.68 | +0.70 | +0.06 | -0.24 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 28:35 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +0.64 | +0.55 | +0.18 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 18:41 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | +0.23 | +0.55 | +0.18 | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.06 | — | 19:58 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.12 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:40 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:36 |
| 7 Brendan Smith D | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:59 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:28 |
| 2 Jake Christiansen D | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:50 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.34 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 18:46 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.07 | — | 22:03 |
| 65 Luca Del Bel Belluz C | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 6:22 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 11:53 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:16 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 27:12 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | +1.92 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 18:46 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | +1.72 | +0.55 | +0.14 | +1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:59 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | +1.31 | +0.75 | +0.18 | +0.57 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:16 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | +1.12 | 0.00 | +0.33 | +0.81 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 16:48 |
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +1.15 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:26 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.66 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.01 | — | 20:23 |
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.09 | +0.30 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 12:26 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.13 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 20:29 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 20:03 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.24 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:26 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.05 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:55 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:46 |
| 37 Warren Foegele L | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:31 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:43 |
| 79 Samuel Helenius C | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 1:10 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 12:36 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:54 |
| 10 Corey Perry R | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.07 | -0.30 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 11:14 |
| 31 Anton Forsberg G | -0.35 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.35 | 57:15 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.