| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 29 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:08 | Sammy Blais (2) Lane Hutson (28), Noah Dobson (15) · wrist xG 0.07 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 12:25 | Marat Khusnutdinov (5) Mason Lohrei (12) · wrist xG 0.16 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 19:42 | Alex Steeves (8)PP David Pastrnak (26), Viktor Arvidsson (8) · snap xG 0.10 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:58 | Ivan Demidov (9) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.30 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:04 | Zachary Bolduc (10) Nick Suzuki (31), Lane Hutson (29) · wrist xG 0.10 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 8:43 | Cole Caufield (18)PP Noah Dobson (16), Ivan Demidov (21) · wrist xG 0.48 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 10:09 | Nick Suzuki (11)PP Juraj Slafkovský (14), Noah Dobson (17) · bat xG 0.09 | 5–2 ▶ | |
| 12:22 | Juraj Slafkovský (11) Lane Hutson (30) · slap xG 0.12 | 6–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MTL | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | Expected goals | 2.55 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.83 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.27 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 43 | Unblocked attempts | 35 |
| 29 | Shots on goal | 28 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:20 | BOS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.53–0.17
In xG over 10 minutes, 11:10 of the 1st to 1:10 of the 2nd; goals 2–0 |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 13:20 | MTL | No shift | No shift · Texier, 24:55 on the bench
No shift after 0:49 of the 2nd; 7 shifts (4:20) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:08 | MTL | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · MTL takes the lead, 61–39%
BOS had led since 13:46 of the 1st, by as much as 77% |
| 10:10 | MTL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.54–0.35
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:10 to 10:10 of the 3rd; goals 3–0 |
| 12:22 | BOS | Goalie | Goalie · Swayman −2.7 goals saved
6 goals on 3.30 xG, 28 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.39 | 1 | 2 | 23:26 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.99 | 1 | 0 | 18:51 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.25 | 2 | 0 | 18:19 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.33 | 3 | 0 | 17:49 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 2 | 17:01 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 15:29 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.07 | 3 | 0 | 15:24 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 14:07 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 12:36 |
| 0 | Sammy Blais | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.15 | 3 | 1 | 09:10 |
| 85 | Alexandre Texier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 04:20 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 0 | 2 | 24:04 |
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.12 | 0 | 7 | 23:34 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 22:44 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 20:07 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.05 | 3 | 0 | 10:44 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 07:42 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fowler | 28 | 2 | 26 | .929 | 2.55 | +0.55 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 6 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 20:14 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.31 | 1 | 1 | 18:04 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.48 | 2 | 1 | 16:40 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.16 | 3 | 0 | 15:17 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 15:10 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 14:34 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 13:41 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 12:50 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.11 | 3 | 0 | 10:44 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.16 | 2 | 1 | 10:24 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.17 | 3 | 0 | 10:23 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 3 | 1 | 26:44 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 19:43 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 17:43 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 16:56 |
| 18 | Vladislav Kolyachonok | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 3 | 10:35 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 29 | 6 | 23 | .793 | 3.50 | -2.50 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +3.55 | +1.95 | +0.09 | +1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:44 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +2.44 | +1.45 | +0.26 | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 23:26 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +2.21 | +1.80 | +0.18 | -0.15 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 24:04 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +2.01 | +1.30 | +0.20 | +0.69 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 14:07 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +1.88 | +0.75 | +0.64 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:51 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +1.82 | +1.45 | +0.16 | +0.52 | -0.30 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:19 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +1.61 | +0.75 | +0.21 | +0.53 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 17:49 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:07 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.57 | +0.15 | +0.04 | +0.10 | — | 17:01 |
| 27 Sammy Blais L | +0.91 | +0.75 | +0.10 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:10 |
| 32 Jacob Fowler G | +0.55 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.55 | 59:37 |
| 85 Alexandre Texier L | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.26 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 4:20 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.19 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.31 | — | 23:34 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:42 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.07 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 12:36 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:44 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.10 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.02 | — | 14:03 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.15 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:24 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.19 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 15:29 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +1.08 | +0.75 | +0.10 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:24 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | +0.79 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 16:56 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | +0.75 | +0.75 | +0.07 | +0.20 | -0.30 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 10:44 |
| 74 Vladislav Kolyachonok D | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.09 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 10:35 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +0.30 | +0.55 | +0.09 | -0.19 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:34 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 13:41 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +0.20 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.73 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:14 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 15:10 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | — | 18:04 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 20:17 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:23 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.31 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 16:40 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.28 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 14:36 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 12:50 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.70 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 17:43 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.14 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 19:43 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 26:44 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | -0.68 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.68 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.06 | — | 15:17 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | -2.50 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.50 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.