New Jersey DevilsNJD 1–2 Final New York IslandersNYI

Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
New Jersey DevilsNJD	1	0	0	1	32
New York IslandersNYI	0	1	1	2	25

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
15:35	NJD	Brett Pesce (1) Nico Hischier (19), Dawson Mercer (14) · wrist xG 0.11	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
12:10	NYI	Simon Holmstrom (7) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.11	1–1 ▶
3rd Period
18:45	NYI	Adam Pelech (2) Anders Lee (15), Simon Holmstrom (9) · slap xG 0.18	1–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NJD 60%Deserve to win40% NYI

NJD		NYI
3.99	Expected goals	3.39
1	Goals (no shootout)	2
3.55	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.33
62	Shot attempts	69
49	Unblocked attempts	47
32	Shots on goal	25

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
11:32	NJD	Goalie	Goalie · Markstrom +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.04 xG, 13 shots on goal
18:30	NYI	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NJD 1.12–0.03 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:30 to 19:30 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
1:50	NJD	No shift	No shift · Cotter, 11:35 on the bench No shift from 11:46 of the 2nd to 3:21 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (6:58) before that
1:50	NJD	No shift	No shift · Noesen, 11:25 on the bench No shift from 11:46 of the 2nd to 3:11 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (5:53) before that
12:03	NYI	Goalie	Goalie · Rittich +2.0 goals saved 1 goal on 3.02 xG, 28 shots on goal
12:10	NJD	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.65–0.08 In xG over 10 minutes, 3:40 to 13:40 of the 3rd; neither team scored
15:19	NJD	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · NJD takes the lead, 61–39% NYI had led since 4:21 of the 1st, by as much as 74%
19:00	NJD	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Markstrom, down 2–1 With 1:00 left

Shot map

NJD shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYI shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New Jersey Devils

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
86	Jack Hughes	0	0	0	-2	2	0.28	0	0	20:27
13	Nico Hischier	0	1	1	0	3	0.17	0	3	18:54
91	Dawson Mercer	0	1	1	+1	4	0.51	0	1	18:00
28	Timo Meier	0	0	0	+1	12	1.17	1	0	17:51
16	Connor Brown	0	0	0	0	5	0.56	0	0	17:49
12	Cody Glass	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	17:31
63	Jesper Bratt	0	0	0	-2	5	0.27	0	1	16:22
81	Arseny Gritsyuk	0	0	0	0	6	0.21	1	0	15:01
81	Ondrej Palat	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	0	0	11:50
47	Paul Cotter	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	09:47
41	Luke Glendening	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	3	1	09:38
11	Stefan Noesen	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	08:57
Defense
43	Luke Hughes	0	0	0	+1	6	0.16	0	2	23:57
22	Brett Pesce	1	0	1	+1	6	0.17	0	4	21:55
71	Jonas Siegenthaler	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	20:30
7	Dougie Hamilton	0	0	0	-1	5	0.16	2	2	20:02
5	Brenden Dillon	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	3	18:46
6	Colton White	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	2	13:43

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jacob Markstrom	25	2	23	.920	3.33	+1.33

New York Islanders

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Mathew Barzal	0	0	0	+2	5	0.33	0	0	21:14
92	Simon Holmstrom	1	1	2	+2	3	0.25	1	0	17:06
72	Anders Lee	0	1	1	+2	7	0.33	0	0	16:51
51	Emil Heineman	0	0	0	0	6	0.17	4	0	16:49
92	Jonathan Drouin	0	0	0	0	4	0.48	0	0	16:25
44	Jean-Gabriel Pageau	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	2	1	14:56
11	Anthony Duclair	0	0	0	0	5	0.55	0	1	14:54
49	Maxim Shabanov	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	3	0	14:52
64	Calum Ritchie	0	0	0	0	4	0.01	0	2	13:30
32	Kyle MacLean	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	2	0	11:26
17	Marc Gatcomb	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	0	10:58
53	Casey Cizikas	0	0	0	-1	3	0.23	3	0	10:45
Defense
3	Adam Pelech	1	0	1	0	8	0.24	0	3	23:12
6	Ryan Pulock	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	0	21:48
77	Tony DeAngelo	0	0	0	-1	4	0.02	0	0	21:45
48	Matthew Schaefer	0	0	0	+1	4	0.15	1	2	21:12
24	Scott Mayfield	0	0	0	+1	4	0.04	2	1	17:53

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
David Rittich	32	1	31	.969	3.99	+2.99

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New Jersey Devils

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
13 Nico Hischier C	+2.32	+0.70	+0.11	+1.28	+0.10	+0.13	—	18:54
28 Timo Meier R	+2.03	0.00	+0.76	+1.28	-0.01	0.00	—	17:51
91 Dawson Mercer C	+1.97	+0.55	+0.33	+1.04	0.00	+0.05	—	18:00
25 Jacob Markstrom G	+1.33	0.00	—	—	—	—	+1.33	59:00
22 Brett Pesce D	+1.30	+0.75	+0.11	+0.24	0.00	+0.20	—	21:55
7 Dougie Hamilton D	+0.85	0.00	+0.10	+0.69	0.00	+0.06	—	20:02
16 Connor Brown R	+0.76	0.00	+0.36	+0.43	0.00	-0.04	—	17:49
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D	+0.52	0.00	0.00	+0.47	0.00	+0.05	—	20:30
43 Luke Hughes D	+0.38	0.00	+0.10	+0.24	0.00	+0.04	—	23:57
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R	+0.30	0.00	+0.14	+0.17	0.00	0.00	—	15:01
12 Cody Glass C	+0.05	0.00	+0.03	+0.07	-0.02	-0.02	—	17:31
86 Jack Hughes C	-0.51	0.00	+0.18	-0.67	0.00	-0.02	—	20:27
63 Jesper Bratt L	-0.51	0.00	+0.18	-0.73	-0.01	+0.05	—	16:22
5 Brenden Dillon D	-0.56	0.00	+0.01	-0.72	0.00	+0.15	—	18:46
47 Paul Cotter L	-0.56	0.00	0.00	-0.57	+0.01	0.00	—	9:47
45 Colton White D	-0.57	0.00	+0.01	-0.65	0.00	+0.06	—	13:43
18 Ondrej Palat L	-0.60	0.00	0.00	-0.60	0.00	0.00	—	11:50
11 Stefan Noesen R	-0.62	0.00	+0.05	-0.67	+0.01	-0.02	—	8:57
14 Luke Glendening C	-0.66	0.00	+0.11	-0.81	-0.02	+0.05	—	9:38

New York Islanders

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
33 David Rittich G	+2.99	0.00	—	—	—	—	+2.99	60:00
10 Simon Holmstrom R	+2.39	+1.30	+0.16	+0.95	0.00	-0.02	—	17:06
27 Anders Lee L	+1.96	+0.70	+0.21	+1.07	-0.02	0.00	—	16:51
3 Adam Pelech D	+1.16	+0.75	+0.16	+0.10	0.00	+0.15	—	23:12
13 Mathew Barzal C	+1.14	0.00	+0.21	+0.89	+0.01	+0.02	—	21:14
24 Scott Mayfield D	+0.82	0.00	+0.02	+0.79	0.00	+0.01	—	17:53
41 Marshall Warren D	+0.47	0.00	+0.07	+0.35	0.00	+0.05	—	14:24
11 Anthony Duclair L	+0.14	0.00	+0.36	-0.24	-0.01	+0.03	—	14:54
53 Casey Cizikas C	+0.06	0.00	+0.15	-0.13	+0.04	0.00	—	10:45
32 Kyle MacLean C	+0.01	0.00	+0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.00	—	11:26
48 Matthew Schaefer D	-0.07	0.00	+0.10	-0.26	0.00	+0.10	—	21:12
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	-0.22	0.00	+0.14	-0.43	+0.01	+0.05	—	14:56
51 Emil Heineman L	-0.25	0.00	+0.11	-0.36	0.00	0.00	—	16:49
49 Max Shabanov R	-0.27	0.00	+0.11	-0.36	0.00	-0.02	—	14:52
16 Marc Gatcomb C	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.33	-0.01	+0.02	—	10:58
64 Calum Ritchie C	-0.44	0.00	+0.01	-0.44	-0.09	+0.08	—	13:30
6 Ryan Pulock D	-0.54	0.00	0.00	-0.54	0.00	0.00	—	21:48
29 Jonathan Drouin L	-0.55	0.00	+0.31	-0.87	+0.01	0.00	—	16:25
77 Tony DeAngelo D	-0.65	0.00	+0.01	-0.64	0.00	-0.02	—	21:45

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.