hockeystats.io

San Jose SharksSJS 2–7 Final Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
San Jose SharksSJS 011 2 23
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 511 7 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:46 VGK Brett Howden (6) Braeden Bowman (7), Reilly Smith (4) · snap xG 0.25 0–1 ▶
9:07 VGK Mitch Marner (8)PP Noah Hanifin (9), Pavel Dorofeyev (9) · wrist xG 0.06 0–2 ▶
11:37 VGK Colton Sissons (2) Keegan Kolesar (5), Brandon Saad (4) · wrist xG 0.07 0–3 ▶
14:57 VGK Tomas Hertl (15) Pavel Dorofeyev (10) · snap xG 0.34 0–4 ▶
18:34 VGK Mark Stone (8) Ivan Barbashev (15), Kaedan Korczak (4) · backhand xG 0.23 0–5 ▶
2nd Period
6:49 SJS Macklin Celebrini (19) Tyler Toffoli (14) · snap xG 0.12 1–5 ▶
18:50 VGK Reilly Smith (5) Kaedan Korczak (5), Braeden Bowman (8) · slap xG 0.12 1–6 ▶
3rd Period
5:22 VGK Mitch Marner (9) Mark Stone (21), Ivan Barbashev (16) · wrist xG 0.23 1–7 ▶
8:04 SJS Collin Graf (10) Tyler Toffoli (15), Alexander Wennberg (16) · wrist xG 0.03 2–7 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SJS 13%Deserve to win87% VGK
SJSVGK
1.77Expected goals4.29
2Goals (no shootout)7
1.77Expected goals, 5 on 53.31
44Shot attempts48
35Unblocked attempts42
23Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:00 VGK xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.38–0.15
In xG over 10 minutes, 1:40 to 11:40 of the 1st; goals 3–0
14:57 SJS Goalie change Goalie change · Nedeljkovic in for Askarov
14:57 of the 1st; Askarov had allowed 4 goals on 16 shots (2.45 xG)
2nd Period
1:40 VGK xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.21–0.01
In xG over 10 minutes, 11:40 of the 1st to 1:40 of the 2nd; goals 2–0

Shot map

SJS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VGK shoots
Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:21) Mark Stone: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 1:01) Mario Ferraro: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:55) Tyler Toffoli: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:02) Ivan Barbashev: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:16) Brandon Saad: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:14) Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 5:19) Colton Sissons: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:20) Ben Hutton: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:28) Colton Sissons: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:30) William Eklund: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:59) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 7:21) Noah Hanifin: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:01) Mitch Marner: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:41) Brett Howden: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 9:23) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:02) Shakir Mukhamadullin: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:24) Keegan Kolesar: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:36) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:19) Pavel Dorofeyev: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:22) Alexander Holtz: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:29) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.42 (P1 14:32) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:40) John Klingberg: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:14) Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 101 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:09) Zach Whitecloud: slap, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:58) Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:04) Macklin Celebrini: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:35) Mitch Marner: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 7:59) Mark Stone: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 8:00) Tomas Hertl: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 8:14) Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 8:35) Pavel Dorofeyev: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:04) Tomas Hertl: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 9:42) Barclay Goodrow: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:33) John Klingberg: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:18) Zach Whitecloud: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:16) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:25) Colton Sissons: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:17) Igor Chernyshov: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:51) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:17) William Eklund: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 1:31) William Eklund: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:32) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 80 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:38) Ty Dellandrea: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 2:18) Igor Chernyshov: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:53) William Eklund: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:54) William Eklund: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:40) William Eklund: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 3:50) John Klingberg: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:00) Macklin Celebrini: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:06) Igor Chernyshov: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 6:26) Tyler Toffoli: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:03) Barclay Goodrow: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:20) John Klingberg: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:25) Brett Howden: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:49) Mitch Marner: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:00) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:25) Ty Dellandrea: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:59) Jeff Skinner: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 12:09) Ethan Cardwell: bat, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:10) Mitch Marner: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 12:58) Shakir Mukhamadullin: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:42) Mitch Marner: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 15:34) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:57) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:05) Ethan Cardwell: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:27) Zack Ostapchuk: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:58) Brett Howden: GOAL, snap, 13 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 1:46) Mitch Marner: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:07) Colton Sissons: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 11:37) Tomas Hertl: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.34 (P1 14:57) Mark Stone: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 18:34) Macklin Celebrini: GOAL, snap, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 6:49) Reilly Smith: GOAL, slap, 37 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:50) Mitch Marner: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 5:22) Collin Graf: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:04)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Macklin Celebrini 101 0 60.33 0120:04
27 William Eklund 000 -1 60.64 1119:09
21 Alexander Wennberg 011 -1 20.00 2117:38
51 Collin Graf 101 +1 20.03 1017:26
92 Igor Chernyshov 000 0 30.19 1116:50
73 Tyler Toffoli 022 0 20.06 0015:24
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 0 20.06 2013:37
10 Ty Dellandrea 000 -3 30.15 2011:38
75 Ryan Reaves 000 0 10.00 5011:20
63 Zack Ostapchuk 000 0 10.03 5010:41
53 Jeff Skinner 000 -4 20.11 1009:02
Defense
9 Dmitry Orlov 000 -2 10.00 4221:22
38 Mario Ferraro 000 -2 10.01 0020:44
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin 000 -2 40.03 0020:02
3 John Klingberg 000 -1 60.10 1019:58
4 Nick Leddy 000 -1 00.00 0019:46
6 Sam Dickinson 000 0 00.00 0018:22
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Yaroslav Askarov 16412 .750 2.45 -1.55
Alex Nedeljkovic 1037 .700 1.84 -1.16

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 Alexander Holtz 000 0 20.03 0018:13
48 Tomas Hertl 101 -1 50.78 0017:52
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 022 0 60.88 0017:26
93 Mitch Marner 202 +2 80.81 1016:53
61 Mark Stone 112 +2 30.41 0015:48
21 Brett Howden 101 +2 30.52 1015:47
20 Brandon Saad 011 0 20.05 0014:19
55 Keegan Kolesar 011 0 20.22 1014:16
19 Reilly Smith 112 +2 10.12 0013:56
15 Colton Sissons 101 +1 40.20 1013:03
42 Braeden Bowman 022 +2 10.00 0112:31
49 Ivan Barbashev 022 +2 10.02 0111:34
Defense
15 Noah Hanifin 011 +2 30.09 1121:23
17 Ben Hutton 000 +1 10.04 0120:29
6 Kaedan Korczak 022 +1 00.00 1120:19
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 +2 30.04 4319:26
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 +1 20.06 2017:30
3 Brayden McNabb 000 +1 10.00 1117:15
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Carter Hart 23221 .913 1.77 -0.23

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Macklin Celebrini C +1.31 +0.75 +0.21 +0.22 0.00 +0.04 +0.09 — 20:04
73 Tyler Toffoli C +0.96 +1.40 +0.04 -0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:24
51 Collin Graf R +0.72 +0.75 +0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:26
92 Igor Chernyshov L +0.47 0.00 +0.12 +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 16:50
63 Zack Ostapchuk C +0.11 0.00 +0.02 -0.23 +0.30 +0.02 0.00 — 10:41
21 Alexander Wennberg C -0.13 +0.55 0.00 -0.72 0.00 -0.03 +0.07 — 17:38
23 Barclay Goodrow C -0.18 0.00 +0.04 -0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:37
75 Ryan Reaves R -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:20
9 Dmitry Orlov D -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:22
3 John Klingberg D -0.40 0.00 +0.06 -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:58
72 William Eklund L -0.43 0.00 +0.42 -0.59 -0.30 -0.01 +0.05 — 19:09
38 Mario Ferraro D -0.64 0.00 +0.01 -0.47 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 20:44
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D -0.72 0.00 +0.02 -0.58 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:02
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G -1.16 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.16 45:03
4 Nick Leddy D -1.34 0.00 0.00 -1.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:46
53 Jeff Skinner L -1.39 0.00 +0.07 -1.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:02
6 Sam Dickinson D -1.45 0.00 0.00 -1.41 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:22
10 Ty Dellandrea C -1.46 0.00 +0.10 -1.57 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 11:38
30 Yaroslav Askarov G -1.55 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.55 14:57
56 Ethan Cardwell R -1.97 0.00 +0.01 -1.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:48

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
93 Mitch Marner R +3.38 +1.50 +0.53 +1.29 +0.15 -0.05 -0.04 — 16:53
61 Mark Stone R +2.96 +1.45 +0.26 +1.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:48
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +2.57 +1.25 +0.57 +0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 17:26
6 Kaedan Korczak D +2.47 +1.25 0.00 +1.19 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:19
49 Ivan Barbashev L +2.36 +1.25 +0.02 +0.92 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 11:34
19 Reilly Smith R +2.04 +1.30 +0.08 +0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:56
42 Braeden Bowman R +2.01 +1.25 0.00 +0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:31
48 Tomas Hertl C +1.64 +0.75 +0.51 +0.42 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 17:52
21 Brett Howden C +1.49 +0.75 +0.34 +0.40 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 15:47
5 Jeremy Lauzon D +1.44 0.00 +0.03 +1.13 +0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 19:26
15 Noah Hanifin D +1.29 +0.70 +0.06 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:23
3 Brayden McNabb D +1.24 0.00 0.00 +1.21 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:15
10 Colton Sissons C +1.23 +0.75 +0.13 +0.19 +0.15 +0.03 -0.02 — 13:03
20 Brandon Saad L +0.66 +0.55 +0.03 +0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:19
2 Zach Whitecloud D +0.65 0.00 +0.04 +0.77 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 17:30
26 Alexander Holtz R +0.58 0.00 +0.02 +0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:13
55 Keegan Kolesar R +0.49 +0.70 +0.15 -0.35 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 14:16
79 Carter Hart G -0.23 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.23 60:00
17 Ben Hutton D -0.28 0.00 +0.02 -0.22 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 20:29

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.