New York RangersNYR 0–2 Final New York IslandersNYI

Saturday, December 27, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New York RangersNYR 000 0 27
New York IslandersNYI 101 2 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:58 NYI Anders Lee (10) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.23 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
19:43 NYI Simon Holmstrom (8)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.53 0–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYR 33%Deserve to win67% NYI
NYRNYI
2.55Expected goals4.40
0Goals (no shootout)2
1.30Expected goals, 5 on 52.41
64Shot attempts58
42Unblocked attempts39
27Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:00 NYI xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.17–0.12
In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; goals 1–0
3rd Period
3:50 NYR Goalie Goalie · Shesterkin +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.14 xG, 22 shots on goal
16:05 NYI Goalie Goalie · Rittich +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.00 xG, 23 shots on goal
17:53 NYR Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Shesterkin, down 1–0
With 2:07 left; NYI scored at 19:43 of the 3rd (0–2)

Shot map

NYR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYI shoots
Mathew Barzal: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 0:56) Emil Heineman: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 2:50) Artemi Panarin: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 3:08) Anders Lee: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:48) Mathew Barzal: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:49) Kyle MacLean: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.34 (P1 6:10) Marshall Warren: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:58) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:08) Adam Pelech: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:07) Will Cuylle: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:25) Will Cuylle: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:26) Will Borgen: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:38) Casey Cizikas: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:38) Marshall Warren: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:11) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:17) Tony DeAngelo: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:08) Maxim Shabanov: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:14) Bo Horvat: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:58) Carson Soucy: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:28) Mathew Barzal: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:26) Brennan Othmann: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:06) Will Borgen: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:20) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:52) Vincent Trocheck: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:57) Mathew Barzal: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:06) Marshall Warren: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:23) Maxim Shabanov: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:25) Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:08) Matt Rempe: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 3:41) Sam Carrick: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:42) Sam Carrick: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 3:43) Bo Horvat: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:17) Bo Horvat: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:58) Maxim Shabanov: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:01) Simon Holmstrom: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 6:37) Marc Gatcomb: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 7:39) Scott Mayfield: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:46) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 7:59) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:55) Mathew Barzal: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:35) Jonathan Drouin: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 11:57) Carson Soucy: snap, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:28) Will Cuylle: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 14:35) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:02) Brennan Othmann: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:54) Carson Soucy: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:15) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:25) Vladislav Gavrikov: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:42) Artemi Panarin: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 0:27) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:41) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 0:43) Jonathan Drouin: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 1:10) Scott Mayfield: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:15) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:38) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:52) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:28) Bo Horvat: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 3:30) Mathew Barzal: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 3:50) Kyle MacLean: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:42) Brennan Othmann: backhand, 38 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:56) Will Cuylle: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:38) Emil Heineman: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 8:53) Carson Soucy: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 9:14) Carson Soucy: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 9:18) Vincent Trocheck: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:19) Scott Morrow: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:46) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:43) Bo Horvat: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 13:11) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:48) Scott Morrow: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:05) Will Cuylle: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:15) Bo Horvat: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 16:54) Bo Horvat: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:55) Vincent Trocheck: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 17:33) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: snap, 169 ft, xG 0.29 (P3 18:02) Artemi Panarin: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 18:24) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:48) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:17) Will Cuylle: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:22) Anders Lee: GOAL, wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 0:58) Simon Holmstrom: GOAL, wrist, 94 ft, xG 0.53 (P3 19:43)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mika Zibanejad 000 -1 20.06 2424:19
16 Vincent Trocheck 000 -2 50.22 3022:38
10 Artemi Panarin 000 -1 150.62 0121:50
50 Will Cuylle 000 -1 70.60 5420:13
14 Taylor Raddysh 000 0 00.00 1014:47
13 Alexis Lafrenière 000 -1 30.08 0214:28
42 Noah Laba 000 0 10.00 1314:13
94 Gabe Perreault 000 -1 40.03 1013:27
10 Sam Carrick 000 0 20.16 0009:43
22 Jonny Brodzinski 000 -1 10.02 0009:01
73 Matt Rempe 000 0 10.13 4005:44
Defense
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 000 0 30.07 0023:47
4 Braden Schneider 000 0 20.00 3121:46
17 Will Borgen 000 -1 30.03 1116:38
29 Matthew Robertson 000 0 20.00 1015:52
7 Carson Soucy 000 -1 60.43 2015:33
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Igor Shesterkin 25124 .960 3.58 +2.58

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Bo Horvat 000 +1 90.67 1322:41
13 Mathew Barzal 000 +1 70.69 1021:30
92 Simon Holmstrom 101 +2 30.72 0018:44
51 Emil Heineman 000 0 50.18 1016:59
72 Anders Lee 101 +1 30.28 0316:10
64 Calum Ritchie 000 0 00.00 0015:19
92 Jonathan Drouin 000 0 20.34 0015:07
53 Casey Cizikas 000 0 10.09 0013:37
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 000 +1 30.39 0112:58
32 Kyle MacLean 000 0 20.40 3010:10
49 Maxim Shabanov 000 0 30.16 1009:38
17 Marc Gatcomb 000 0 10.08 5308:32
Defense
48 Matthew Schaefer 000 0 90.10 0227:03
6 Ryan Pulock 000 +1 00.00 1321:34
3 Adam Pelech 000 +2 10.02 0121:25
77 Tony DeAngelo 000 +1 20.10 0018:24
24 Scott Mayfield 000 0 30.10 1213:38
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
David Rittich 27027 1.000 2.55 +2.55

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
31 Igor Shesterkin G +2.58 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.58 58:10
39 Sam Carrick C +0.36 0.00 +0.10 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 9:43
10 Artemi Panarin L +0.32 0.00 +0.40 -0.26 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 21:50
93 Mika Zibanejad C +0.32 0.00 +0.04 +0.11 0.00 +0.01 +0.16 — 24:19
78 Brennan Othmann L +0.28 0.00 +0.04 +0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 5:47
73 Matt Rempe C +0.27 0.00 +0.08 +0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 5:44
50 Will Cuylle L +0.19 0.00 +0.39 -0.24 -0.15 -0.01 +0.20 — 20:13
14 Taylor Raddysh R -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 14:47
13 Alexis Lafrenière L -0.09 0.00 +0.05 -0.07 -0.15 -0.02 +0.10 — 14:28
4 Braden Schneider D -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 21:46
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D -0.27 0.00 +0.05 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 23:47
29 Matthew Robertson D -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:52
42 Noah Laba C -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.59 +0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 14:13
60 Scott Morrow D -0.37 0.00 +0.03 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:04
24 Carson Soucy D -0.44 0.00 +0.28 -0.87 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:33
17 Will Borgen D -0.59 0.00 +0.02 -0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:38
16 Vincent Trocheck C -1.04 0.00 +0.14 -1.10 -0.15 +0.07 0.00 — 22:38
22 Jonny Brodzinski C -1.25 0.00 +0.01 -1.27 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 9:01
94 Gabe Perreault R -1.41 0.00 +0.02 -1.41 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 13:27

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
33 David Rittich G +2.70 0.00 — — +0.15 — — +2.55 60:00
10 Simon Holmstrom R +2.15 +0.75 +0.47 +0.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:44
77 Tony DeAngelo D +1.84 0.00 +0.07 +1.80 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:24
27 Anders Lee L +1.81 +0.75 +0.18 +0.79 0.00 -0.02 +0.11 — 16:10
13 Mathew Barzal C +1.57 0.00 +0.45 +1.01 +0.15 -0.04 0.00 — 21:30
3 Adam Pelech D +1.30 0.00 +0.01 +1.43 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 21:25
16 Marc Gatcomb C +0.87 0.00 +0.05 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 8:32
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C +0.68 0.00 +0.25 +0.37 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 12:58
14 Bo Horvat C +0.52 0.00 +0.44 +0.06 -0.15 +0.03 +0.15 — 22:41
32 Kyle MacLean C +0.52 0.00 +0.26 +0.22 0.00 +0.02 +0.02 — 10:10
49 Max Shabanov R +0.34 0.00 +0.11 +0.11 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 9:38
24 Scott Mayfield D +0.33 0.00 +0.06 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 13:38
29 Jonathan Drouin L +0.25 0.00 +0.22 -0.10 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 15:07
41 Marshall Warren D +0.23 0.00 +0.06 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:31
53 Casey Cizikas C +0.17 0.00 +0.06 +0.19 0.00 -0.06 -0.02 — 13:37
48 Matthew Schaefer D 0.00 0.00 +0.06 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 27:03
51 Emil Heineman L -0.13 0.00 +0.12 -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:59
6 Ryan Pulock D -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.47 +0.15 0.00 +0.17 — 21:34
64 Calum Ritchie C -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -0.30 -0.01 0.00 — 15:19

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.