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Boston BruinsBOS 1–4 Final Buffalo SabresBUF

Saturday, December 27, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Boston BruinsBOS 100 1 23
Buffalo SabresBUF 031 4 34

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
11:56 BOS David Pastrnak (15) Morgan Geekie (15) · wrist xG 0.04 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
1:39 BUF Ryan McLeod (7) Jack Quinn (13), Mattias Samuelsson (11) · snap xG 0.08 1–1 ▶
3:12 BUF Peyton Krebs (2) Tage Thompson (15), Mattias Samuelsson (12) · wrist xG 0.16 1–2 ▶
7:54 BUF Mattias Samuelsson (6) Jack Quinn (14), Bowen Byram (10) · wrist xG 0.03 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
19:46 BUF Josh Norris (5)EN Peyton Krebs (11), Tage Thompson (16) · wrist xG 0.77 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

BOS 46%Deserve to win54% BUF
BOSBUF
1.98Expected goals3.49
1Goals (no shootout)4
1.28Expected goals, 5 on 51.74
57Shot attempts58
43Unblocked attempts44
23Shots on goal34

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
16:41 BOS Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Korpisalo, down 3–1
With 3:19 left; BUF scored at 19:46 of the 3rd (1–4)

Shot map

BOS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BUF shoots
Alex Tuch: tip-in, 76 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:42) Michael Kesselring: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:01) Ryan McLeod: tip-in, 108 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:24) Josh Doan: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:08) Vladislav Kolyachonok: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:01) Michael Eyssimont: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:39) Sean Kuraly: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:50) Casey Mittelstadt: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:26) Jack Quinn: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:39) Zach Benson: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:40) Jack Quinn: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:50) Jack Quinn: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:00) Bowen Byram: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:38) Sean Kuraly: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:30) Alex Steeves: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:31) Mason Lohrei: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:36) Vladislav Kolyachonok: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:43) Owen Power: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:13) Michael Kesselring: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:21) Charlie McAvoy: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:06) Marat Khusnutdinov: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 12:13) Josh Dunne: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:31) Michael Kesselring: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:17) Josh Doan: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 13:45) Hampus Lindholm: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:59) David Pastrnak: slap, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:00) Noah Ostlund: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:38) Josh Norris: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:45) Marat Khusnutdinov: deflected, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:27) Sean Kuraly: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 17:06) Pavel Zacha: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:19) Michael Kesselring: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:20) Casey Mittelstadt: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 3:59) Michael Kesselring: tip-in, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:02) Josh Dunne: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 5:41) Tage Thompson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:50) Mark Kastelic: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:13) Josh Doan: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:21) Zach Benson: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:37) Owen Power: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:17) Jordan Greenway: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:19) Josh Dunne: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:29) Tage Thompson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:54) Tage Thompson: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:55) Morgan Geekie: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:30) Bowen Byram: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:39) Hampus Lindholm: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:33) David Pastrnak: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:35) Alex Tuch: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 17:15) Marat Khusnutdinov: wrist, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 17:25) Alex Tuch: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:04) Josh Norris: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 1:01) Owen Power: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:23) Noah Ostlund: snap, 171 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:29) Mattias Samuelsson: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:48) Hampus Lindholm: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:11) Charlie McAvoy: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:43) Owen Power: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:53) Alex Tuch: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 5:00) Mark Kastelic: wrist, 155 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:37) Owen Power: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 8:29) Noah Ostlund: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:06) Mark Kastelic: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:35) Morgan Geekie: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:52) Charlie McAvoy: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:42) Charlie McAvoy: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:48) Pavel Zacha: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:49) Pavel Zacha: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:50) Viktor Arvidsson: deflected, 16 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 14:44) Charlie McAvoy: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:09) David Pastrnak: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:21) Tage Thompson: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:53) Viktor Arvidsson: backhand, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:00) Hampus Lindholm: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:14) Morgan Geekie: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:04) Elias Lindholm: slap, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 17:06) Pavel Zacha: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:10) Peyton Krebs: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.55 (P3 17:39) Elias Lindholm: wrist, 88 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:27) Viktor Arvidsson: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:34) Alex Steeves: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:20) Viktor Arvidsson: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:31) David Pastrnak: GOAL, wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:56) Ryan McLeod: GOAL, snap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:39) Peyton Krebs: GOAL, wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:12) Mattias Samuelsson: GOAL, wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:54) Josh Norris: GOAL, wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.77 (P3 19:46)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Boston Bruins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
88 David Pastrnak 101 -1 50.22 0020:33
39 Morgan Geekie 011 -1 50.11 1020:28
18 Pavel Zacha 000 -1 40.19 2019:32
28 Elias Lindholm 000 -1 40.16 1018:27
11 Casey Mittelstadt 000 -2 20.12 1016:42
33 Viktor Arvidsson 000 0 40.18 1015:50
47 Mark Kastelic 000 0 30.02 4012:50
93 Fraser Minten 000 0 00.00 6012:45
92 Marat Khusnutdinov 000 -2 40.20 0112:36
52 Sean Kuraly 000 -2 30.23 2111:59
21 Alex Steeves 000 -1 30.04 4010:02
81 Michael Eyssimont 000 0 10.06 0108:58
Defense
73 Charlie McAvoy 000 -2 60.25 2524:22
27 Hampus Lindholm 000 -1 80.12 0223:15
91 Nikita Zadorov 000 -1 10.00 1120:02
20 Andrew Peeke 000 -1 00.00 1019:43
6 Mason Lohrei 000 0 20.01 1115:25
18 Vladislav Kolyachonok 000 0 20.05 0013:36
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joonas Korpisalo 33330 .909 2.16 -0.84

Buffalo Sabres

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
89 Alex Tuch 000 0 50.37 1118:31
72 Tage Thompson 022 +2 40.12 0217:55
19 Peyton Krebs 112 +2 30.71 4016:28
71 Ryan McLeod 101 +1 20.08 0016:24
9 Josh Norris 101 +1 30.94 0116:21
86 Noah Ostlund 000 0 40.16 0016:01
91 Josh Doan 000 +1 70.19 0015:36
22 Jack Quinn 022 +1 50.13 0015:13
6 Zach Benson 000 +1 20.08 1014:28
29 Beck Malenstyn 000 0 00.00 5213:10
44 Josh Dunne 000 0 30.16 1012:06
12 Jordan Greenway 000 0 10.01 0011:49
Defense
24 Bowen Byram 011 +2 30.07 0227:52
25 Owen Power 000 +1 60.38 0025:29
23 Mattias Samuelsson 123 +3 40.04 6224:56
7 Michael Kesselring 000 0 50.06 0215:46
78 Jacob Bryson 000 0 10.00 0010:14
73 Zach Metsa 000 0 00.00 0109:41
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen 23122 .957 1.98 +0.98

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Boston Bruins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
88 David Pastrnak R +0.58 +0.75 +0.14 -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:33
39 Morgan Geekie C +0.58 +0.70 +0.07 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 20:28
27 Hampus Lindholm D +0.26 0.00 +0.08 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 23:15
74 Vladislav Kolyachonok D +0.18 0.00 +0.03 +0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:36
93 Fraser Minten C +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.16 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 12:45
18 Pavel Zacha C +0.06 0.00 +0.12 -0.24 +0.15 +0.03 0.00 — 19:32
21 Alex Steeves C +0.04 0.00 +0.03 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 10:02
6 Mason Lohrei D +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:25
92 Marat Khusnutdinov C +0.01 0.00 +0.13 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:36
26 Andrew Peeke D -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:43
52 Sean Kuraly C -0.08 0.00 +0.15 -0.09 -0.15 -0.02 +0.03 — 11:59
81 Michael Eyssimont C -0.19 0.00 +0.04 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:58
11 Casey Mittelstadt C -0.27 0.00 +0.08 -0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:42
71 Viktor Arvidsson L -0.27 0.00 +0.12 -0.03 -0.30 0.00 -0.06 — 15:50
47 Mark Kastelic C -0.32 0.00 +0.01 -0.34 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 12:50
28 Elias Lindholm C -0.42 0.00 +0.11 -0.55 0.00 +0.05 -0.02 — 18:27
73 Charlie McAvoy D -0.47 0.00 +0.16 -0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.23 — 24:22
70 Joonas Korpisalo G -0.84 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.84 56:55
91 Nikita Zadorov D -0.94 0.00 0.00 -0.99 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:02

Buffalo Sabres

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
23 Mattias Samuelsson D +2.64 +1.85 +0.03 +0.42 +0.30 0.00 +0.04 — 24:56
19 Peyton Krebs C +2.19 +1.45 +0.46 +0.27 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 16:28
22 Jack Quinn R +1.81 +1.40 +0.09 +0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:13
72 Tage Thompson C +1.75 +1.25 +0.08 +0.37 0.00 -0.05 +0.10 — 17:55
9 Josh Norris C +1.68 +0.75 +0.61 +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:21
25 Owen Power D +1.36 0.00 +0.25 +1.14 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 25:29
71 Ryan McLeod C +1.11 +0.75 +0.05 +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 16:24
1 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen G +0.98 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.98 60:00
4 Bowen Byram D +0.72 +0.55 +0.05 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 27:52
89 Alex Tuch R +0.67 0.00 +0.24 +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:31
91 Josh Doan R +0.49 0.00 +0.12 +0.18 +0.15 0.00 +0.04 — 15:36
8 Michael Kesselring D +0.43 0.00 +0.04 +0.45 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 15:46
86 Noah Ostlund C +0.40 0.00 +0.10 +0.34 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 16:01
6 Zach Benson L +0.27 0.00 +0.05 +0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:28
29 Beck Malenstyn L +0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 13:10
44 Josh Dunne C -0.02 0.00 +0.11 -0.11 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 12:06
12 Jordan Greenway L -0.09 0.00 +0.01 -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 11:49
73 Zach Metsa D -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 9:41
78 Jacob Bryson D -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:14

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.