hockeystats.io

Detroit Red WingsDET 2–5 Final Carolina HurricanesCAR

Saturday, December 27, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET 101 2 20
Carolina HurricanesCAR 032 5 38

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
12:39 DET Michael Rasmussen (5) J.T. Compher (8) · wrist xG 0.19 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
3:22 CAR Jackson Blake (11) Shayne Gostisbehere (24) · deflected xG 0.12 1–1 ▶
4:37 CAR Eric Robinson (9) Sebastian Aho (20), Andrei Svechnikov (16) · wrist xG 0.18 1–2 ▶
15:22 CAR Shayne Gostisbehere (4) Jalen Chatfield (6), William Carrier (5) · wrist xG 0.04 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
3:11 DET Andrew Copp (4)PP John Leonard (2), Axel Sandin-Pellikka (11) · tip-in xG 0.26 2–3 ▶
13:09 CAR Andrei Svechnikov (10) Unassisted · snap xG 0.20 2–4 ▶
18:39 CAR Jordan Martinook (5)EN Andrei Svechnikov (17), Shayne Gostisbehere (25) · wrist xG 0.85 2–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 21%Deserve to win79% CAR
DETCAR
2.32Expected goals5.39
2Goals (no shootout)5
1.44Expected goals, 5 on 53.95
39Shot attempts77
33Unblocked attempts59
20Shots on goal38

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
4:40 CAR xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced DET 1.17–0.14
In xG over 10 minutes, 15:10 of the 1st to 5:10 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
3rd Period
15:53 DET Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Gibson, down 4–2
With 4:07 left; CAR scored at 18:39 of the 3rd (2–5)

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CAR shoots
Michael Rasmussen: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 0:21) Andrew Copp: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:29) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:41) Andrei Svechnikov: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:52) Taylor Hall: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:57) Shayne Gostisbehere: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:03) Eric Robinson: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:08) Jordan Martinook: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:52) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 165 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:18) Jackson Blake: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:15) Mark Jankowski: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:59) Sean Walker: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:27) Dylan Larkin: poke, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 7:54) Dylan Larkin: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:06) William Carrier: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:21) Mark Jankowski: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 8:35) Eric Robinson: snap, 4 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 8:37) Eric Robinson: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:46) Joel Nystrom: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:46) Mark Jankowski: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:02) Jackson Blake: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:27) Andrei Svechnikov: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:27) Andrei Svechnikov: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:45) Mark Jankowski: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 11:52) Moritz Seider: wrist, 188 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:59) John Leonard: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 13:57) Eric Robinson: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 14:40) Jordan Staal: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 15:35) Nate Danielson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:45) Shayne Gostisbehere: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 17:50) Mike Reilly: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:40) J.T. Compher: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:30) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:35) Alexander Nikishin: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:48) Mark Jankowski: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 2:04) Eric Robinson: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 3:47) Mark Jankowski: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 3:52) Moritz Seider: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:08) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:33) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:02) Jordan Staal: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:15) Emmitt Finnie: snap, 82 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:01) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:28) Jalen Chatfield: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:05) Shayne Gostisbehere: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:01) Nikolaj Ehlers: poke, 20 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:27) Sean Walker: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:33) Simon Edvinsson: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:10) Jesperi Kotkaniemi: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 11:23) Jesperi Kotkaniemi: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:24) John Leonard: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:06) Mike Reilly: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:05) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:24) Sean Walker: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:43) Jackson Blake: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:44) Alexander Nikishin: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:14) Taylor Hall: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:53) Logan Stankoven: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 17:45) J.T. Compher: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 18:33) Jordan Martinook: deflected, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:33) Alexander Nikishin: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:44) Jackson Blake: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:20) Marco Kasper: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 0:55) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:05) Emmitt Finnie: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 1:38) Moritz Seider: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:42) Michael Rasmussen: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 3:33) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 5:52) Jordan Staal: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:15) Dylan Larkin: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 6:51) Mark Jankowski: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:00) Eric Robinson: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:24) Eric Robinson: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:25) Eric Robinson: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 8:27) Shayne Gostisbehere: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 9:46) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 9:54) Moritz Seider: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 11:00) Moritz Seider: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:08) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:54) Marco Kasper: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 15:51) Moritz Seider: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:10) Alex DeBrincat: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:15) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:17) Shayne Gostisbehere: wrist, 151 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 17:37) Mason Appleton: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:56) Michael Rasmussen: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 12:39) Jackson Blake: GOAL, deflected, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 3:22) Eric Robinson: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 4:37) Shayne Gostisbehere: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:22) Andrew Copp: GOAL, tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 3:11) Andrei Svechnikov: GOAL, snap, 23 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 13:09) Jordan Martinook: GOAL, wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.85 (P3 18:39)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
23 Lucas Raymond 000 -4 40.05 0020:26
71 Dylan Larkin 000 -4 40.38 1019:38
93 Alex DeBrincat 000 -2 40.07 0118:50
58 Emmitt Finnie 000 -3 20.13 0018:15
18 Andrew Copp 101 -1 20.30 2115:44
37 J.T. Compher 011 0 30.19 0115:15
27 Michael Rasmussen 101 0 30.39 2015:02
92 Marco Kasper 000 0 20.24 3214:32
43 John Leonard 011 -1 30.15 3012:40
22 Mason Appleton 000 +1 10.01 0012:39
25 Elmer Soderblom 000 0 00.00 1109:11
Defense
53 Moritz Seider 000 -2 60.31 3426:24
77 Simon Edvinsson 000 -1 10.02 5022:32
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka 011 -2 10.01 0117:24
8 Ben Chiarot 000 -2 10.00 0217:18
20 Albert Johansson 000 0 10.00 0315:31
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker 000 0 00.00 2115:19
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
John Gibson 37433 .892 4.29 +0.29

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
20 Sebastian Aho 011 +2 20.00 0019:18
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 000 0 40.18 0016:55
11 Jordan Staal 000 +2 50.29 0016:39
37 Andrei Svechnikov 123 +3 80.41 2016:36
53 Jackson Blake 101 0 50.33 0015:27
48 Jordan Martinook 101 +2 30.95 3015:03
50 Eric Robinson 101 +1 111.11 1014:18
71 Taylor Hall 000 0 20.03 0013:32
77 Mark Jankowski 000 0 90.82 2112:51
22 Logan Stankoven 000 +1 20.12 0012:39
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi 000 0 30.26 3011:51
28 William Carrier 011 +1 10.03 5011:08
Defense
21 Alexander Nikishin 000 +1 40.10 3024:59
26 Sean Walker 000 0 60.08 1324:04
4 Shayne Gostisbehere 123 +4 70.58 0020:03
5 Jalen Chatfield 011 +3 10.02 0117:47
64 Joel Nystrom 000 0 20.02 1115:43
6 Mike Reilly 000 0 20.06 1015:30
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Brandon Bussi 20218 .900 2.32 +0.32

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Michael Rasmussen C +0.65 +0.75 +0.25 -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:02
18 Andrew Copp C +0.35 +0.75 +0.19 -0.61 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 15:44
36 John Gibson G +0.29 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.29 57:14
37 J.T. Compher L +0.28 +0.70 +0.12 -0.65 0.00 +0.07 +0.03 — 15:15
43 John Leonard L -0.02 +0.70 +0.10 -0.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:40
93 Alex DeBrincat R -0.32 0.00 +0.05 -0.53 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 18:50
20 Albert Johansson D -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 15:31
22 Mason Appleton C -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:39
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:19
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D -0.62 +0.55 +0.01 -1.21 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:24
71 Dylan Larkin C -0.63 0.00 +0.25 -0.95 0.00 +0.07 0.00 — 19:38
92 Marco Kasper C -0.65 0.00 +0.16 -0.89 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 14:32
58 Emmitt Finnie C -0.68 0.00 +0.08 -0.72 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:15
23 Lucas Raymond L -0.89 0.00 +0.03 -0.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:26
53 Moritz Seider D -1.08 0.00 +0.20 -1.45 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 26:24
8 Ben Chiarot D -1.19 0.00 0.00 -1.29 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:18
85 Elmer Soderblom L -1.35 0.00 0.00 -1.40 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:11
29 Nate Danielson C -1.37 0.00 +0.05 -1.39 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 12:06
77 Simon Edvinsson D -1.49 0.00 +0.01 -1.48 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:32

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D +3.72 +2.00 +0.38 +1.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:03
50 Eric Robinson L +3.59 +0.75 +0.72 +2.12 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 14:18
37 Andrei Svechnikov R +3.14 +2.00 +0.26 +0.90 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:36
77 Mark Jankowski L +2.28 0.00 +0.53 +1.72 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:51
5 Jalen Chatfield D +1.88 +0.70 +0.01 +1.29 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 17:47
48 Jordan Martinook L +1.76 +0.75 +0.62 +0.40 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:03
71 Taylor Hall L +1.65 0.00 +0.02 +1.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:32
20 Sebastian Aho C +1.60 +0.70 0.00 +0.88 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 — 19:18
6 Mike Reilly D +1.52 0.00 +0.04 +1.51 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:30
64 Joel Nystrom D +1.51 0.00 +0.02 +1.47 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:43
53 Jackson Blake R +1.17 +0.75 +0.21 +0.21 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 15:27
28 William Carrier L +1.06 +0.55 +0.02 +0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 11:08
26 Sean Walker D +0.62 0.00 +0.05 +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 24:04
22 Logan Stankoven C +0.57 0.00 +0.08 +0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 12:39
21 Alexander Nikishin D +0.43 0.00 +0.06 +0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 24:59
11 Jordan Staal C +0.43 0.00 +0.19 +0.30 0.00 -0.04 -0.02 — 16:39
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi C +0.42 0.00 +0.17 +0.30 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 11:51
32 Brandon Bussi G +0.32 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.32 60:00
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L +0.28 0.00 +0.12 +0.21 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 16:55

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.