| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:36 | Josh Morrissey (6) Kyle Connor (27), Gabriel Vilardi (16) · slap xG 0.06 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 18:29 | Matt Boldy (23) Jared Spurgeon (7), Quinn Hughes (25) · deflected xG 0.24 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:33 | Kirill Kaprizov (23) Mats Zuccarello (13), Danila Yurov (9) · backhand xG 0.17 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 17:56 | Kyle Connor (18) Mark Scheifele (27), Gabriel Vilardi (17) · snap xG 0.18 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 19:57 | Mark Scheifele (18) Jonathan Toews (7) · wrist xG 0.09 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 19:38 | Mats Zuccarello (3)PP Kirill Kaprizov (22), Quinn Hughes (26) · snap xG 0.28 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 0:39 | Matt Boldy (24) Quinn Hughes (27), Kirill Kaprizov (23) · snap xG 0.17 | 4–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MIN | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.83 | Expected goals | 2.90 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.85 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.90 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 60 |
| 37 | Unblocked attempts | 42 |
| 19 | Shots on goal | 26 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:52 | WPG | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · WPG takes the lead, 60–40%
MIN had led since 9:32 of the 1st, by as much as 63% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:15 | MIN | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · MIN takes the lead, 60–40%
WPG had led since 15:52 of the 1st, by as much as 61% |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Kirill Kaprizov | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 9 | 0.49 | 1 | 1 | 22:16 |
| 12 | Matt Boldy | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 0.79 | 1 | 0 | 20:27 |
| 36 | Mats Zuccarello | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0.66 | 0 | 1 | 19:09 |
| 14 | Joel Eriksson Ek | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 18:45 |
| 38 | Ryan Hartman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 15:59 |
| 90 | Marcus Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 |
| 91 | Vladimir Tarasenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 13:48 |
| 22 | Danila Yurov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.23 | 2 | 1 | 13:26 |
| 17 | Marcus Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 2 | 12:58 |
| 13 | Yakov Trenin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 3 | 2 | 11:59 |
| 78 | Nico Sturm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:06 |
| 18 | Vinnie Hinostroza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 08:50 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Quinn Hughes | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 25:37 |
| 7 | Brock Faber | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 21:34 |
| 25 | Jonas Brodin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 20:13 |
| 46 | Jared Spurgeon | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 |
| 24 | Zach Bogosian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 14:21 |
| 55 | Jake Middleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 13:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | 26 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 2.37 | -0.63 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 55 | Mark Scheifele | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 0.58 | 2 | 0 | 21:09 |
| 81 | Kyle Connor | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 21:01 |
| 13 | Gabriel Vilardi | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.23 | 0 | 2 | 20:48 |
| 36 | Morgan Barron | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 16:55 |
| 17 | Adam Lowry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.70 | 0 | 2 | 16:52 |
| 14 | Gustav Nyquist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 |
| 70 | Tanner Pearson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 12:09 |
| 9 | Alex Iafallo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:06 |
| 19 | Jonathan Toews | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:02 |
| 7 | Vladislav Namestnikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 11:02 |
| 62 | Nino Niederreiter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 10:58 |
| 91 | Cole Perfetti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 10:51 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Josh Morrissey | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 24:35 |
| 54 | Dylan Samberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.05 | 2 | 2 | 21:55 |
| 2 | Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 20:41 |
| 4 | Neal Pionk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 20:05 |
| 8 | Logan Stanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 15:29 |
| 2 | Luke Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.08 | 5 | 0 | 12:35 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | 19 | 4 | 15 | .789 | 2.83 | -1.17 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Matt Boldy L | +2.66 | +1.50 | +0.52 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 20:27 |
| 97 Kirill Kaprizov L | +2.44 | +2.00 | +0.32 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:16 |
| 22 Danila Yurov R | +1.72 | +0.55 | +0.15 | +0.97 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 13:26 |
| 36 Mats Zuccarello R | +1.60 | +1.45 | +0.43 | -0.28 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 19:09 |
| 43 Quinn Hughes D | +1.45 | +1.80 | +0.02 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 25:37 |
| 46 Jared Spurgeon D | +1.38 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 19:13 |
| 14 Joel Eriksson Ek C | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.06 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.07 | — | 18:45 |
| 18 Vinnie Hinostroza C | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.14 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:50 |
| 25 Jonas Brodin D | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:13 |
| 5 Jake Middleton D | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:40 |
| 24 Zach Bogosian D | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:21 |
| 13 Yakov Trenin C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:59 |
| 90 Marcus Johansson L | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.04 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:43 |
| 7 Brock Faber D | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:34 |
| 17 Marcus Foligno L | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 12:58 |
| 91 Vladimir Tarasenko R | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.23 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:48 |
| 30 Jesper Wallstedt G | -0.63 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.63 | 58:32 |
| 78 Nico Sturm C | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.74 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 11:06 |
| 38 Ryan Hartman R | -0.78 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.82 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.10 | — | 15:59 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Mark Scheifele C | +2.60 | +1.45 | +0.38 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:09 |
| 81 Kyle Connor L | +2.49 | +1.45 | +0.15 | +0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:01 |
| 13 Gabriel Vilardi C | +1.82 | +1.10 | +0.15 | +0.68 | -0.15 | -0.02 | +0.06 | — | 20:48 |
| 44 Josh Morrissey D | +1.08 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 24:35 |
| 2 Dylan DeMelo D | +0.84 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.92 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:41 |
| 19 Jonathan Toews C | +0.62 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 | — | 12:02 |
| 17 Adam Lowry C | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.46 | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.08 | — | 16:52 |
| 91 Cole Perfetti C | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:51 |
| 7 Vladislav Namestnikov C | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.17 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 11:02 |
| 62 Nino Niederreiter R | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.09 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:58 |
| 9 Alex Iafallo L | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:06 |
| 64 Logan Stanley D | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:29 |
| 54 Dylan Samberg D | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:55 |
| 70 Tanner Pearson L | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.10 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:09 |
| 4 Neal Pionk D | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:05 |
| 36 Morgan Barron C | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.50 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.05 | — | 16:55 |
| 5 Luke Schenn D | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:35 |
| 14 Gustav Nyquist R | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 15:10 |
| 37 Connor Hellebuyck G | -1.17 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.17 | 60:05 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.