Saturday, December 27, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
CHI 17%Deserve to win 83% DAL
CHI DAL
2.55 Expected goals 4.95
3 Goals (no shootout) 3
1.98 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.92
57 Shot attempts 61
41 Unblocked attempts 46
33 Shots on goal 31
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
7:30
DAL
xG swing
xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.37–0.21
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:00 of the 2nd to 9:00 of the 3rd; neither team scored
Shot map
CHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → DAL shoots
Kyle Capobianco: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 1:41)
Radek Faksa: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:58)
Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:53)
Justin Hryckowian: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 4:41)
Thomas Harley: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:46)
Landon Slaggert: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:56)
Landon Slaggert: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:56)
Matt Grzelcyk: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:55)
Jamie Benn: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:58)
Wyatt Johnston: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 8:26)
Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 176 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:28)
Louis Crevier: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:19)
Jason Robertson: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:04)
Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:39)
Mikko Rantanen: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 14:09)
Andre Burakovsky: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 14:20)
Dominic Toninato: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:11)
Nick Lardis: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:28)
Thomas Harley: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:59)
Thomas Harley: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:32)
Thomas Harley: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:33)
Jason Robertson: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 19:12)
Jamie Benn: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 19:42)
Thomas Harley: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:06)
Teuvo Teravainen: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:22)
Oliver Moore: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:01)
Artyom Levshunov: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 2:05)
Connor Murphy: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:15)
Connor Murphy: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:23)
Sam Lafferty: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:41)
Sam Lafferty: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:42)
Sam Lafferty: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:43)
Louis Crevier: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:05)
Wyatt Johnston: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 6:23)
Mikko Rantanen: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:40)
Sam Steel: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:18)
Ryan Greene: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:13)
Matt Duchene: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 10:57)
Wyatt Johnston: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:29)
Nils Lundkvist: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:48)
Nathan Bastian: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:29)
Dominic Toninato: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:10)
Mavrik Bourque: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 14:49)
Teuvo Teravainen: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 15:58)
Ryan Donato: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:57)
Jason Dickinson: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:22)
Landon Slaggert: wrist, 119 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:31)
Mikko Rantanen: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:52)
Miro Heiskanen: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:17)
Roope Hintz: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:18)
Wyatt Johnston: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 1:43)
Dominic Toninato: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 2:56)
Louis Crevier: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:02)
Matt Duchene: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 5:10)
Mikko Rantanen: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:24)
Mikko Rantanen: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 6:56)
Jason Robertson: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 7:19)
Matt Duchene: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 7:21)
Tyler Bertuzzi: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 9:26)
Ryan Donato: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 10:02)
Jamie Benn: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 10:25)
Jamie Benn: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:26)
Mikko Rantanen: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:42)
Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 11:16)
Matt Duchene: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:07)
Ryan Donato: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:17)
Wyatt Kaiser: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:40)
Mikko Rantanen: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 14:35)
Mavrik Bourque: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:33)
Nick Lardis: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:19)
Sam Lafferty: deflected, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:20)
Ryan Donato: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:31)
Artyom Levshunov: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:36)
Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:57)
Wyatt Johnston: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 19:43)
Thomas Harley: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 1:01)
Sam Steel: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.25 (OT 1:12)
Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 116 ft, xG 0.00 (OT 1:37)
Jason Robertson: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 2:30)
Miro Heiskanen: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 2:30)
Ryan Greene: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 3:14)
Tyler Bertuzzi: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 3:20)
Nils Lundkvist: GOAL, slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:31)
Jason Dickinson: GOAL, snap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:37)
Justin Hryckowian: GOAL, snap, 20 ft, xG 0.33 (P2 11:32)
Mikko Rantanen: GOAL, snap, 7 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 11:18)
Tyler Bertuzzi: GOAL, snap, 6 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 12:25)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Chicago Blackhawks
Dallas Stars
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Chicago Blackhawks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
40 Arvid Soderblom G
+1.80
0.00
—
—
-0.15
—
—
+1.95
65:00
72 Alex Vlasic D
+1.37
+1.25
0.00
+0.02
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
25:45
5 Connor Murphy D
+1.32
+0.70
+0.02
+0.62
-0.15
0.00
+0.13
—
16:56
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L
+1.31
+1.50
+0.37
-0.59
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
20:08
16 Jason Dickinson C
+1.11
+0.75
+0.04
+0.39
0.00
-0.05
-0.02
—
17:55
24 Sam Lafferty C
+0.69
0.00
+0.10
+0.55
0.00
+0.04
0.00
—
11:58
84 Landon Slaggert L
+0.48
+0.55
+0.07
-0.13
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:53
25 Dominic Toninato C
+0.36
0.00
+0.22
+0.14
0.00
-0.02
+0.02
—
10:31
76 Nick Lardis L
+0.18
0.00
+0.06
+0.08
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
10:16
44 Wyatt Kaiser D
+0.17
0.00
+0.02
+0.15
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:12
86 Teuvo Teravainen C
+0.16
0.00
+0.17
-0.07
0.00
-0.01
+0.07
—
20:34
46 Louis Crevier D
-0.23
0.00
+0.05
-0.38
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
20:03
55 Artyom Levshunov D
-0.48
+0.70
+0.13
-1.28
0.00
0.00
-0.03
—
23:10
34 Colton Dach C
-0.49
0.00
0.00
-0.66
+0.15
0.00
+0.02
—
11:09
11 Oliver Moore C
-0.55
0.00
+0.02
-0.43
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
10:26
28 Andre Burakovsky L
-0.65
0.00
+0.10
-0.79
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
21:05
8 Ryan Donato C
-0.70
0.00
+0.19
-0.91
0.00
+0.04
-0.02
—
19:45
20 Ryan Greene C
-0.80
0.00
+0.13
-0.89
0.00
-0.07
+0.03
—
16:45
48 Matt Grzelcyk D
-1.01
0.00
0.00
-1.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:29
Dallas Stars
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
53 Wyatt Johnston C
+4.22
+1.95
+0.54
+1.71
0.00
-0.01
+0.03
—
21:18
96 Mikko Rantanen R
+4.18
+2.00
+0.68
+1.42
0.00
+0.01
+0.07
—
21:07
55 Thomas Harley D
+1.97
0.00
+0.10
+1.78
0.00
0.00
+0.09
—
25:06
49 Justin Hryckowian C
+1.86
+0.75
+0.27
+0.83
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:42
18 Sam Steel C
+1.49
+0.55
+0.18
+0.63
+0.15
-0.02
0.00
—
15:57
5 Nils Lundkvist D
+1.48
+0.75
+0.02
+0.66
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
16:44
95 Matt Duchene C
+1.01
0.00
+0.45
+0.20
+0.30
+0.01
+0.05
—
18:04
14 Jamie Benn L
+0.74
0.00
+0.22
+0.49
0.00
+0.02
0.00
—
15:32
20 Kyle Capobianco D
+0.71
0.00
+0.10
+0.76
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
12:34
21 Jason Robertson L
+0.64
0.00
+0.36
+0.30
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
21:56
28 Alexander Petrovic D
+0.18
0.00
0.00
+0.15
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
12:55
24 Roope Hintz C
-0.10
0.00
+0.03
-0.20
0.00
+0.07
0.00
—
19:26
22 Mavrik Bourque C
-0.11
0.00
+0.11
-0.19
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
15:38
23 Esa Lindell D
-0.44
0.00
0.00
-0.47
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
23:19
29 Jake Oettinger G
-0.45
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.45
65:00
12 Radek Faksa C
-0.57
0.00
+0.01
-0.67
0.00
+0.01
+0.08
—
10:07
4 Miro Heiskanen D
-0.60
0.00
+0.09
-0.84
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
28:39
10 Oskar Bäck C
-0.70
0.00
0.00
-0.67
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
9:57
11 Nathan Bastian R
-0.71
0.00
+0.04
-0.67
0.00
0.00
-0.08
—
8:59
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.