| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 37 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:11 | Ryan Reaves (3) Barclay Goodrow (4), Vincent Iorio (2) · wrist xG 0.58 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 7:55 | John Klingberg (9) Macklin Celebrini (37) · wrist xG 0.04 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 10:04 | Linus Karlsson (8)PP Conor Garland (14), Filip Hronek (19) · wrist xG 0.27 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 12:38 | William Eklund (9) Unassisted · xG 0.96 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:36 | Marco Rossi (5) Filip Hronek (20), Conor Garland (15) · wrist xG 0.20 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 4:47 | Igor Chernyshov (1)PP Adam Gaudette (5), Dmitry Orlov (18) · wrist xG 0.16 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 10:43 | Drew O'Connor (9)SH Unassisted · snap xG 0.09 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 16:20 | Macklin Celebrini (20) Igor Chernyshov (4), William Eklund (15) · snap xG 0.12 | 5–3 ▶ | |
| 16:55 | Collin Graf (11)EN Alexander Wennberg (17), Mario Ferraro (7) · wrist xG 0.93 | 6–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SJS | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.77 | Expected goals | 2.71 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 3.73 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.70 |
| 71 | Shot attempts | 54 |
| 62 | Unblocked attempts | 41 |
| 37 | Shots on goal | 27 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | SJS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.20–0.09
In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; goals 2–0 |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 12:40 | SJS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.85–0.16
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:10 of the 2nd to 0:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:40 | SJS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.77–0.42
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:40 to 10:40 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 16:51 | VAN | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Demko, down 5–3
With 3:09 left; SJS scored at 16:55 of the 3rd (6–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 16 | 1.27 | 1 | 0 | 21:47 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | 0 | 1 | 21:24 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 1.57 | 0 | 1 | 21:09 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1.13 | 1 | 2 | 17:49 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 |
| 92 | Igor Chernyshov | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.29 | 2 | 1 | 13:54 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 12:14 |
| 53 | Jeff Skinner | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 12:12 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 4 | 0 | 08:23 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.58 | 0 | 1 | 07:51 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 22:05 |
| 3 | John Klingberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 2 | 22:00 |
| 85 | Shakir Mukhamadullin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 20:55 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 17:36 |
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 17:06 |
| 6 | Vincent Iorio | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 14:56 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 27 | 3 | 24 | .889 | 2.71 | -0.29 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 40 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 20:47 |
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.27 | 4 | 0 | 18:01 |
| 23 | Marco Rossi | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.28 | 0 | 1 | 16:23 |
| 44 | Kiefer Sherwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.33 | 5 | 0 | 16:22 |
| 6 | Brock Boeser | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 |
| 91 | Evander Kane | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 15:00 |
| 64 | David Kampf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 2 | 0 | 14:56 |
| 83 | Conor Garland | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 14:44 |
| 18 | Drew O'Connor | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 |
| 92 | Liam Ohgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 11:18 |
| 63 | Max Sasson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 09:50 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0.27 | 2 | 0 | 09:07 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zeev Buium | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 22:24 |
| 17 | Filip Hronek | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 21:56 |
| 26 | Marcus Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 1 | 21:50 |
| 57 | Tyler Myers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 19:46 |
| 5 | Tom Willander | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 |
| 25 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 13:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | 36 | 5 | 32 | .889 | 5.84 | +0.84 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 William Eklund L | +4.57 | +1.30 | +1.02 | +2.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:09 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +4.46 | +1.45 | +0.82 | +2.22 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 21:47 |
| 92 Igor Chernyshov L | +4.01 | +1.45 | +0.32 | +2.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:43 |
| 22 Vincent Iorio D | +2.35 | +0.55 | +0.06 | +1.84 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:56 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | +1.96 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +1.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:36 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | +1.92 | +0.75 | +0.73 | +0.20 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 17:49 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | +1.41 | +0.75 | +0.38 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 7:51 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +1.29 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:05 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +1.27 | +0.70 | +0.19 | +0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:54 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +1.22 | +0.70 | +0.20 | +0.13 | +0.15 | -0.05 | +0.09 | — | 21:24 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | +1.05 | +0.70 | +0.14 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:43 |
| 3 John Klingberg D | +1.01 | +0.75 | +0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 22:00 |
| 85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:55 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | +0.65 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:06 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:40 |
| 63 Zack Ostapchuk C | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:23 |
| 53 Jeff Skinner L | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.06 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 12:12 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.08 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 12:14 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | -0.29 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.29 | 60:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Conor Garland R | +1.65 | +1.25 | +0.05 | +0.03 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:44 |
| 17 Filip Hronek D | +1.12 | +1.25 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 21:56 |
| 18 Drew O'Connor L | +0.85 | +0.75 | +0.21 | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 12:46 |
| 35 Thatcher Demko G | +0.84 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.84 | 59:56 |
| 40 Elias Pettersson C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 20:47 |
| 64 David Kampf C | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.07 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 14:56 |
| 44 Kiefer Sherwood L | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:22 |
| 6 Brock Boeser R | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:42 |
| 91 Evander Kane L | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.07 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.06 | — | 15:00 |
| 29 Marcus Pettersson D | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.22 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:50 |
| 93 Marco Rossi C | -0.63 | +0.75 | +0.18 | -1.64 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 16:23 |
| 92 Liam Ohgren L | -0.65 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.91 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 11:18 |
| 57 Tyler Myers D | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.63 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:46 |
| 63 Max Sasson C | -1.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:50 |
| 25 Elias Pettersson D | -1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:29 |
| 24 Zeev Buium D | -1.30 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:24 |
| 94 Linus Karlsson C | -1.34 | +0.75 | +0.18 | -2.26 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 9:07 |
| 74 Jake DeBrusk L | -1.60 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -1.79 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 18:01 |
| 5 Tom Willander D | -1.83 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 15:52 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.