| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 24 | |
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:38 | Anthony Mantha (12) Jack St. Ivany (1), Ryan Shea (12) · wrist xG 0.19 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 7:19 | Bryan Rust (14) Sidney Crosby (19), Kris Letang (17) · wrist xG 0.07 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 8:20 | Justin Brazeau (9) Anthony Mantha (13), Tommy Novak (12) · snap xG 0.23 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 12:03 | Bryan Rust (15) Ryan Shea (13), Blake Lizotte (3) · wrist xG 0.07 | 4–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 10:50 | Nick Foligno (1) Colton Dach (4), Sam Lafferty (1) · backhand xG 0.14 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 12:20 | Justin Brazeau (10)PP Ben Kindel (7), Ville Koivunen (3) · backhand xG 0.17 | 5–1 ▶ | |
| 13:17 | Justin Brazeau (11) Connor Dewar (6), Ryan Shea (14) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 6–1 ▶ | |
| 13:30 | Wyatt Kaiser (4) Ryan Greene (9), Connor Murphy (5) · wrist xG 0.01 | 6–2 ▶ | |
| 18:48 | Noel Acciari (3) Jack St. Ivany (2), Blake Lizotte (4) · wrist xG 0.22 | 7–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 19:59 | Tyler Bertuzzi (19) Jason Dickinson (4) · wrist xG 0.09 | 7–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PIT | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.83 | Expected goals | 3.50 |
| 7 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.56 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.09 |
| 37 | Shot attempts | 64 |
| 33 | Unblocked attempts | 46 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 24 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:20 | CHI | Goalie | Goalie · Knight −2.3 goals saved
3 goals on 0.74 xG, 6 shots on goal |
| 12:03 | CHI | Goalie change | Goalie change · Soderblom in for Knight
12:03 of the 1st; Knight had allowed 4 goals on 7 shots (0.81 xG) |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:30 | CHI | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CHI takes the lead, 61–39%
PIT had led since 2:25 of the 1st, by as much as 61% |
| 16:32 | PIT | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · PIT takes the lead, 60–40%
CHI had led since 0:30 of the 2nd, by as much as 64% |
| 20:00 | CHI | Goalie change | Goalie change · Knight in for Soderblom
The start of the 3rd; Soderblom had allowed 3 goals on 15 shots (1.92 xG) |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 19:59 | CHI | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CHI takes the lead, 61–39%
PIT had led since 16:32 of the 2nd, by as much as 60% |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 67 | Rickard Rakell | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 19:36 |
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 2 | 17:38 |
| 87 | Sidney Crosby | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 17:37 |
| 81 | Ben Kindel | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 15:47 |
| 46 | Blake Lizotte | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:18 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 |
| 52 | Noel Acciari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.45 | 1 | 1 | 13:35 |
| 41 | Ville Koivunen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 12:33 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 12:20 |
| 2 | Rutger McGroarty | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 |
| 16 | Justin Brazeau | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 | 11:37 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 21:27 |
| 58 | Kris Letang | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.21 | 2 | 1 | 21:18 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 3 | 20:39 |
| 6 | Jack St. Ivany | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.05 | 5 | 1 | 19:45 |
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 0 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 4 | 19:37 |
| 65 | Erik Karlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | 24 | 3 | 21 | .875 | 3.50 | +0.50 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.53 | 1 | 1 | 20:03 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 |
| 76 | Nick Lardis | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.40 | 3 | 0 | 16:03 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.25 | 3 | 1 | 15:33 |
| 84 | Landon Slaggert | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.50 | 1 | 0 | 15:07 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 15:05 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 15:04 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 14:31 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | 4 | 1 | 13:51 |
| 71 | Nick Foligno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 2 | 0 | 13:02 |
| 18 | Sam Lafferty | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 4 | 0 | 11:26 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 23:20 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 19:53 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 18:59 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.05 | 3 | 0 | 17:37 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 17:15 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 17:11 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 9 | 4 | 5 | .556 | 0.91 | -3.09 |
| Arvid Soderblom | 15 | 3 | 12 | .800 | 1.92 | -1.08 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Ryan Shea D | +3.44 | +1.80 | 0.00 | +1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 19:37 |
| 16 Justin Brazeau R | +2.85 | +2.25 | +0.32 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:37 |
| 3 Jack St. Ivany D | +2.17 | +1.40 | +0.03 | +0.86 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:45 |
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | +1.61 | +1.45 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 12:20 |
| 19 Connor Dewar C | +1.42 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:38 |
| 46 Blake Lizotte C | +1.34 | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.03 | — | 15:18 |
| 55 Noel Acciari C | +1.15 | +0.75 | +0.29 | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 13:35 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +1.12 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 12:33 |
| 41 Ville Koivunen R | +0.90 | +0.55 | +0.06 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:11 |
| 81 Ben Kindel C | +0.90 | +0.70 | +0.15 | -0.11 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 15:47 |
| 17 Bryan Rust R | +0.86 | +1.50 | +0.09 | -0.65 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 17:38 |
| 37 Arturs Silovs G | +0.50 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.50 | 59:31 |
| 2 Rutger McGroarty R | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:04 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | +0.12 | +0.55 | +0.14 | -0.42 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:18 |
| 87 Sidney Crosby C | +0.07 | +0.70 | +0.10 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 17:37 |
| 77 Brett Kulak D | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 21:27 |
| 65 Erik Karlsson D | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:49 |
| 67 Rickard Rakell R | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 19:36 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | -1.22 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 20:39 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +2.75 | +0.75 | +0.34 | +1.48 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:03 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | +1.73 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +1.05 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 17:56 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | +1.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +1.28 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:59 |
| 84 Landon Slaggert L | +1.19 | 0.00 | +0.33 | +0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:07 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | +1.07 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:15 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | +0.96 | +0.70 | +0.16 | +0.07 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 13:51 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | +0.94 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 15:56 |
| 17 Nick Foligno L | +0.90 | +0.75 | +0.14 | -0.09 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:02 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | +0.64 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:37 |
| 24 Sam Lafferty C | +0.52 | +0.55 | +0.06 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 11:26 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | +0.34 | +0.75 | +0.02 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:11 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:05 |
| 76 Nick Lardis L | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.13 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:03 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:53 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | -0.75 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:20 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | -0.83 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:31 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | -0.92 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -1.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 15:33 |
| 40 Arvid Soderblom G | -1.08 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.08 | 27:57 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | -1.16 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -1.36 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:04 |
| 30 Spencer Knight G | -3.09 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.09 | 32:03 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.