New York RangersNYR 2–3 Final/OT Carolina HurricanesCAR

Monday, December 29, 2025

Final/OT	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T	SOG
New York RangersNYR	1	1	0	0	2	20
Carolina HurricanesCAR	1	0	1	1	3	35

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:39	NYR	Vladislav Gavrikov (7)PP Artemi Panarin (25), Vincent Trocheck (13) · slap xG 0.09	1–0 ▶
15:57	CAR	Sebastian Aho (14)PP Alexander Nikishin (10), Nikolaj Ehlers (17) · snap xG 0.09	1–1 ▶
2nd Period
13:00	NYR	Jonny Brodzinski (4) Sam Carrick (6), Matthew Robertson (5) · snap xG 0.10	2–1 ▶
3rd Period
9:11	CAR	Jordan Martinook (6) Jalen Chatfield (7), K'Andre Miller (12) · deflected xG 0.26	2–2 ▶
Overtime
4:47	CAR	Jackson Blake (12)PP Sebastian Aho (21), Nikolaj Ehlers (18) · tip-in xG 0.16	2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYR 20%Deserve to win80% CAR

NYR		CAR
2.28	Expected goals	4.35
2	Goals (no shootout)	3
1.53	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.83
39	Shot attempts	83
27	Unblocked attempts	60
20	Shots on goal	35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
15:10	CAR	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · CAR takes the lead, 60–40% NYR had led since 1:07 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
2nd Period
3:20	CAR	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.34–0.19 In xG over 10 minutes, 14:20 of the 1st to 4:20 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
13:10	NYR	No shift	No shift · Rempe, 11:45 on the bench No shift from 2:17 to 14:02 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (6:49) before that
Overtime
4:07	NYR	Goalie	Goalie · Shesterkin +2.0 goals saved 2 goals on 4.04 xG, 33 shots on goal

Shot map

NYR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CAR shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Rangers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
16	Vincent Trocheck	0	1	1	0	4	0.09	2	0	21:53
93	Mika Zibanejad	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	3	0	19:41
10	Artemi Panarin	0	1	1	-1	1	0.08	0	0	18:24
50	Will Cuylle	0	0	0	0	4	0.44	2	3	18:08
13	Alexis Lafrenière	0	0	0	-1	5	0.23	0	3	17:42
14	Taylor Raddysh	0	0	0	0	5	0.42	1	2	17:03
43	Conor Sheary	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	15:19
94	Gabe Perreault	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	2	14:50
42	Noah Laba	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	0	0	12:53
10	Sam Carrick	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	1	1	11:43
22	Jonny Brodzinski	1	0	1	+1	1	0.10	0	0	09:47
73	Matt Rempe	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	07:39
Defense
44	Vladislav Gavrikov	1	0	1	-1	5	0.14	0	1	26:25
4	Braden Schneider	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	3	3	25:15
17	Will Borgen	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	1	21:46
29	Matthew Robertson	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	2	2	20:29
7	Carson Soucy	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	16:25

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Igor Shesterkin	35	3	32	.914	4.35	+1.35

Carolina Hurricanes

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
20	Sebastian Aho	1	1	2	0	6	0.48	0	1	23:14
37	Andrei Svechnikov	0	0	0	0	10	0.71	1	1	22:03
53	Jackson Blake	1	0	1	0	7	0.74	0	0	19:57
27	Nikolaj Ehlers	0	2	2	0	8	0.28	0	0	19:25
22	Logan Stankoven	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	1	0	17:19
50	Eric Robinson	0	0	0	0	6	0.32	2	0	14:35
71	Taylor Hall	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	14:15
11	Jordan Staal	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	7	0	13:50
82	Jesperi Kotkaniemi	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	0	13:45
48	Jordan Martinook	1	0	1	0	4	0.39	2	2	13:10
77	Mark Jankowski	0	0	0	0	2	0.39	0	1	11:31
28	William Carrier	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	5	0	10:29
Defense
21	Alexander Nikishin	0	1	1	0	6	0.02	3	2	24:17
26	Sean Walker	0	0	0	0	5	0.40	0	1	23:31
19	K'Andre Miller	0	1	1	0	4	0.00	1	0	22:51
5	Jalen Chatfield	0	1	1	0	5	0.02	0	1	18:59
6	Mike Reilly	0	0	0	0	5	0.09	1	0	16:19
64	Joel Nystrom	0	0	0	0	4	0.02	0	2	14:53

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Brandon Bussi	20	2	18	.900	2.28	+0.28

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Rangers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
31 Igor Shesterkin G	+1.35	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.35	64:47
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D	+0.75	+0.75	+0.09	-0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	26:25
22 Jonny Brodzinski C	+0.69	+0.75	+0.07	+0.03	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	9:47
14 Taylor Raddysh R	+0.63	0.00	+0.28	+0.08	+0.15	0.00	+0.12	—	17:03
42 Noah Laba C	+0.58	0.00	+0.24	+0.25	+0.15	-0.05	0.00	—	12:53
39 Sam Carrick C	+0.53	+0.70	+0.05	-0.24	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	11:43
43 Conor Sheary L	+0.12	0.00	0.00	+0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:19
29 Matthew Robertson D	+0.01	+0.55	+0.01	-0.50	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	20:29
16 Vincent Trocheck C	+0.01	+0.55	+0.06	-0.53	0.00	-0.03	-0.04	—	21:53
50 Will Cuylle L	-0.08	0.00	+0.29	-0.47	0.00	-0.02	+0.13	—	18:08
73 Matt Rempe C	-0.18	0.00	0.00	-0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	7:39
94 Gabe Perreault R	-0.34	0.00	+0.01	-0.47	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	14:50
10 Artemi Panarin L	-0.36	+0.70	+0.05	-1.05	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	18:24
17 Will Borgen D	-0.43	0.00	0.00	-0.33	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	21:46
4 Braden Schneider D	-0.50	0.00	+0.06	-0.55	-0.15	0.00	+0.13	—	25:15
24 Carson Soucy D	-0.53	0.00	0.00	-0.53	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:25
13 Alexis Lafrenière L	-0.62	0.00	+0.15	-0.89	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	17:42
60 Scott Morrow D	-0.83	0.00	0.00	-0.83	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:55
93 Mika Zibanejad C	-0.92	0.00	+0.13	-0.97	0.00	-0.03	-0.04	—	19:41

Carolina Hurricanes

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
20 Sebastian Aho C	+2.58	+1.45	+0.31	+0.75	0.00	+0.04	+0.03	—	23:14
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L	+2.03	+1.10	+0.18	+0.60	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	19:25
53 Jackson Blake R	+1.96	+0.75	+0.48	+0.73	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:57
37 Andrei Svechnikov R	+1.31	0.00	+0.46	+0.84	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	22:03
48 Jordan Martinook L	+1.07	+0.75	+0.26	-0.04	0.00	+0.01	+0.10	—	13:10
5 Jalen Chatfield D	+1.04	+0.70	+0.02	+0.28	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	18:59
64 Joel Nystrom D	+1.03	0.00	+0.01	+0.92	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	14:53
21 Alexander Nikishin D	+0.91	+0.70	+0.01	+0.31	-0.15	0.00	+0.04	—	24:17
77 Mark Jankowski L	+0.84	0.00	+0.25	+0.51	0.00	+0.03	+0.05	—	11:31
26 Sean Walker D	+0.83	0.00	+0.26	+0.54	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	23:31
6 Mike Reilly D	+0.80	0.00	+0.06	+0.76	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:19
50 Eric Robinson L	+0.70	0.00	+0.21	+0.47	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	14:35
19 K'Andre Miller D	+0.60	+0.55	0.00	+0.07	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	22:51
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	+0.51	0.00	+0.10	+0.20	+0.15	+0.08	-0.02	—	13:45
32 Brandon Bussi G	+0.28	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.28	64:01
22 Logan Stankoven C	+0.25	0.00	+0.13	+0.29	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	17:19
71 Taylor Hall L	+0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.03	+0.15	-0.02	-0.02	—	14:15
28 William Carrier L	+0.04	0.00	+0.07	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:29
11 Jordan Staal C	-0.02	0.00	+0.03	-0.04	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	13:50

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.