Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 4–1 Final Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Monday, December 29, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ	1	1	2	4	22
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	0	1	0	1	28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
15:58	CBJ	Boone Jenner (6) Cole Sillinger (13), Charlie Coyle (18) · tip-in xG 0.36	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
1:21	CBJ	Damon Severson (3) Dmitri Voronkov (12), Cole Sillinger (14) · slap xG 0.04	2–0 ▶
8:16	OTT	Jake Sanderson (8) Tim Stützle (22), Brady Tkachuk (12) · wrist xG 0.06	2–1 ▶
3rd Period
1:57	CBJ	Denton Mateychuk (7) Damon Severson (12), Charlie Coyle (19) · snap xG 0.03	3–1 ▶
15:54	CBJ	Kirill Marchenko (14) Mason Marchment (11), Adam Fantilli (13) · snap xG 0.19	4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 59%Deserve to win41% OTT

CBJ		OTT
3.20	Expected goals	2.23
4	Goals (no shootout)	1
1.89	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.34
47	Shot attempts	60
36	Unblocked attempts	41
22	Shots on goal	28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
16:30	CBJ	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced OTT 1.29–0.10 In xG over 10 minutes, 8:50 to 18:50 of the 1st; goals 1–0
3rd Period
0:50	OTT	No shift	No shift · MacDermid, 26:13 on the bench No shift after 2:41 of the 2nd; 5 shifts (2:50) before that
16:14	OTT	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Meriläinen, down 4–1 With 3:46 left
18:12	OTT	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Meriläinen, down 4–1 With 1:48 left

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ OTT shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
27	Mason Marchment	0	1	1	+1	4	0.55	0	0	20:26
19	Adam Fantilli	0	1	1	+1	5	0.55	1	0	19:09
86	Kirill Marchenko	1	0	1	+1	7	0.48	1	1	17:27
10	Dmitri Voronkov	0	1	1	0	2	0.20	0	1	16:31
22	Boone Jenner	1	0	1	+2	5	0.62	3	1	15:56
3	Charlie Coyle	0	2	2	+2	4	0.13	1	0	15:08
50	Brendan Gaunce	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	0	15:02
4	Cole Sillinger	0	2	2	+1	2	0.16	3	1	14:49
18	Miles Wood	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	2	0	13:58
24	Mathieu Olivier	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	4	0	13:00
91	Kent Johnson	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	0	0	08:04
21	Zachary Aston-Reese	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	1	07:05
Defense
5	Denton Mateychuk	1	0	1	+2	3	0.04	0	1	27:26
9	Ivan Provorov	0	0	0	+2	2	0.00	1	2	27:04
15	Dante Fabbro	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	19:09
78	Damon Severson	1	1	2	+2	1	0.04	0	3	18:41
7	Brendan Smith	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	12:36
2	Jake Christiansen	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	0	10:29

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jet Greaves	28	1	27	.964	2.23	+1.23

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Tim Stützle	0	1	1	0	3	0.09	5	0	23:55
19	Drake Batherson	0	0	0	-4	5	0.16	2	0	20:43
8	Brady Tkachuk	0	1	1	+1	4	0.13	1	0	18:52
12	Shane Pinto	0	0	0	0	4	0.18	1	0	18:14
24	Dylan Cozens	0	0	0	-3	5	0.22	2	1	18:00
71	Ridly Greig	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	1	1	17:11
28	Claude Giroux	0	0	0	+1	3	0.09	0	0	16:18
20	Fabian Zetterlund	0	0	0	-2	9	0.43	2	0	16:03
22	Michael Amadio	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	1	0	14:52
16	David Perron	0	0	0	-2	2	0.15	1	0	11:25
21	Nick Cousins	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0	0	09:44
23	Kurtis MacDermid	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	02:50
Defense
85	Jake Sanderson	1	0	1	+1	3	0.06	0	1	24:55
72	Thomas Chabot	0	0	0	-3	4	0.03	0	2	22:57
10	Jordan Spence	0	0	0	-3	4	0.06	0	1	17:18
2	Artem Zub	0	0	0	0	4	0.13	0	1	17:06
43	Tyler Kleven	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	0	1	13:56
33	Nikolas Matinpalo	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	13:51

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Leevi Meriläinen	22	4	18	.818	2.72	-1.28

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
78 Damon Severson D	+2.64	+1.45	+0.03	+1.16	-0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	18:41
38 Boone Jenner C	+2.13	+0.75	+0.41	+0.92	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	15:56
3 Charlie Coyle C	+2.06	+1.10	+0.09	+0.91	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	15:08
4 Cole Sillinger C	+1.62	+1.25	+0.10	+0.41	-0.15	-0.02	+0.03	—	14:49
9 Ivan Provorov D	+1.35	0.00	0.00	+1.27	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	27:04
5 Denton Mateychuk D	+1.31	+0.75	+0.02	+0.57	0.00	0.00	-0.03	—	27:26
73 Jet Greaves G	+1.23	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.23	60:00
86 Kirill Marchenko R	+1.23	+0.75	+0.31	+0.05	+0.15	0.00	-0.03	—	17:27
19 Adam Fantilli C	+1.15	+0.55	+0.36	+0.24	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:09
17 Mason Marchment L	+1.02	+0.70	+0.36	+0.12	-0.15	+0.01	-0.02	—	20:26
10 Dmitri Voronkov L	+0.92	+0.70	+0.13	+0.05	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	16:31
91 Kent Johnson C	+0.25	0.00	+0.16	+0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	8:04
16 Brendan Gaunce C	+0.24	0.00	+0.02	+0.17	0.00	+0.06	0.00	—	15:02
11 Miles Wood L	+0.18	0.00	+0.07	+0.14	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	13:58
24 Mathieu Olivier R	+0.16	0.00	0.00	+0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:00
15 Dante Fabbro D	+0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	19:09
27 Zachary Aston-Reese L	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	7:05
7 Brendan Smith D	-0.20	0.00	0.00	-0.43	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	12:36
2 Jake Christiansen D	-0.33	0.00	+0.02	-0.36	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:29

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
85 Jake Sanderson D	+0.85	+0.75	+0.04	+0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	24:55
18 Tim Stützle C	+0.70	+0.70	+0.06	-0.16	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	23:55
7 Brady Tkachuk L	+0.66	+0.55	+0.08	+0.07	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	18:52
12 Shane Pinto C	+0.35	0.00	+0.12	+0.26	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	18:14
22 Michael Amadio R	+0.31	0.00	+0.17	+0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:52
21 Nick Cousins C	+0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:44
28 Claude Giroux R	+0.13	0.00	+0.06	-0.08	+0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	16:18
71 Ridly Greig C	+0.08	0.00	+0.16	-0.14	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	17:11
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	+0.07	0.00	+0.28	-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	+0.02	—	16:03
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D	-0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.25	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	13:51
23 Kurtis MacDermid L	-0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	2:50
2 Artem Zub D	-0.17	0.00	+0.08	-0.30	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:06
10 Jordan Spence D	-0.41	0.00	+0.04	-0.44	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	17:18
43 Tyler Kleven D	-0.43	0.00	0.00	-0.48	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:56
72 Thomas Chabot D	-0.56	0.00	+0.02	-0.65	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	22:57
57 David Perron L	-0.72	0.00	+0.10	-0.65	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	11:25
24 Dylan Cozens C	-0.84	0.00	+0.14	-1.00	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	18:00
1 Leevi Meriläinen G	-1.28	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.28	55:50
19 Drake Batherson R	-1.52	0.00	+0.11	-1.62	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:43

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.