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Minnesota WildMIN 5–2 Final Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

Monday, December 29, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Minnesota WildMIN 230 5 27
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 011 2 16

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:26 MIN Marcus Johansson (12) Jonas Brodin (8), Jared Spurgeon (8) · snap xG 0.09 1–0 ▶
14:06 MIN Matt Boldy (25) Joel Eriksson Ek (19), Marcus Johansson (18) · wrist xG 0.16 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
0:26 MIN Jared Spurgeon (3) Marcus Johansson (19), Jonas Brodin (9) · snap xG 0.04 3–0 ▶
4:32 MIN Brock Faber (8) Yakov Trenin (10), Kirill Kaprizov (24) · wrist xG 0.02 4–0 ▶
6:56 MIN Joel Eriksson Ek (10) Matt Boldy (22), Marcus Johansson (20) · tip-in xG 0.11 5–0 ▶
16:50 VGK Brayden McNabb (2) Ivan Barbashev (17), Pavel Dorofeyev (11) · wrist xG 0.03 5–1 ▶
3rd Period
2:14 VGK Mark Stone (9) Ivan Barbashev (18), Mitch Marner (31) · wrist xG 0.16 5–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MIN 52%Deserve to win48% VGK
MINVGK
2.61Expected goals2.49
5Goals (no shootout)2
1.92Expected goals, 5 on 52.18
58Shot attempts51
44Unblocked attempts30
27Shots on goal16

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
4:32 VGK Goalie Goalie · Hart −2.9 goals saved
4 goals on 1.15 xG, 10 shots on goal
6:56 VGK Goalie change Goalie change · Schmid in for Hart
6:56 of the 2nd; Hart had allowed 5 goals on 12 shots (1.26 xG)

Shot map

MIN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VGK shoots
Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:11) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 2:26) Brandon Saad: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:39) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:07) Matt Boldy: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:24) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 5:04) Kirill Kaprizov: poke, 7 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 5:06) Nico Sturm: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:01) Zach Bogosian: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:05) Mark Stone: deflected, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 8:47) Brandon Saad: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:55) Ivan Barbashev: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 10:10) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:21) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:32) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:13) Brandon Saad: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:27) Pavel Dorofeyev: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:29) Marcus Foligno: wrist, 83 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:46) Matt Boldy: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:18) Mats Zuccarello: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:52) Pavel Dorofeyev: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:59) Pavel Dorofeyev: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:20) Alexander Holtz: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 3:24) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:05) Kirill Kaprizov: backhand, 181 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:08) Jeremy Lauzon: tip-in, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:49) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 8:45) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:47) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:47) Matt Boldy: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:50) Nico Sturm: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 10:56) Yakov Trenin: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 11:06) Jake Middleton: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:10) Zach Bogosian: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:19) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:29) Colton Sissons: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:46) Braeden Bowman: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:51) Mitch Marner: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 12:09) Mark Stone: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 12:35) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:35) Jonas Brodin: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:42) Colton Sissons: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:17) Brandon Saad: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:17) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 16:32) Ryan Hartman: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:42) Ryan Hartman: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:49) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 18:59) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:18) Matt Boldy: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:41) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:45) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 19:52) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:34) Mats Zuccarello: backhand, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:46) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:11) Mark Stone: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.56 (P3 2:13) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:21) Zach Bogosian: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:02) Colton Sissons: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:52) Marcus Johansson: backhand, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:13) Mitch Marner: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:56) Matt Boldy: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:58) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:21) Vinnie Hinostroza: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 12:19) Ivan Barbashev: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:24) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:22) Ivan Barbashev: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 17:47) Vladimir Tarasenko: deflected, 15 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 19:51) Marcus Johansson: GOAL, snap, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 0:26) Matt Boldy: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 14:06) Jared Spurgeon: GOAL, snap, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:26) Brock Faber: GOAL, wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:32) Joel Eriksson Ek: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 6:56) Brayden McNabb: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:50) Mark Stone: GOAL, wrist, 3 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 2:14)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 011 +1 80.51 0019:41
36 Mats Zuccarello 000 0 40.23 0118:34
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 112 +4 20.18 1016:18
12 Matt Boldy 112 +4 60.32 0016:14
22 Danila Yurov 000 +1 10.00 1216:11
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 000 -1 40.18 0014:47
13 Yakov Trenin 011 0 10.12 8014:24
17 Marcus Foligno 000 -1 10.00 2114:05
90 Marcus Johansson 134 +4 30.13 0013:46
38 Ryan Hartman 000 -1 50.09 0013:01
78 Nico Sturm 000 -1 20.21 3112:26
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 -1 30.28 1011:24
Defense
43 Quinn Hughes 000 0 40.02 0123:01
7 Brock Faber 101 +1 40.02 0221:33
46 Jared Spurgeon 112 +2 50.20 0619:35
55 Jake Middleton 000 0 10.01 1117:30
25 Jonas Brodin 022 +3 10.03 0417:24
24 Zach Bogosian 000 0 30.06 0116:29
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Filip Gustavsson 16214 .875 2.49 +0.49

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mitch Marner 011 0 40.11 0121:22
61 Mark Stone 101 +2 40.98 1120:15
49 Ivan Barbashev 022 +2 60.64 2118:02
21 Brett Howden 000 -4 00.00 4017:07
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 011 -1 100.21 2115:53
19 Reilly Smith 000 -3 20.00 0015:03
20 Brandon Saad 000 0 40.17 2015:03
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 0 00.00 4013:58
15 Colton Sissons 000 0 30.09 2013:34
10 Alexander Holtz 000 -1 10.14 0013:21
42 Braeden Bowman 000 -4 30.00 0011:50
48 Tomas Hertl 000 0 00.00 0000:55
Defense
3 Brayden McNabb 101 +1 60.11 0523:45
15 Noah Hanifin 000 -2 50.00 1122:08
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 -1 00.00 3121:11
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 0 00.00 2117:46
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 -2 30.04 7117:06
17 Ben Hutton 000 -2 00.00 0014:46
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Carter Hart 1257 .583 1.26 -3.74
Akira Schmid 15015 1.000 1.36 +1.36

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
90 Marcus Johansson L +3.81 +2.55 +0.08 +1.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:46
12 Matt Boldy L +3.07 +1.45 +0.21 +1.43 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 — 16:14
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +2.88 +1.45 +0.12 +1.27 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 16:18
46 Jared Spurgeon D +1.98 +1.30 +0.13 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.30 — 19:35
25 Jonas Brodin D +1.97 +1.25 +0.02 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 17:24
7 Brock Faber D +1.07 +0.75 +0.01 +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:33
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +0.63 +0.55 +0.33 -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:41
32 Filip Gustavsson G +0.49 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.49 59:37
13 Yakov Trenin C +0.48 +0.70 +0.08 -0.27 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 14:24
43 Quinn Hughes D +0.03 0.00 +0.01 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 23:01
24 Zach Bogosian D -0.05 0.00 +0.04 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:29
22 Danila Yurov R -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 -0.04 +0.06 — 16:11
17 Marcus Foligno L -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.25 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 14:05
36 Mats Zuccarello R -0.21 0.00 +0.15 -0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:34
38 Ryan Hartman R -0.21 0.00 +0.06 -0.64 +0.38 -0.01 0.00 — 13:01
78 Nico Sturm C -0.24 0.00 +0.14 -0.28 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 12:26
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C -0.34 0.00 +0.18 -0.51 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 11:24
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R -0.52 0.00 +0.12 -0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:47
5 Jake Middleton D -0.57 0.00 +0.01 -0.45 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 17:30

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
61 Mark Stone R +3.39 +0.75 +0.64 +1.83 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 20:15
49 Ivan Barbashev L +3.26 +1.40 +0.41 +1.45 0.00 +0.01 -0.01 — 18:02
93 Mitch Marner R +2.24 +0.55 +0.07 +1.52 0.00 +0.03 +0.07 — 21:22
3 Brayden McNabb D +1.57 +0.75 +0.07 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 23:45
40 Akira Schmid G +1.36 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.36 33:04
17 Ben Hutton D +0.78 0.00 0.00 +0.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:46
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +0.47 +0.55 +0.14 -0.39 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:53
15 Noah Hanifin D +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:08
20 Brandon Saad L +0.05 0.00 +0.11 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:03
6 Kaedan Korczak D -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 17:46
48 Tomas Hertl C -0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.38 0.00 0.00 — 0:55
55 Keegan Kolesar R -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:58
26 Alexander Holtz R -0.46 0.00 +0.09 -0.53 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 13:21
10 Colton Sissons C -0.58 0.00 +0.06 -0.61 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 13:34
2 Zach Whitecloud D -0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:11
5 Jeremy Lauzon D -0.97 0.00 +0.03 -1.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:06
19 Reilly Smith R -1.02 0.00 0.00 -0.98 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:03
21 Brett Howden C -1.17 0.00 0.00 -1.14 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 17:07
42 Braeden Bowman R -1.18 0.00 0.00 -1.16 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 11:50
79 Carter Hart G -3.74 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -3.74 26:51

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.