San Jose SharksSJS 5–4 Final Anaheim DucksANA

Monday, December 29, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
San Jose SharksSJS	2	2	1	5	13
Anaheim DucksANA	1	1	2	4	42

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
10:43	SJS	Mario Ferraro (2) Alexander Wennberg (18), Adam Gaudette (6) · tip-in xG 0.08	1–0 ▶
15:02	ANA	Troy Terry (11) Nikita Nesterenko (8) · backhand xG 0.64	1–1 ▶
19:12	SJS	Macklin Celebrini (21) Alexander Wennberg (19), Tyler Toffoli (16) · snap xG 0.27	2–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:30	SJS	Igor Chernyshov (2) Macklin Celebrini (38), Sam Dickinson (3) · backhand xG 0.18	3–1 ▶
12:17	SJS	William Eklund (10) Macklin Celebrini (39) · snap xG 0.14	4–1 ▶
16:26	ANA	Cutter Gauthier (19) Troy Terry (26), Ryan Poehling (12) · tip-in xG 0.09	4–2 ▶
3rd Period
3:07	ANA	Pavel Mintyukov (5) Cutter Gauthier (19), Ian Moore (4) · snap xG 0.17	4–3 ▶
13:47	SJS	Zack Ostapchuk (1) Vincent Iorio (3), Barclay Goodrow (5) · tip-in xG 0.06	5–3 ▶
15:58	ANA	Troy Terry (12) Mason McTavish (15), Jackson LaCombe (17) · wrist xG 0.41	5–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SJS 8%Deserve to win92% ANA

SJS		ANA
1.84	Expected goals	5.14
5	Goals (no shootout)	4
1.59	Expected goals, 5 on 5	4.07
36	Shot attempts	84
23	Unblocked attempts	63
13	Shots on goal	42

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
15:10	ANA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.20–0.12 In xG over 10 minutes, 5:10 to 15:10 of the 1st; goals 1–1
2nd Period
12:17	ANA	Goalie	Goalie · Dostal −2.6 goals saved 4 goals on 1.38 xG, 9 shots on goal
12:17	ANA	Goalie change	Goalie change · Mrazek in for Dostal 12:17 of the 2nd; Dostal had allowed 4 goals on 9 shots (1.38 xG)
3rd Period
9:10	ANA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.38–0.01 In xG over 10 minutes, 1:10 to 11:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
15:00	ANA	No shift	No shift · Helleson, 10:51 on the bench No shift after the end of the 2nd; 16 shifts (11:10) before that
15:02	ANA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Mrazek, down 5–3 With 4:58 left; ANA scored at 15:58 of the 3rd (5–4)
17:17	ANA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Mrazek, down 5–4 With 2:43 left

Shot map

SJS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ ANA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

San Jose Sharks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
51	Collin Graf	0	0	0	-1	4	0.24	2	0	21:15
21	Alexander Wennberg	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	0	1	19:38
27	William Eklund	1	0	1	-1	3	0.26	0	0	18:44
10	Ty Dellandrea	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	2	3	17:10
71	Macklin Celebrini	1	2	3	0	4	0.32	0	1	16:14
92	Igor Chernyshov	1	0	1	-1	4	0.37	0	0	15:53
73	Tyler Toffoli	0	1	1	+1	2	0.05	2	1	15:10
23	Barclay Goodrow	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	2	2	12:22
53	Jeff Skinner	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	0	1	11:49
81	Adam Gaudette	0	1	1	+1	2	0.00	0	0	10:45
75	Ryan Reaves	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	08:55
63	Zack Ostapchuk	1	0	1	+1	2	0.25	2	0	08:27
Defense
38	Mario Ferraro	1	0	1	0	2	0.09	3	3	23:34
9	Dmitry Orlov	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	2	21:32
3	John Klingberg	0	0	0	+1	4	0.04	0	2	19:16
6	Vincent Iorio	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	3	19:07
85	Shakir Mukhamadullin	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	18:28
6	Sam Dickinson	0	1	1	+1	2	0.00	1	0	15:41

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Yaroslav Askarov	42	4	38	.905	5.14	+1.14

Anaheim Ducks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
64	Mikael Granlund	0	0	0	-1	4	0.21	0	0	20:21
91	Leo Carlsson	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	0	0	20:04
83	Mason McTavish	0	1	1	0	10	1.01	2	0	19:25
19	Troy Terry	2	1	3	+2	4	1.13	0	1	18:51
22	Chris Kreider	0	0	0	-3	5	0.34	1	0	18:04
61	Cutter Gauthier	1	1	2	+1	16	0.53	1	1	17:04
45	Beckett Sennecke	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	1	1	17:01
25	Ryan Poehling	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	0	13:42
13	Nikita Nesterenko	0	1	1	0	6	0.39	3	0	12:39
17	Alex Killorn	0	0	0	0	4	0.12	1	0	11:21
22	Ryan Strome	0	0	0	0	4	0.29	0	0	09:22
10	Jansen Harkins	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	4	1	09:09
Defense
65	Jacob Trouba	0	0	0	-2	5	0.11	2	0	24:42
2	Jackson LaCombe	0	1	1	0	4	0.06	2	0	24:37
98	Pavel Mintyukov	1	0	1	+1	4	0.29	0	2	19:28
3	Ian Moore	0	1	1	+1	4	0.02	0	2	17:52
8	Olen Zellweger	0	0	0	-2	5	0.08	0	1	14:55
14	Drew Helleson	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	11:10

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Lukas Dostal	9	4	5	.556	1.38	-2.62
Petr Mrazek	4	1	3	.750	0.46	-0.54

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

San Jose Sharks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
21 Alexander Wennberg C	+2.18	+1.40	0.00	+0.45	+0.30	-0.02	+0.05	—	19:38
71 Macklin Celebrini C	+1.49	+2.15	+0.21	-0.91	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	16:14
30 Yaroslav Askarov G	+1.14	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.14	60:00
63 Zack Ostapchuk C	+0.94	+0.75	+0.17	+0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	8:27
73 Tyler Toffoli C	+0.76	+0.55	+0.03	+0.12	0.00	-0.01	+0.07	—	15:10
22 Vincent Iorio D	+0.70	+0.70	0.00	-0.13	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	19:07
38 Mario Ferraro D	0.00	+0.75	+0.06	-0.79	-0.15	0.00	+0.13	—	23:34
81 Adam Gaudette R	-0.13	+0.55	0.00	-0.69	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	10:45
23 Barclay Goodrow C	-0.15	+0.55	0.00	-0.80	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	12:22
51 Collin Graf R	-0.19	0.00	+0.16	-0.35	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:15
3 John Klingberg D	-0.33	0.00	+0.02	-0.22	-0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	19:16
53 Jeff Skinner L	-0.40	0.00	+0.03	-0.45	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	11:49
75 Ryan Reaves R	-0.45	0.00	0.00	-0.45	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:55
92 Igor Chernyshov L	-0.48	+0.75	+0.24	-1.47	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:53
72 William Eklund L	-0.48	+0.75	+0.17	-1.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:44
6 Sam Dickinson D	-0.58	+0.55	0.00	-1.09	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	15:41
9 Dmitry Orlov D	-1.15	0.00	+0.03	-1.25	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	21:32
10 Ty Dellandrea C	-1.25	0.00	+0.08	-1.45	0.00	-0.03	+0.15	—	17:10
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D	-1.48	0.00	+0.01	-1.31	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	18:28

Anaheim Ducks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
19 Troy Terry R	+4.14	+2.20	+0.73	+1.33	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	18:51
98 Pavel Mintyukov D	+2.89	+0.75	+0.19	+1.83	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	19:28
74 Ian Moore D	+2.47	+0.55	+0.01	+1.82	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	17:52
61 Cutter Gauthier L	+2.32	+1.45	+0.34	+0.50	0.00	-0.02	+0.05	—	17:04
23 Mason McTavish C	+2.06	+0.70	+0.65	+0.54	+0.15	+0.02	0.00	—	19:25
13 Nikita Nesterenko C	+1.96	+0.70	+0.25	+1.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:39
2 Jackson LaCombe D	+1.93	+0.55	+0.04	+1.34	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	24:37
25 Ryan Poehling C	+1.90	+0.55	0.00	+1.30	0.00	+0.05	0.00	—	13:42
14 Drew Helleson D	+0.91	0.00	0.00	+0.96	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	11:10
20 Chris Kreider L	+0.80	0.00	+0.22	+0.57	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:04
45 Beckett Sennecke R	+0.74	0.00	+0.13	+0.54	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	17:01
16 Ryan Strome C	+0.68	0.00	+0.19	+0.51	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	9:22
17 Alex Killorn L	+0.51	0.00	+0.08	+0.46	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	11:21
24 Jansen Harkins C	+0.49	0.00	+0.06	+0.39	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	9:09
91 Leo Carlsson C	+0.32	0.00	+0.18	+0.04	+0.15	-0.02	-0.02	—	20:04
64 Mikael Granlund C	+0.26	0.00	+0.14	-0.01	+0.15	+0.02	-0.04	—	20:21
65 Jacob Trouba D	-0.15	0.00	+0.07	-0.23	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	24:42
34 Petr Mrazek G	-0.54	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.54	23:56
51 Olen Zellweger D	-0.68	0.00	+0.05	-0.75	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	14:55
1 Lukas Dostal G	-2.62	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.62	32:17

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.