hockeystats.io

New Jersey DevilsNJD 0–4 Final Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

Tuesday, December 30, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New Jersey DevilsNJD 000 0 33
Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 112 4 30

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
14:21 TOR Bobby McMann (12)PP Nick Robertson (10) · wrist xG 0.11 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
14:24 TOR Nicolas Roy (4) Bobby McMann (8), Nick Robertson (11) · tip-in xG 0.10 0–2 ▶
3rd Period
6:35 TOR Calle Jarnkrok (5) Steven Lorentz (7) · wrist xG 0.12 0–3 ▶
17:01 TOR Matthew Knies (11)EN John Tavares (21), Nicolas Roy (10) · wrist xG 0.90 0–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NJD 59%Deserve to win41% TOR
NJDTOR
3.15Expected goals4.05
0Goals (no shootout)4
1.86Expected goals, 5 on 51.47
66Shot attempts54
48Unblocked attempts42
33Shots on goal30

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
15:18 TOR Deserve to win Deserve to win · TOR takes the lead, 63–37%
NJD had led since 6:22 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
2nd Period
17:44 TOR Goalie Goalie · Woll +2.2 goals saved
0 goals on 2.24 xG, 23 shots on goal
3rd Period
3:09 NJD Deserve to win Deserve to win · NJD takes the lead, 60–40%
TOR had led since 15:18 of the 1st, by as much as 64%
15:13 NJD Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Markstrom, down 3–0
With 4:47 left

Shot map

NJD shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ TOR shoots
Philippe Myers: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:29) Timo Meier: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:00) Dawson Mercer: deflected, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:06) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 6:22) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:41) Bobby McMann: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:45) Matias Maccelli: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:32) Bobby McMann: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:10) Easton Cowan: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:18) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 178 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:29) Nick Robertson: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:39) Nicolas Roy: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:54) Timo Meier: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:52) Dawson Mercer: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:40) Luke Hughes: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:13) Ondrej Palat: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 12:23) Jonas Siegenthaler: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:30) Matthew Knies: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:02) Max Domi: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.38 (P1 13:05) John Tavares: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:06) Max Domi: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:34) Matthew Knies: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:44) Bobby McMann: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 15:18) Troy Stecher: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:46) Troy Stecher: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:06) Nico Hischier: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:27) Jack Hughes: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:33) Jack Hughes: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:57) Stefan Noesen: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 0:49) Luke Hughes: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:28) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:08) Timo Meier: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:27) Easton Cowan: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:19) Luke Glendening: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:58) Colton White: backhand, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:04) Brett Pesce: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:15) Ondrej Palat: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:28) John Tavares: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:25) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:48) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:08) Scott Laughton: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:20) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 8:01) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:20) Luke Glendening: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:25) Nick Robertson: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 11:28) Brett Pesce: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:46) Cody Glass: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:47) Nick Robertson: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:50) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:57) Nicolas Roy: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 14:17) Bobby McMann: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:18) Scott Laughton: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 14:46) Jack Hughes: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:06) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:44) Nico Hischier: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 16:46) Nico Hischier: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.30 (P2 17:44) Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:06) Philippe Myers: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:34) Nico Hischier: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:11) Jack Hughes: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:09) Nico Hischier: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:16) Easton Cowan: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:38) Jesper Bratt: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:14) Scott Laughton: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:43) Luke Hughes: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:56) Matias Maccelli: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 6:09) Nick Robertson: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 6:47) Ondrej Palat: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:31) Simon Benoit: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:28) Simon Benoit: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:52) John Tavares: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 11:41) Max Domi: wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:57) Luke Hughes: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:35) Brett Pesce: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:39) Luke Glendening: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:45) Stefan Noesen: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:05) Brett Pesce: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:08) Bobby McMann: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:17) Timo Meier: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 13:37) Luke Hughes: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:35) Stefan Noesen: slap, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 15:08) Jesper Bratt: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:22) Jesper Bratt: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:18) John Tavares: wrist, 88 ft, xG 0.55 (P3 16:36) Philippe Myers: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:02) Nick Robertson: wrist, 104 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:54) Bobby McMann: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:21) Nicolas Roy: GOAL, tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 14:24) Calle Jarnkrok: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 6:35) Matthew Knies: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.90 (P3 17:01)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New Jersey Devils

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Jack Hughes 000 -1 70.21 0024:26
63 Jesper Bratt 000 -1 60.47 1119:11
13 Nico Hischier 000 -2 60.79 0019:06
91 Dawson Mercer 000 -2 60.37 1018:30
28 Timo Meier 000 -1 50.23 0015:23
12 Cody Glass 000 -1 10.06 2014:28
16 Connor Brown 000 -1 00.00 0014:23
11 Stefan Noesen 000 0 30.28 0114:11
81 Arseny Gritsyuk 000 -2 40.06 3013:30
41 Luke Glendening 000 0 30.07 4211:06
47 Paul Cotter 000 0 00.00 4210:23
81 Ondrej Palat 000 0 40.27 2110:08
Defense
43 Luke Hughes 000 0 60.12 0025:09
22 Brett Pesce 000 -1 60.13 0120:47
5 Brenden Dillon 000 -1 00.00 0118:23
7 Dougie Hamilton 000 -2 30.08 0017:32
71 Jonas Siegenthaler 000 -1 40.01 0015:36
6 Colton White 000 0 20.00 1214:40
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jacob Markstrom 29326 .897 2.61 -0.39

Toronto Maple Leafs

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
91 John Tavares 011 +1 40.78 1119:35
11 Max Domi 000 0 30.44 1018:08
10 Nicolas Roy 112 +2 30.30 1018:04
21 Scott Laughton 000 0 30.13 1117:03
89 Matthew Knies 101 +1 31.01 3115:58
53 Easton Cowan 000 0 40.15 1014:28
14 Nick Robertson 022 +1 80.37 1014:22
74 Bobby McMann 112 +1 60.35 1014:16
18 Steven Lorentz 011 +1 00.00 0114:14
63 Matias Maccelli 000 0 40.24 2013:45
19 Calle Jarnkrok 101 +1 10.12 1012:18
26 Jacob Quillan 000 +1 10.00 1007:01
Defense
22 Jake McCabe 000 +2 20.00 0823:46
44 Morgan Rielly 000 +1 10.00 0021:02
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson 000 +1 20.03 0019:12
28 Troy Stecher 000 +1 30.04 1017:27
51 Philippe Myers 000 0 40.04 1417:24
44 Simon Benoit 000 +1 20.03 2015:57
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joseph Woll 33033 1.000 3.15 +3.15

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New Jersey Devils

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Nico Hischier C +1.07 0.00 +0.51 +0.41 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 19:06
63 Jesper Bratt L +0.91 0.00 +0.30 +0.57 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:11
18 Ondrej Palat L +0.73 0.00 +0.17 +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 10:08
28 Timo Meier R +0.64 0.00 +0.15 +0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:23
86 Jack Hughes C +0.60 0.00 +0.13 +0.31 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 24:26
91 Dawson Mercer C +0.50 0.00 +0.24 +0.27 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 18:30
22 Brett Pesce D +0.49 0.00 +0.08 +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 20:47
43 Luke Hughes D +0.48 0.00 +0.08 +0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 25:09
14 Luke Glendening C +0.33 0.00 +0.04 +0.20 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 11:06
5 Brenden Dillon D +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:23
11 Stefan Noesen R +0.07 0.00 +0.18 -0.01 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 14:11
45 Colton White D +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 14:40
47 Paul Cotter L +0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00 -0.02 +0.10 — 10:23
7 Dougie Hamilton D -0.24 0.00 +0.05 -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:32
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D -0.28 0.00 +0.01 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:36
25 Jacob Markstrom G -0.39 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.39 57:27
16 Connor Brown R -0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:23
12 Cody Glass C -0.91 0.00 +0.04 -0.79 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 14:28
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R -0.99 0.00 +0.04 -1.05 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:30

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
60 Joseph Woll G +3.15 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +3.15 60:00
55 Nicolas Roy C +2.34 +1.30 +0.20 +0.70 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:04
89 Nick Robertson L +2.33 +1.25 +0.24 +0.69 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:22
74 Bobby McMann C +1.99 +1.45 +0.23 +0.28 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 14:16
19 Calle Jarnkrok C +1.23 +0.75 +0.08 +0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:18
18 Steven Lorentz C +1.01 +0.70 0.00 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:14
53 Easton Cowan R +0.58 0.00 +0.09 +0.32 +0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 14:28
28 Troy Stecher D +0.52 0.00 +0.03 +0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:27
2 Simon Benoit D +0.35 0.00 +0.02 +0.48 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:57
26 Jacob Quillan C +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.32 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 7:01
23 Matthew Knies L +0.29 +0.75 +0.66 -1.00 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:58
22 Jake McCabe D +0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.38 — 23:46
24 Scott Laughton C +0.15 0.00 +0.09 +0.01 0.00 +0.04 +0.01 — 17:03
91 John Tavares C +0.04 +0.70 +0.51 -1.09 -0.15 +0.02 +0.05 — 19:35
63 Matias Maccelli L -0.01 0.00 +0.16 -0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:45
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson D -0.01 0.00 +0.02 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:12
51 Philippe Myers D -0.43 0.00 +0.03 -0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 17:24
44 Morgan Rielly D -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:02
11 Max Domi C -0.90 0.00 +0.29 -1.13 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 18:08

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.