Montréal CanadiensMTL 3–2 Final/OT Florida PanthersFLA

Tuesday, December 30, 2025

Final/OT	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T	SOG
Montréal CanadiensMTL	0	0	2	1	3	29
Florida PanthersFLA	0	0	2	0	2	30

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
10:18	FLA	Brad Marchand (23)PP Sam Bennett (16), Seth Jones (18) · snap xG 0.07	0–1 ▶
15:01	FLA	Sam Reinhart (22) Eetu Luostarinen (14), Anton Lundell (18) · wrist xG 0.02	0–2 ▶
15:33	MTL	Cole Caufield (19) Lane Hutson (32), Noah Dobson (19) · wrist xG 0.13	1–2 ▶
18:38	MTL	Nick Suzuki (12) Ivan Demidov (23), Cole Caufield (20) · slap xG 0.09	2–2 ▶
Overtime
3:24	MTL	Nick Suzuki (13)PP Lane Hutson (33), Noah Dobson (20) · wrist xG 0.35	3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MTL 61%Deserve to win39% FLA

MTL		FLA
3.73	Expected goals	3.06
3	Goals (no shootout)	2
2.17	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.46
62	Shot attempts	58
47	Unblocked attempts	39
29	Shots on goal	30

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
15:49	MTL	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · MTL takes the lead, 64–36% FLA had led since 3:02 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
2nd Period
14:06	FLA	Goalie	Goalie · Tarasov +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.03 xG, 16 shots on goal
3rd Period
3:10	MTL	Goalie	Goalie · Montembeault +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.04 xG, 19 shots on goal
3:10	FLA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.20–0.11 In xG over 10 minutes, 14:10 of the 2nd to 4:10 of the 3rd; neither team scored
17:55	MTL	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Montembeault, down 2–1 With 2:05 left; MTL scored at 18:38 of the 3rd (2–2)

Shot map

MTL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Montréal Canadiens

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
14	Nick Suzuki	2	0	2	+1	11	1.21	1	0	22:33
13	Cole Caufield	1	1	2	+1	8	0.63	0	0	20:20
20	Juraj Slafkovský	0	0	0	+1	4	0.16	1	2	19:53
93	Ivan Demidov	0	1	1	+1	4	0.10	1	0	18:31
91	Oliver Kapanen	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	0	1	18:23
24	Phillip Danault	0	0	0	-1	4	0.05	2	1	17:04
85	Alexandre Texier	0	0	0	+1	5	0.30	1	1	16:41
17	Josh Anderson	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	0	0	14:52
7	Brendan Gallagher	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	0	11:38
76	Zachary Bolduc	0	0	0	0	3	0.49	1	2	11:36
90	Joseph Veleno	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	0	0	10:08
0	Sammy Blais	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	08:09
Defense
8	Mike Matheson	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	2	27:14
53	Noah Dobson	0	2	2	+2	5	0.18	1	5	24:32
48	Lane Hutson	0	2	2	+1	2	0.13	0	0	22:29
45	Alexandre Carrier	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	0	4	21:18
42	Adam Engstrom	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	11:29
72	Arber Xhekaj	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	4	0	09:39

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Samuel Montembeault	30	2	28	.933	3.06	+1.06

Florida Panthers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Sam Reinhart	1	0	1	0	7	0.50	2	1	23:42
15	Anton Lundell	0	1	1	0	4	0.10	2	0	21:43
9	Sam Bennett	0	1	1	-1	3	0.24	2	1	20:59
63	Brad Marchand	1	0	1	-1	7	0.77	3	2	19:09
17	Evan Rodrigues	0	0	0	-1	5	0.11	2	0	18:45
27	Eetu Luostarinen	0	1	1	0	6	0.15	3	1	17:32
23	Carter Verhaeghe	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	1	0	15:39
18	A.J. Greer	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	5	0	13:26
11	Mackie Samoskevich	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	1	12:51
71	Luke Kunin	0	0	0	0	4	0.57	2	0	08:45
70	Jesper Boqvist	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	0	06:23
23	Jack Studnicka	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	06:10
Defense
3	Seth Jones	0	1	1	0	7	0.14	1	0	25:03
5	Aaron Ekblad	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	1	24:03
77	Niko Mikkola	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	1	22:23
42	Gustav Forsling	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	2	21:33
26	Uvis Balinskis	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	1	0	14:01
2	Jeff Petry	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	12:10

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Daniil Tarasov	29	3	26	.897	3.73	+0.73

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Montréal Canadiens

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
14 Nick Suzuki C	+3.15	+1.50	+0.79	+1.01	-0.15	+0.02	-0.02	—	22:33
13 Cole Caufield R	+2.78	+1.30	+0.41	+0.92	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	20:20
48 Lane Hutson D	+2.42	+1.40	+0.08	+1.13	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	22:29
53 Noah Dobson D	+1.89	+1.10	+0.11	+0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.21	—	24:32
85 Alexandre Texier L	+1.06	0.00	+0.19	+0.82	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	16:41
35 Samuel Montembeault G	+1.06	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.06	62:41
93 Ivan Demidov R	+0.96	+0.70	+0.06	+0.06	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	18:31
76 Zachary Bolduc R	+0.53	0.00	+0.32	-0.03	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	11:36
20 Juraj Slafkovský L	+0.34	0.00	+0.10	+0.27	-0.15	0.00	+0.12	—	19:53
17 Josh Anderson R	+0.29	0.00	+0.10	+0.22	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	—	14:52
45 Alexandre Carrier D	+0.18	0.00	+0.04	-0.08	0.00	0.00	+0.22	—	21:18
91 Oliver Kapanen C	+0.14	0.00	+0.04	+0.02	0.00	+0.03	+0.05	—	18:23
72 Arber Xhekaj D	+0.11	0.00	+0.01	+0.11	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:39
90 Joseph Veleno C	+0.10	0.00	+0.12	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	+0.04	—	10:08
42 Adam Engstrom D	+0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.24	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	11:29
8 Mike Matheson D	0.00	0.00	+0.01	-0.25	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	27:14
27 Sammy Blais L	-0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:09
24 Phillip Danault C	-0.18	0.00	+0.03	-0.30	0.00	+0.03	+0.05	—	17:04
11 Brendan Gallagher R	-0.63	0.00	+0.01	-0.64	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:38

Florida Panthers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
13 Sam Reinhart C	+1.04	+0.75	+0.32	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	23:42
40 Daniil Tarasov G	+0.73	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.73	63:19
2 Jeff Petry D	+0.72	0.00	0.00	+0.69	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	12:10
27 Eetu Luostarinen C	+0.59	+0.70	+0.10	-0.23	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	17:32
15 Anton Lundell C	+0.55	+0.55	+0.06	-0.22	+0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	21:43
11 Mackie Samoskevich R	+0.51	0.00	+0.01	+0.15	+0.30	0.00	+0.05	—	12:51
63 Brad Marchand L	+0.41	+0.75	+0.50	-0.73	-0.15	0.00	+0.04	—	19:09
71 Luke Kunin C	+0.39	0.00	+0.37	+0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:45
17 Evan Rodrigues C	+0.29	0.00	+0.07	+0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:45
3 Seth Jones D	+0.28	+0.55	+0.09	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	25:03
10 A.J. Greer L	+0.20	0.00	+0.03	+0.02	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	13:26
70 Jesper Boqvist C	+0.10	0.00	+0.06	+0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	6:23
53 Jack Studnicka C	+0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	6:10
9 Sam Bennett C	+0.07	+0.70	+0.16	-0.78	0.00	-0.06	+0.05	—	20:59
26 Uvis Balinskis D	+0.01	0.00	+0.01	+0.13	-0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	14:01
77 Niko Mikkola D	-0.14	0.00	+0.06	-0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:23
42 Gustav Forsling D	-0.58	0.00	+0.01	-0.54	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	21:33
23 Carter Verhaeghe C	-0.90	0.00	+0.09	-0.99	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:39
5 Aaron Ekblad D	-1.22	0.00	+0.02	-1.15	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	24:03

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.