| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 33 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 35 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:45 | David Kampf (2) Drew O'Connor (6), Marcus Pettersson (7) · wrist xG 0.16 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 12:02 | Noah Cates (10) Matvei Michkov (12), Bobby Brink (9) · wrist xG 0.03 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:40 | Carl Grundstrom (7) Nikita Grebenkin (6), Travis Sanheim (14) · wrist xG 0.10 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 16:20 | Travis Konecny (12) Jamie Drysdale (15), Trevor Zegras (23) · wrist xG 0.06 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:08 | Drew O'Connor (10) David Kampf (1) · wrist xG 0.21 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 1:34 | Bobby Brink (10) Matvei Michkov (13), Noah Cates (12) · deflected xG 0.27 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 17:19 | Owen Tippett (12)SHEN Rodrigo Abols (5), Rasmus Ristolainen (2) · wrist xG 0.58 | 5–2 ▶ | |
| 18:16 | Tom Willander (2) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.12 | 5–3 ▶ | |
| 19:23 | Christian Dvorak (9)EN Trevor Zegras (24), Travis Konecny (23) · poke xG 0.77 | 6–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PHI | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.27 | Expected goals | 3.28 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.43 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.33 |
| 65 | Shot attempts | 72 |
| 48 | Unblocked attempts | 56 |
| 33 | Shots on goal | 35 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | VAN | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced PHI 1.44–0.01
In xG over 10 minutes, 1:00 to 11:00 of the 1st; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:05 | VAN | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Demko, down 4–2
With 2:55 left; PHI scored at 17:19 of the 3rd (5–2) |
| 18:39 | VAN | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Demko, down 5–3
With 1:21 left; PHI scored at 19:23 of the 3rd (6–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 1.10 | 0 | 0 | 17:48 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.21 | 2 | 1 | 16:54 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 16:52 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 16:51 |
| 91 | Carl Grundstrom | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 3 | 0 | 13:39 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.64 | 3 | 0 | 13:30 |
| 18 | Rodrigo Abols | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 2 | 13:24 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 13:07 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 |
| 86 | Denver Barkey | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 12:23 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.27 | 3 | 0 | 12:09 |
| 17 | Nikita Grebenkin | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 55 | Rasmus Ristolainen | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.13 | 1 | 2 | 23:39 |
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 6 | 0.56 | 2 | 1 | 20:33 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.06 | 4 | 1 | 19:27 |
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 19:18 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.14 | 2 | 0 | 19:15 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 17:49 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 35 | 3 | 32 | .914 | 3.28 | +0.28 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 40 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 19:11 |
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.32 | 5 | 0 | 19:03 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 17:22 |
| 6 | Brock Boeser | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 16:53 |
| 44 | Kiefer Sherwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 9 | 0.31 | 10 | 1 | 16:45 |
| 64 | David Kampf | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.28 | 2 | 0 | 14:22 |
| 63 | Max Sasson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 14:01 |
| 83 | Conor Garland | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 3 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 13:37 |
| 18 | Drew O'Connor | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 |
| 23 | Marco Rossi | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 1 | 12:52 |
| 92 | Liam Ohgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.10 | 0 | 3 | 12:29 |
| 91 | Evander Kane | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.30 | 3 | 0 | 10:58 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 17 | Filip Hronek | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 24:43 |
| 8 | Zeev Buium | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 24:14 |
| 26 | Marcus Pettersson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 18:55 |
| 5 | Tom Willander | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 17:32 |
| 57 | Tyler Myers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 16:35 |
| 7 | Pierre-Olivier Joseph | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 14:09 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | 31 | 4 | 27 | .871 | 2.92 | -1.08 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | +2.33 | +1.40 | +0.28 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:30 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | +2.10 | +1.30 | +0.02 | +0.67 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 13:07 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | +2.09 | +1.30 | +0.17 | +0.77 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:09 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +1.89 | +0.55 | +0.37 | +1.10 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:33 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +1.52 | +0.75 | +0.71 | -0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:48 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +1.23 | +1.30 | +0.13 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:54 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +1.05 | +0.75 | +0.42 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:30 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +1.04 | +1.25 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 16:52 |
| 8 Cam York D | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 19:18 |
| 18 Rodrigo Abols C | +0.76 | +0.70 | +0.09 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 13:24 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:27 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +0.68 | +0.70 | +0.09 | +0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:15 |
| 29 Nikita Grebenkin R | +0.62 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:52 |
| 91 Carl Grundstrom R | +0.59 | +0.75 | +0.08 | -0.08 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:39 |
| 80 Dan Vladar G | +0.28 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.28 | 60:00 |
| 52 Denver Barkey C | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 12:23 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | — | 16:51 |
| 55 Rasmus Ristolainen D | -0.40 | +0.55 | +0.08 | -1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 23:39 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:49 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Drew O'Connor L | +2.97 | +1.45 | +0.31 | +1.24 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:33 |
| 64 David Kampf C | +2.47 | +1.45 | +0.18 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:22 |
| 5 Tom Willander D | +1.41 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:32 |
| 44 Kiefer Sherwood L | +1.22 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.03 | — | 16:45 |
| 29 Marcus Pettersson D | +1.05 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.52 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:55 |
| 7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 14:09 |
| 74 Jake DeBrusk L | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:03 |
| 63 Max Sasson C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.18 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 14:01 |
| 91 Evander Kane L | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 10:58 |
| 94 Linus Karlsson C | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.15 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 17:22 |
| 17 Filip Hronek D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 24:43 |
| 92 Liam Ohgren L | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.33 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 12:29 |
| 40 Elias Pettersson C | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 19:11 |
| 57 Tyler Myers D | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:35 |
| 93 Marco Rossi C | -0.93 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 12:52 |
| 6 Brock Boeser R | -0.93 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -1.30 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:53 |
| 24 Zeev Buium D | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 24:14 |
| 35 Thatcher Demko G | -1.08 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.08 | 58:46 |
| 8 Conor Garland R | -1.21 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -1.46 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:37 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.