| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 29 |
 |
0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 | |
J.J. Moser (4) Darren Raddysh (20), Brandon Hagel (14) · snap xG 0.11 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 15:17 | |
Jansen Harkins (3) Ross Johnston (9) · wrist xG 0.11 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 19:11 | |
Brayden Point (7) Max Crozier (7), Nikita Kucherov (33) · tip-in xG 0.22 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:57 | |
Beckett Sennecke (12) Unassisted · snap xG 0.09 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 8:00 | |
Nikita Kucherov (18)PP Brandon Hagel (15), Charle-Edouard D'Astous (10) · slap xG 0.05 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 13:02 | |
Mason McTavish (10)PP Pavel Mintyukov (6) · snap xG 0.18 | 3–3 ▶ |
| Overtime | |||
| 2:47 | |
Darren Raddysh (9) Brandon Hagel (16), Andrei Vasilevskiy (1) · wrist xG 0.20 | 4–3 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| TBL | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.07 | Expected goals | 3.05 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.73 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.78 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 45 |
| 29 | Shots on goal | 28 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | ANA | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced TBL 1.22–0.18
In xG over 10 minutes, 1:00 to 11:00 of the 3rd; goals 1–1 |
| 12:02 | ANA | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · ANA takes the lead, 63–37%
TBL had led since 9:10 of the 1st, by as much as 71% |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 59 | Jake Guentzel | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 5 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 20:06 |
| 38 | Brandon Hagel | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 10 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 19:14 |
| 86 | Nikita Kucherov | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 18:29 |
| 71 | Anthony Cirelli | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 0.94 | 1 | 1 | 18:00 |
| 21 | Brayden Point | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.34 | 0 | 1 | 17:45 |
| 37 | Yanni Gourde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 3 | 0 | 17:01 |
| 28 | Zemgus Girgensons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 5 | 0 | 16:10 |
| 29 | Pontus Holmberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 14:28 |
| 93 | Gage Goncalves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 12:46 |
| 28 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 11:35 |
| 20 | Nick Paul | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:30 |
| 17 | Dominic James | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 08:19 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Darren Raddysh | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 | 0.32 | 1 | 3 | 26:08 |
| 90 | J.J. Moser | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 24:57 |
| 51 | Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0.11 | 2 | 2 | 18:48 |
| 81 | Erik Cernak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 18:28 |
| 72 | Declan Carlile | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 14:55 |
| 24 | Max Crozier | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 14:27 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | 28 | 3 | 25 | .893 | 3.05 | +0.05 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 64 | Mikael Granlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 18:28 |
| 83 | Mason McTavish | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.55 | 1 | 0 | 18:27 |
| 91 | Leo Carlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 18:26 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.36 | 1 | 0 | 18:03 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 17:57 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 |
| 19 | Troy Terry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 16:26 |
| 22 | Chris Kreider | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 15:46 |
| 25 | Ryan Poehling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 13:45 |
| 13 | Nikita Nesterenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 13:24 |
| 49 | Ross Johnston | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 08:01 |
| 10 | Jansen Harkins | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 07:22 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.31 | 3 | 1 | 25:42 |
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 25:27 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 22:31 |
| 3 | Ian Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 16:52 |
| 14 | Drew Helleson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:29 |
| 8 | Olen Zellweger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 13:39 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | 29 | 4 | 25 | .862 | 3.07 | -0.93 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Brandon Hagel L | +2.65 | +1.95 | +0.21 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:14 |
| 43 Darren Raddysh D | +1.82 | +1.45 | +0.21 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 26:08 |
| 86 Nikita Kucherov R | +1.54 | +1.30 | +0.25 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 18:29 |
| 90 J.J. Moser D | +1.38 | +0.75 | +0.08 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 24:57 |
| 21 Brayden Point C | +1.24 | +0.75 | +0.22 | +0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:45 |
| 71 Anthony Cirelli C | +1.02 | 0.00 | +0.61 | +0.37 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.07 | — | 18:00 |
| 59 Jake Guentzel C | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 20:06 |
| 24 Max Crozier D | +0.74 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:27 |
| 88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G | +0.60 | +0.55 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.05 | 62:47 |
| 51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | +0.35 | +0.55 | +0.07 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:48 |
| 37 Yanni Gourde C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.21 | -0.15 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 17:01 |
| 28 Zemgus Girgensons C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:10 |
| 29 Pontus Holmberg R | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:28 |
| 81 Erik Cernak D | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:28 |
| 93 Gage Goncalves C | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:46 |
| 67 Declan Carlile D | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:55 |
| 22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:35 |
| 17 Dominic James C | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.70 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.01 | — | 8:19 |
| 20 Nick Paul L | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.97 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.07 | — | 11:30 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mason McTavish C | +1.33 | +0.75 | +0.36 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.04 | — | 18:27 |
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | +1.08 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 18:03 |
| 13 Nikita Nesterenko C | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:24 |
| 19 Troy Terry R | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 16:26 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | +0.69 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 22:31 |
| 51 Olen Zellweger D | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.71 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 13:39 |
| 24 Jansen Harkins C | +0.62 | +0.75 | +0.08 | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 7:22 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 25:42 |
| 14 Drew Helleson D | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:29 |
| 44 Ross Johnston L | +0.48 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:01 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:48 |
| 64 Mikael Granlund C | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.10 | +0.15 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 18:28 |
| 20 Chris Kreider L | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.18 | -0.15 | +0.03 | +0.07 | — | 15:46 |
| 25 Ryan Poehling C | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.08 | — | 13:45 |
| 91 Leo Carlsson C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.40 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:26 |
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.49 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.03 | — | 17:57 |
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | -0.58 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 25:27 |
| 74 Ian Moore D | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:52 |
| 1 Lukas Dostal G | -0.93 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.93 | 62:47 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.