hockeystats.io

Philadelphia FlyersPHI 1–5 Final Calgary FlamesCGY

Wednesday, December 31, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 010 1 26
Calgary FlamesCGY 131 5 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
13:30 CGY Mikael Backlund (10) Matt Coronato (10), Blake Coleman (8) · slap xG 0.05 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
3:08 CGY Jonathan Huberdeau (8) MacKenzie Weegar (10), Yan Kuznetsov (5) · slap xG 0.04 0–2 ▶
8:49 PHI Travis Konecny (13) Unassisted · xG 0.12 1–2 ▶
12:03 CGY Rasmus Andersson (8)PP Connor Zary (7), Nazem Kadri (24) · slap xG 0.08 1–3 ▶
17:52 CGY Yegor Sharangovich (8)PP Matt Coronato (11), MacKenzie Weegar (11) · snap xG 0.18 1–4 ▶
3rd Period
9:37 CGY Connor Zary (6) Ryan Lomberg (2) · snap xG 0.21 1–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 40%Deserve to win60% CGY
PHICGY
2.79Expected goals3.42
1Goals (no shootout)5
2.06Expected goals, 5 on 52.27
61Shot attempts66
42Unblocked attempts45
26Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
18:50 CGY xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced PHI 1.67–0.28
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:50 of the 2nd to 0:50 of the 3rd; goals 2–0

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CGY shoots
Mikael Backlund: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:20) Noah Juulsen: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:10) Travis Sanheim: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:49) John Beecher: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:20) Blake Coleman: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 10:17) Morgan Frost: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.32 (P1 11:37) Connor Zary: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 11:39) Yan Kuznetsov: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:51) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:52) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:07) Rasmus Ristolainen: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:24) Noah Cates: deflected, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:29) Noah Juulsen: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:10) John Beecher: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:51) Matt Coronato: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 16:30) Bobby Brink: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:33) Travis Konecny: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:09) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:27) Cam York: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:30) Denver Barkey: wrist, 119 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:46) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:43) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:34) Cam York: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:46) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:53) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 122 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:46) Owen Tippett: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.27 (P2 7:03) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:35) Travis Konecny: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:45) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 11:05) Jonathan Huberdeau: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:13) Morgan Frost: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:30) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:22) Connor Zary: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 12:29) Noah Juulsen: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:53) Noah Cates: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 13:55) Owen Tippett: wrist, 163 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:31) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 15:13) Travis Sanheim: wrap-around, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:51) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:08) Nazem Kadri: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:08) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:21) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 17:41) MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:48) Matt Coronato: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 17:50) Adam Klapka: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:40) Blake Coleman: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:46) Blake Coleman: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:58) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:04) Joel Farabee: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:54) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:17) Blake Coleman: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 0:42) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:17) Joel Farabee: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:09) Nick Seeler: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:20) Blake Coleman: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 5:07) Travis Konecny: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 5:31) Nick Seeler: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:32) Morgan Frost: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 8:51) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:47) Adam Klapka: tip-in, 102 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:01) Adam Klapka: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:09) Owen Tippett: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:32) Cam York: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:32) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:59) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:40) Hunter Brzustewicz: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:44) John Beecher: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:12) Nick Seeler: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:46) Owen Tippett: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:54) Sean Couturier: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:27) Nick Seeler: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:28) Owen Tippett: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:29) Noah Juulsen: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:40) Owen Tippett: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 17:43) Noah Cates: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:00) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:31) John Beecher: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 18:51) Cam York: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:00) Trevor Zegras: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:26) Rodrigo Abols: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:55) Rodrigo Abols: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 19:58) Mikael Backlund: GOAL, slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:30) Jonathan Huberdeau: GOAL, slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:08) Travis Konecny: GOAL, shot, 43 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:49) Rasmus Andersson: GOAL, slap, 48 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:03) Yegor Sharangovich: GOAL, snap, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 17:52) Connor Zary: GOAL, snap, 13 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 9:37)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Travis Konecny 101 0 50.46 0019:12
22 Christian Dvorak 000 0 90.57 0119:07
46 Trevor Zegras 000 0 30.06 0118:55
39 Matvei Michkov 000 0 00.00 0016:16
27 Noah Cates 000 0 30.23 3113:57
86 Denver Barkey 000 -1 10.00 1113:43
10 Bobby Brink 000 0 10.05 4113:38
14 Sean Couturier 000 -1 20.16 0013:13
74 Owen Tippett 000 -1 80.47 3012:45
18 Rodrigo Abols 000 -1 20.30 0212:12
91 Carl Grundstrom 000 -1 10.00 4112:10
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 -1 00.00 1010:49
Defense
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 -1 30.04 0022:38
55 Rasmus Ristolainen 000 0 40.01 2222:15
6 Travis Sanheim 000 -1 60.06 0422:04
8 Cam York 000 +1 40.14 0121:14
24 Nick Seeler 000 -2 50.11 2314:38
47 Noah Juulsen 000 -1 40.14 3013:58
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Samuel Ersson 26521 .808 3.42 -1.58

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
91 Nazem Kadri 011 -1 40.16 0017:06
27 Matt Coronato 022 +1 50.29 1116:27
17 Yegor Sharangovich 101 -1 40.41 0016:13
10 Jonathan Huberdeau 101 +1 20.18 1116:05
11 Mikael Backlund 101 +1 40.12 0115:56
20 Blake Coleman 011 +1 60.61 1015:48
16 Morgan Frost 000 +1 50.42 0115:32
86 Joel Farabee 000 -1 30.09 0114:08
43 Adam Klapka 000 +1 40.03 3113:58
17 John Beecher 000 +1 60.24 0112:59
47 Connor Zary 112 +1 30.52 1011:34
94 Ryan Lomberg 011 +1 00.00 3011:21
Defense
4 Rasmus Andersson 101 0 40.25 0323:43
52 MacKenzie Weegar 022 +2 60.06 1123:32
37 Yan Kuznetsov 011 +1 40.03 1122:34
7 Kevin Bahl 000 +1 00.00 2221:17
44 Joel Hanley 000 0 20.00 0113:41
48 Hunter Brzustewicz 000 0 40.00 1012:06
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dustin Wolf 26126 1.000 2.79 +1.79

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
11 Travis Konecny R +1.16 +0.75 +0.30 +0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 19:12
8 Cam York D +0.92 0.00 +0.09 +0.95 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 21:14
24 Nick Seeler D +0.78 0.00 +0.07 +0.41 +0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 14:38
74 Owen Tippett R +0.75 0.00 +0.30 +0.46 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 12:45
47 Noah Juulsen D +0.66 0.00 +0.09 +0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:58
22 Christian Dvorak C +0.46 0.00 +0.37 +0.09 0.00 -0.03 +0.03 — 19:07
39 Matvei Michkov R +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:16
27 Noah Cates L +0.28 0.00 +0.15 +0.16 0.00 -0.08 +0.05 — 13:57
52 Denver Barkey C +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:43
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D +0.18 0.00 +0.01 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:15
14 Sean Couturier C +0.12 0.00 +0.10 -0.04 0.00 +0.03 +0.02 — 13:13
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.02 0.00 +0.04 -0.05 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 18:55
10 Bobby Brink R -0.02 0.00 +0.03 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:38
18 Rodrigo Abols C -0.65 0.00 +0.20 -1.02 0.00 +0.06 +0.12 — 12:12
29 Nikita Grebenkin R -0.99 0.00 0.00 -0.97 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:49
91 Carl Grundstrom R -1.04 0.00 0.00 -1.09 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:10
6 Travis Sanheim D -1.05 0.00 +0.04 -1.31 0.00 0.00 +0.22 — 22:04
33 Samuel Ersson G -1.58 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.58 59:55
9 Jamie Drysdale D -1.75 0.00 +0.03 -1.60 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 22:38

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
47 Connor Zary C +2.39 +1.45 +0.34 +0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:34
52 MacKenzie Weegar D +2.12 +1.25 +0.04 +0.93 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 23:32
20 Blake Coleman L +1.97 +0.55 +0.40 +1.05 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 15:48
27 Matt Coronato R +1.96 +1.40 +0.19 +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:27
32 Dustin Wolf G +1.79 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.79 60:00
11 Mikael Backlund C +1.61 +0.75 +0.08 +0.71 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 15:56
70 Ryan Lomberg L +1.26 +0.70 0.00 +0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:21
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L +0.90 +0.75 +0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:05
16 Morgan Frost C +0.81 0.00 +0.28 +0.44 0.00 +0.06 +0.03 — 15:32
44 Joel Hanley D +0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:41
37 Yan Kuznetsov D +0.55 +0.55 +0.02 +0.08 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 22:34
4 Rasmus Andersson D +0.48 +0.75 +0.16 -0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 23:43
18 John Beecher C +0.40 0.00 +0.16 +0.21 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 12:59
43 Adam Klapka R +0.36 0.00 +0.02 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:58
48 Hunter Brzustewicz D +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:06
17 Yegor Sharangovich C +0.08 +0.75 +0.26 -0.95 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:13
7 Kevin Bahl D -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 21:17
91 Nazem Kadri C -0.17 +0.55 +0.11 -0.95 +0.15 -0.03 0.00 — 17:06
86 Joel Farabee L -0.37 0.00 +0.06 -0.65 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 14:08

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.