| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 21 |
 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:36 | |
Dylan Guenther (18) Barrett Hayton (6), Mikhail Sergachev (22) · snap xG 0.12 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2:35 | |
Calum Ritchie (6) Max Shabanov (9), Marshall Warren (3) · snap xG 0.14 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 10:20 | |
Dylan Guenther (19) Lawson Crouse (8), Barrett Hayton (7) · snap xG 0.11 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 16:19 | |
Nick Schmaltz (13) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.09 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:52 | |
Mikhail Sergachev (6)PP Clayton Keller (22), Dylan Guenther (16) · wrist xG 0.03 | 4–1 ▶ |
| 5:41 | |
Clayton Keller (13)PP Nick Schmaltz (22), Mikhail Sergachev (23) · snap xG 0.11 | 5–1 ▶ |
| 11:48 | |
Matthew Schaefer (10)PP Jonathan Drouin (14), Max Shabanov (10) · snap xG 0.05 | 5–2 ▶ |
| 13:54 | |
Dylan Guenther (20) Lawson Crouse (9), Sean Durzi (9) · wrist xG 0.13 | 6–2 ▶ |
| 16:55 | |
Nick Schmaltz (14) JJ Peterka (14), Clayton Keller (23) · snap xG 0.21 | 7–2 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| UTA | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.71 | Expected goals | 2.30 |
| 7 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.66 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.29 |
| 56 | Shot attempts | 55 |
| 39 | Unblocked attempts | 35 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 22 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:30 | UTA | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.15–0.02
In xG over 10 minutes, 12:10 of the 1st to 2:10 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:52 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Rittich −2.2 goals saved
4 goals on 1.77 xG, 12 shots on goal |
| 5:41 | NYI | Goalie change | Goalie change · Hogberg in for Rittich
5:41 of the 3rd; Rittich had allowed 5 goals on 14 shots (1.97 xG) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 8 | Nick Schmaltz | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 0.53 | 0 | 0 | 18:07 |
| 67 | Lawson Crouse | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 16:45 |
| 9 | Clayton Keller | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 0.46 | 1 | 0 | 16:32 |
| 82 | Kevin Stenlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 15:40 |
| 10 | JJ Peterka | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 1 | 15:29 |
| 27 | Barrett Hayton | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 15:26 |
| 11 | Dylan Guenther | 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 8 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 |
| 50 | Daniil But | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 |
| 53 | Michael Carcone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 13:18 |
| 22 | Jack McBain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 7 | 0 | 12:58 |
| 14 | Alexander Kerfoot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 |
| 38 | Liam O'Brien | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.10 | 3 | 0 | 11:04 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 98 | Mikhail Sergachev | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 20:36 |
| 5 | Sean Durzi | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 3 | 20:21 |
| 28 | Ian Cole | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 2 | 19:30 |
| 88 | Nate Schmidt | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 18:54 |
| 6 | John Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 17:41 |
| 57 | Nick DeSimone | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 15:46 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | 22 | 2 | 20 | .909 | 2.30 | +0.30 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 7 | 0.43 | 0 | 1 | 17:49 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 17:00 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 16:57 |
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.26 | 1 | 1 | 16:43 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 16:26 |
| 49 | Maxim Shabanov | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 15:57 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 14:17 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 13:57 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | 13:53 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 13:42 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 11:58 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 11:51 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 9 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 24:24 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 20:44 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 3 | 18:44 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.17 | 4 | 1 | 18:19 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 | 16:45 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Rittich | 14 | 5 | 9 | .643 | 1.97 | -3.03 |
| Marcus Hogberg | 7 | 2 | 5 | .714 | 0.75 | -1.25 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dylan Guenther R | +3.76 | +2.80 | +0.29 | +0.68 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:23 |
| 8 Nick Schmaltz C | +3.59 | +2.20 | +0.35 | +1.06 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.04 | — | 18:07 |
| 9 Clayton Keller R | +3.21 | +2.00 | +0.30 | +1.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:32 |
| 67 Lawson Crouse L | +2.08 | +1.40 | +0.03 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:45 |
| 27 Barrett Hayton C | +1.97 | +1.25 | +0.04 | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.07 | — | 15:26 |
| 77 JJ Peterka R | +1.87 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:29 |
| 98 Mikhail Sergachev D | +1.76 | +1.85 | +0.08 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:36 |
| 6 John Marino D | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:41 |
| 57 Nick DeSimone D | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:46 |
| 28 Ian Cole D | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 19:30 |
| 70 Karel Vejmelka G | +0.30 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.30 | 60:00 |
| 88 Nate Schmidt D | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:54 |
| 50 Sean Durzi D | +0.28 | +0.55 | +0.07 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 20:21 |
| 53 Michael Carcone L | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.27 | +0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:18 |
| 19 Daniil But L | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.30 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 14:27 |
| 82 Kevin Stenlund C | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 15:40 |
| 38 Liam O'Brien C | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:04 |
| 22 Jack McBain C | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.33 | -0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 12:58 |
| 15 Alexander Kerfoot C | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.35 | -0.30 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:56 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 Max Shabanov R | +1.28 | +1.25 | +0.04 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:57 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | +1.17 | +0.75 | +0.14 | -0.04 | +0.30 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 13:53 |
| 41 Marshall Warren D | +0.95 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.17 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:30 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.54 | +0.75 | +0.09 | -0.45 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 24:24 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:51 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +0.25 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.56 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:00 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:17 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:26 |
| 7 Maxim Tsyplakov R | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:42 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:44 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:19 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:43 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.28 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:49 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:45 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.44 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:58 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 13:57 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 16:57 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | -0.84 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.83 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 18:44 |
| 50 Marcus Hogberg G | -1.25 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.25 | 13:29 |
| 33 David Rittich G | -3.03 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.03 | 45:21 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.