| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:34 | Brayden Point (8)PP Jake Guentzel (22), Nikita Kucherov (34) · wrist xG 0.21 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 4:43 | Jeff Malott (3) Corey Perry (10) · snap xG 0.09 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 6:14 | Andrei Kuzmenko (8)PP Corey Perry (11), Kevin Fiala (13) · snap xG 0.35 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 18:07 | Brayden Point (9) Darren Raddysh (21), J.J. Moser (10) · backhand xG 0.19 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:37 | Kevin Fiala (14)PP Corey Perry (12), Andrei Kuzmenko (6) · wrist xG 0.16 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 16:41 | Anthony Cirelli (11) Brandon Hagel (17), Nikita Kucherov (35) · backhand xG 0.22 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 18:19 | Gage Goncalves (4) Jake Guentzel (23), Anthony Cirelli (13) · wrist xG 0.20 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 19:15 | Nikita Kucherov (19)EN Darren Raddysh (22) · backhand xG 0.89 | 5–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| TBL | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.83 | Expected goals | 2.88 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.27 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.86 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 38 | Unblocked attempts | 36 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 20 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:38 | LAK | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · LAK takes the lead, 61–39%
TBL had led since 2:28 of the 1st, by as much as 74% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 14:20 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Malott, 14:55 on the bench
No shift from 1:51 to 19:15 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (7:02) before that |
| 19:01 | LAK | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Kuemper, down 4–3
With 0:59 left; TBL scored at 19:15 of the 3rd (5–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Nikita Kucherov | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 1.19 | 0 | 1 | 20:51 |
| 21 | Brayden Point | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.70 | 0 | 0 | 18:56 |
| 38 | Brandon Hagel | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 8 | 0.29 | 3 | 0 | 18:32 |
| 59 | Jake Guentzel | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 17:44 |
| 71 | Anthony Cirelli | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 0.51 | 2 | 0 | 17:13 |
| 93 | Gage Goncalves | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 16:50 |
| 37 | Yanni Gourde | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 15:18 |
| 28 | Zemgus Girgensons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 12:24 |
| 29 | Pontus Holmberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 2 | 11:55 |
| 28 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 10:21 |
| 20 | Nick Paul | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 09:58 |
| 17 | Dominic James | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 09:23 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Darren Raddysh | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 24:55 |
| 90 | J.J. Moser | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 24:49 |
| 51 | Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 3 | 21:39 |
| 81 | Erik Cernak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 20:13 |
| 24 | Max Crozier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 14:25 |
| 72 | Declan Carlile | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:24 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Johansson | 20 | 3 | 17 | .850 | 2.88 | -0.12 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 7 | 0.61 | 0 | 0 | 19:22 |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 19:01 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.17 | 3 | 2 | 18:37 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | 2 | 0 | 17:25 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 16:53 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 3 | 0.37 | 0 | 1 | 16:47 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 15:49 |
| 37 | Warren Foegele | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 15:45 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.26 | 2 | 0 | 15:11 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.09 | 3 | 1 | 07:47 |
| 79 | Samuel Helenius | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 07:22 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 22:15 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 21:35 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.16 | 0 | 5 | 20:20 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 19:19 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 16:50 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:45 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | 23 | 4 | 19 | .826 | 2.94 | -1.06 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 Nikita Kucherov R | +3.41 | +1.85 | +0.77 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:51 |
| 71 Anthony Cirelli C | +2.73 | +1.30 | +0.33 | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 | — | 17:13 |
| 21 Brayden Point C | +2.23 | +1.50 | +0.46 | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 18:56 |
| 93 Gage Goncalves C | +1.95 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:50 |
| 59 Jake Guentzel C | +1.77 | +1.40 | +0.18 | +0.25 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 17:44 |
| 43 Darren Raddysh D | +1.60 | +1.40 | +0.04 | +0.26 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:55 |
| 90 J.J. Moser D | +1.36 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 24:49 |
| 38 Brandon Hagel L | +1.31 | +0.70 | +0.19 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:32 |
| 81 Erik Cernak D | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:13 |
| 29 Pontus Holmberg R | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.19 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 11:55 |
| 51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 21:39 |
| 17 Dominic James C | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.24 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 9:23 |
| 67 Declan Carlile D | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:24 |
| 22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:21 |
| 31 Jonas Johansson G | -0.12 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.12 | 60:00 |
| 28 Zemgus Girgensons C | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 12:24 |
| 24 Max Crozier D | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.24 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 14:25 |
| 20 Nick Paul L | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:58 |
| 37 Yanni Gourde C | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.31 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 15:18 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Corey Perry R | +2.65 | +2.10 | +0.16 | +0.39 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:29 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | +1.38 | +0.75 | +0.06 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 7:47 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | +1.28 | +1.30 | +0.24 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:47 |
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | +0.98 | +1.30 | +0.40 | -0.86 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:22 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 16:50 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | — | 17:25 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 19:01 |
| 79 Samuel Helenius C | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 7:22 |
| 37 Warren Foegele L | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:45 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | — | 20:20 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 16:53 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:45 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.62 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:11 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:35 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.31 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:15 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:37 |
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.88 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.06 | — | 15:49 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | -0.78 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:19 |
| 35 Darcy Kuemper G | -1.06 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.06 | 59:46 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.