| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:48 | Artyom Levshunov (2)PP Andre Burakovsky (15), Ryan Donato (7) · wrist xG 0.12 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 14:42 | Mikko Rantanen (16) Sam Steel (8) · backhand xG 0.11 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:13 | Teuvo Teravainen (8)PP Andre Burakovsky (16), Tyler Bertuzzi (11) · snap xG 0.19 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 9:14 | Ilya Mikheyev (7) Matt Grzelcyk (8) · wrist xG 0.16 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:58 | Ilya Mikheyev (8) Ryan Donato (8), Connor Murphy (6) · wrist xG 0.02 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 16:03 | Jason Robertson (24) Mikko Rantanen (40), Matt Duchene (4) · wrist xG 0.15 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 19:42 | Matt Duchene (3) Wyatt Johnston (26), Jason Robertson (24) · wrist xG 0.14 | 3–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| DAL | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.91 | Expected goals | 3.89 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.29 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.90 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 37 | Unblocked attempts | 39 |
| 25 | Shots on goal | 21 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:48 | CHI | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CHI takes the lead, 62–38%
DAL had led since 0:57 of the 1st, by as much as 64% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:32 | DAL | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Oettinger, down 4–1
With 4:28 left; DAL scored at 16:03 of the 3rd (2–4) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 53 | Wyatt Johnston | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 21:48 |
| 96 | Mikko Rantanen | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 21:23 |
| 21 | Jason Robertson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.48 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 |
| 95 | Matt Duchene | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 17:34 |
| 24 | Roope Hintz | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.42 | 4 | 1 | 15:52 |
| 18 | Sam Steel | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.08 | 3 | 0 | 15:48 |
| 22 | Mavrik Bourque | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.14 | 2 | 0 | 15:17 |
| 49 | Justin Hryckowian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 14:09 |
| 14 | Jamie Benn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 12:40 |
| 15 | Colin Blackwell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | 1 | 2 | 11:26 |
| 12 | Radek Faksa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 09:47 |
| 10 | Oskar Bäck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 09:24 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 4 | Miro Heiskanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.07 | 1 | 4 | 24:46 |
| 55 | Thomas Harley | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.11 | 2 | 3 | 22:46 |
| 23 | Esa Lindell | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 19:54 |
| 5 | Nils Lundkvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 |
| 36 | Alexander Petrovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 14:18 |
| 46 | Ilya Lyubushkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 13:30 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | 21 | 4 | 17 | .810 | 2.88 | -1.12 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 | 1.07 | 1 | 0 | 18:57 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 18:48 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.61 | 0 | 1 | 17:39 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.89 | 0 | 0 | 16:41 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.40 | 4 | 0 | 16:31 |
| 71 | Nick Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 16:29 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.19 | 1 | 1 | 14:34 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 5 | 1 | 12:42 |
| 76 | Nick Lardis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 12:21 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 12:01 |
| 84 | Landon Slaggert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:12 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 21:23 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.06 | 1 | 3 | 21:01 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.04 | 1 | 4 | 19:04 |
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 18:27 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 18:18 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:27 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 25 | 3 | 22 | .880 | 2.91 | -0.09 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Mikko Rantanen R | +1.98 | +1.45 | +0.20 | +0.20 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:23 |
| 18 Sam Steel C | +1.42 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 15:48 |
| 21 Jason Robertson L | +1.39 | +1.30 | +0.31 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:22 |
| 95 Matt Duchene C | +1.20 | +1.30 | +0.18 | -0.19 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.06 | — | 17:34 |
| 24 Roope Hintz C | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 15:52 |
| 46 Ilya Lyubushkin D | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:30 |
| 15 Colin Blackwell C | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:26 |
| 14 Jamie Benn L | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.36 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:40 |
| 49 Justin Hryckowian C | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:09 |
| 53 Wyatt Johnston C | +0.23 | +0.70 | +0.22 | -0.68 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 21:48 |
| 28 Alexander Petrovic D | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:18 |
| 12 Radek Faksa C | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 9:47 |
| 10 Oskar Bäck C | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 9:24 |
| 55 Thomas Harley D | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 22:46 |
| 4 Miro Heiskanen D | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 24:46 |
| 23 Esa Lindell D | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:54 |
| 22 Mavrik Bourque C | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.47 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:17 |
| 5 Nils Lundkvist D | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.44 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:13 |
| 29 Jake Oettinger G | -1.12 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.12 | 55:49 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | +2.11 | +1.50 | +0.40 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:39 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | +2.01 | +1.40 | +0.05 | +0.41 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:32 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | +1.60 | +1.25 | +0.26 | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 16:31 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +1.57 | +0.55 | +0.69 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:57 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | +1.37 | 0.00 | +0.58 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 | — | 16:41 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | +1.01 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:18 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | +0.80 | +0.75 | +0.11 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:27 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | +0.74 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 21:01 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | +0.69 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 14:34 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.16 | +0.15 | -0.05 | -0.08 | — | 12:01 |
| 30 Spencer Knight G | -0.09 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.09 | 59:53 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.24 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 19:04 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.10 | — | 18:48 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:23 |
| 76 Nick Lardis L | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:21 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:27 |
| 84 Landon Slaggert L | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 11:12 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 12:42 |
| 17 Nick Foligno L | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.63 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.10 | — | 16:29 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.