Friday, January 2, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
SEA 22%Deserve to win 78% VAN
SEA VAN
2.28 Expected goals 4.12
3 Goals (no shootout) 3
1.45 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.52
45 Shot attempts 78
39 Unblocked attempts 54
28 Shots on goal 24
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
2:40
VAN
xG swing
xG swing · Out-chanced SEA 1.41–0.29
In xG over 10 minutes, 12:40 of the 2nd to 2:40 of the 3rd; goals 2–1
Shot map
SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → VAN shoots
Jacob Melanson: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:12)
Ryan Lindgren: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:27)
Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 3:29)
Filip Hronek: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:56)
Kiefer Sherwood: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 4:13)
Kiefer Sherwood: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:43)
Shane Wright: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 5:05)
Berkly Catton: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:10)
Nils Hoglander: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 5:30)
Max Sasson: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 5:56)
Linus Karlsson: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 7:04)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:27)
Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:07)
Aatu Räty: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:40)
Tom Willander: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:10)
Marcus Pettersson: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:14)
Drew O'Connor: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:25)
Elias Pettersson: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:01)
Marcus Pettersson: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:09)
Pierre-Olivier Joseph: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:32)
Tyler Myers: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:38)
Cale Fleury: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:19)
Jamie Oleksiak: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 12:00)
Jamie Oleksiak: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:01)
Drew O'Connor: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:19)
Jared McCann: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 14:00)
Ryan Winterton: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:40)
Ben Meyers: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:12)
Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:42)
Jamie Oleksiak: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:26)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:03)
Ben Meyers: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:46)
Shane Wright: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:35)
Brock Boeser: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:31)
Jake DeBrusk: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:03)
Linus Karlsson: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:05)
Marcus Pettersson: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:26)
Aatu Räty: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:44)
Nils Hoglander: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:01)
Nils Hoglander: deflected, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:07)
Kiefer Sherwood: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:46)
Drew O'Connor: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:22)
Liam Ohgren: tip-in, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:47)
Jacob Melanson: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 9:08)
Vince Dunn: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:20)
Ben Meyers: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:26)
Jared McCann: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:32)
Liam Ohgren: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:35)
Brock Boeser: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:36)
Max Sasson: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:37)
Jake DeBrusk: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:03)
Drew O'Connor: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:20)
David Kampf: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 13:51)
Aatu Räty: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:26)
Ryan Winterton: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:17)
Linus Karlsson: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:48)
Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:01)
Elias Pettersson: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 2:19)
Linus Karlsson: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 2:33)
Linus Karlsson: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 2:40)
Filip Hronek: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:41)
Cale Fleury: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:19)
Ben Meyers: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:21)
Ben Meyers: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:29)
David Kampf: between-legs, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 4:51)
Kiefer Sherwood: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:59)
Adam Larsson: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:29)
Linus Karlsson: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:44)
Filip Hronek: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:12)
Jamie Oleksiak: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:14)
Brock Boeser: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:59)
Jamie Oleksiak: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:51)
Ben Meyers: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:34)
Marcus Pettersson: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:36)
Jake DeBrusk: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 14:51)
Ben Meyers: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:22)
Drew O'Connor: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:25)
Filip Hronek: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:28)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 1:24)
Matty Beniers: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 1:25)
Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 2:13)
Berkly Catton: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.21 (OT 2:28)
Filip Hronek: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 3:21)
Jake DeBrusk: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (OT 3:22)
Jake DeBrusk: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 3:22)
Filip Hronek: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.35 (OT 3:25)
Jake DeBrusk: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 3:39)
Cale Fleury: GOAL, slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:34)
Chandler Stephenson: GOAL, snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 8:53)
Kiefer Sherwood: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.49 (P2 13:06)
Ben Meyers: GOAL, tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 18:13)
Jake DeBrusk: GOAL, deflected, 4 ft, xG 0.31 (P2 19:22)
Linus Karlsson: GOAL, backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.36 (P3 6:15)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Seattle Kraken
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Joey Daccord
24 3 21
.875
4.12
+1.12
Vancouver Canucks
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Seattle Kraken
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
59 Ben Meyers C
+1.91
+0.75
+0.34
+0.83
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
12:29
26 Ryan Winterton C
+1.64
+0.70
+0.07
+0.86
0.00
-0.01
+0.02
—
10:51
63 Jacob Melanson R
+1.44
+0.55
+0.06
+0.83
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
12:45
35 Joey Daccord G
+1.12
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.12
64:39
8 Cale Fleury D
+1.00
+0.75
+0.02
+0.12
0.00
0.00
+0.12
—
17:55
24 Jamie Oleksiak D
+0.95
+0.70
+0.15
+0.05
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
17:12
9 Chandler Stephenson C
+0.78
+0.75
+0.07
-0.14
0.00
+0.01
+0.08
—
17:10
19 Jared McCann L
+0.76
+0.55
+0.06
+0.06
+0.15
0.00
-0.06
—
13:23
20 Eeli Tolvanen R
+0.15
0.00
+0.17
-0.22
+0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
17:06
51 Shane Wright C
+0.06
0.00
+0.07
+0.06
0.00
-0.01
-0.06
—
17:07
41 Ryker Evans D
-0.07
0.00
0.00
-0.08
-0.15
0.00
+0.16
—
19:06
89 Frederick Gaudreau C
-0.08
0.00
+0.04
-0.15
0.00
-0.03
+0.05
—
15:26
55 Ryan Lindgren D
-0.19
0.00
+0.01
-0.24
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
19:41
27 Berkly Catton C
-0.57
0.00
+0.14
-0.55
-0.15
+0.01
-0.02
—
17:49
84 Kaapo Kakko R
-0.58
+0.55
0.00
-1.12
0.00
+0.01
-0.02
—
16:42
29 Vince Dunn D
-0.85
0.00
+0.07
-1.06
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
26:21
6 Adam Larsson D
-0.88
0.00
+0.01
-0.84
-0.15
0.00
+0.10
—
23:59
7 Jordan Eberle R
-0.96
+0.70
+0.06
-1.77
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
19:15
10 Matty Beniers C
-1.64
0.00
+0.13
-1.77
0.00
-0.03
+0.04
—
19:56
Vancouver Canucks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
74 Jake DeBrusk L
+3.71
+2.00
+0.46
+1.22
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
18:12
17 Filip Hronek D
+2.75
+0.70
+0.38
+1.64
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
27:29
94 Linus Karlsson C
+2.55
+0.75
+0.49
+1.32
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:31
40 Elias Pettersson C
+2.16
+0.55
+0.07
+1.30
+0.15
+0.03
+0.05
—
19:31
44 Kiefer Sherwood L
+1.70
+0.75
+0.48
+0.48
0.00
+0.01
-0.02
—
16:43
29 Marcus Pettersson D
+1.07
0.00
+0.08
+0.90
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
23:11
64 David Kampf C
+0.72
0.00
+0.15
+0.56
0.00
+0.03
-0.02
—
15:23
18 Drew O'Connor L
+0.63
0.00
+0.07
+0.58
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
16:33
24 Zeev Buium D
+0.45
0.00
0.00
+0.45
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
20:33
21 Nils Hoglander L
+0.42
0.00
+0.12
+0.34
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
11:56
92 Liam Ohgren L
+0.31
0.00
+0.08
+0.24
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
11:58
57 Tyler Myers D
+0.26
0.00
+0.04
+0.20
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
20:18
54 Aatu Räty C
+0.24
0.00
+0.10
+0.15
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
12:43
7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D
-0.27
0.00
+0.02
-0.28
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:52
5 Tom Willander D
-0.36
+0.55
0.00
-0.85
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
18:32
6 Brock Boeser R
-0.50
+0.70
+0.07
-1.10
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
20:07
35 Thatcher Demko G
-0.72
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.72
65:00
91 Evander Kane L
-0.88
0.00
0.00
-1.01
+0.15
+0.02
-0.04
—
16:13
63 Max Sasson C
-0.96
0.00
+0.07
-0.99
0.00
-0.02
-0.02
—
16:10
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.