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Utah MammothUTA 1–4 Final New Jersey DevilsNJD

Saturday, January 3, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Utah MammothUTA 001 1 31
New Jersey DevilsNJD 220 4 30

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
12:27 NJD Jesper Bratt (9) Brett Pesce (4), Jack Hughes (12) · wrap-around xG 0.05 0–1 ▶
14:18 NJD Timo Meier (12) Dawson Mercer (15), Brett Pesce (5) · wrist xG 0.05 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
15:13 NJD Nico Hischier (12)PP Jack Hughes (13), Jesper Bratt (24) · tip-in xG 0.22 0–3 ▶
16:43 NJD Dougie Hamilton (5) Luke Glendening (4) · wrist xG 0.02 0–4 ▶
3rd Period
12:35 UTA Michael Carcone (7) Barrett Hayton (8), Sean Durzi (10) · wrist xG 0.06 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 41%Deserve to win59% NJD
UTANJD
2.74Expected goals3.25
1Goals (no shootout)4
2.24Expected goals, 5 on 51.73
62Shot attempts49
48Unblocked attempts40
31Shots on goal30

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
2:08 NJD Deserve to win Deserve to win · NJD takes the lead, 60–40%
UTA had led since 19:12 of the 1st, by as much as 61%
3rd Period
11:38 NJD Goalie Goalie · Markstrom +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.01 xG, 23 shots on goal

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NJD shoots
Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:09) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:24) Nico Hischier: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 0:35) Nate Schmidt: wrist, 152 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:32) Daniil But: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 2:17) Jesper Bratt: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:11) JJ Peterka: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:03) Clayton Keller: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:04) Luke Hughes: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:18) Brett Pesce: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 5:47) Clayton Keller: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:25) Nick Schmaltz: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 6:31) JJ Peterka: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 6:48) John Marino: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:16) Timo Meier: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 8:31) Luke Hughes: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:30) Mikhail Sergachev: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:08) Timo Meier: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:40) Jack Hughes: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:49) Brett Pesce: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:24) Luke Glendening: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:39) Alexander Kerfoot: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:05) Clayton Keller: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 15:47) Clayton Keller: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:53) JJ Peterka: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:28) Dylan Guenther: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:47) Luke Glendening: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:21) Michael Carcone: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:48) Daniil But: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:54) Michael Carcone: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 19:03) Liam O'Brien: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:12) Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 105 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:57) Stefan Noesen: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 1:27) Jack Hughes: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 1:33) Timo Meier: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 1:50) Timo Meier: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 2:02) Luke Hughes: slap, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 2:08) Dawson Mercer: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 2:29) Timo Meier: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:35) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:25) Jack McBain: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:22) Dawson Mercer: backhand, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:43) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:30) Sean Durzi: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:40) Jesper Bratt: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:04) Nate Schmidt: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:55) Michael Carcone: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:23) Dylan Guenther: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:39) John Marino: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:17) Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:50) Barrett Hayton: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:37) Stefan Noesen: poke, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 13:15) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 15:02) Clayton Keller: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:24) Timo Meier: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:37) JJ Peterka: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:22) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:14) Nico Hischier: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 0:29) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 0:29) Jack Hughes: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:56) Brenden Dillon: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:40) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:52) Michael Carcone: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:40) Brett Pesce: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:51) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 6:16) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:17) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:15) Timo Meier: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 8:26) Dylan Guenther: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:54) Sean Durzi: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:38) Dylan Guenther: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 13:33) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 14:05) Daniil But: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 14:33) Alexander Kerfoot: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:12) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:16) Timo Meier: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:17) Ondrej Palat: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 17:59) Brett Pesce: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:05) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:55) Clayton Keller: backhand, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:12) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 19:22) Nick Schmaltz: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:23) Clayton Keller: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:24) Jesper Bratt: GOAL, wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:27) Timo Meier: GOAL, wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:18) Nico Hischier: GOAL, tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 15:13) Dougie Hamilton: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:43) Michael Carcone: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:35)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Clayton Keller 000 -1 80.35 0022:46
8 Nick Schmaltz 000 -1 80.49 0022:17
11 Dylan Guenther 000 -2 90.46 4017:20
10 JJ Peterka 000 0 40.21 0115:52
67 Lawson Crouse 000 0 30.10 5015:07
82 Kevin Stenlund 000 0 10.00 0014:11
50 Daniil But 000 0 40.38 0013:18
27 Barrett Hayton 011 0 20.13 2012:42
22 Jack McBain 000 -1 10.04 5012:36
53 Michael Carcone 101 0 70.31 2011:44
14 Alexander Kerfoot 000 0 20.06 0011:06
38 Liam O'Brien 000 0 20.06 6010:01
Defense
88 Nate Schmidt 000 0 20.05 0121:38
98 Mikhail Sergachev 000 -3 30.02 1120:59
5 Sean Durzi 011 -2 40.04 0120:44
6 John Marino 000 0 20.05 1120:28
28 Ian Cole 000 0 00.00 1217:42
57 Nick DeSimone 000 0 00.00 1114:25
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Karel Vejmelka 30426 .867 3.25 -0.75

New Jersey Devils

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Jack Hughes 022 +1 40.24 0019:17
13 Nico Hischier 101 +1 40.49 1019:06
63 Jesper Bratt 112 0 40.24 2018:38
91 Dawson Mercer 011 +1 50.14 0016:35
28 Timo Meier 101 +1 110.89 1116:20
81 Arseny Gritsyuk 000 +1 20.02 0114:27
16 Connor Brown 000 0 00.00 0014:12
12 Cody Glass 000 0 00.00 2113:44
81 Ondrej Palat 000 -1 10.14 4013:21
41 Luke Glendening 011 +1 20.17 0112:12
11 Stefan Noesen 000 0 20.32 1111:46
83 Juho Lammikko 000 +1 00.00 2009:46
Defense
22 Brett Pesce 022 +1 40.20 0522:56
7 Dougie Hamilton 101 +1 60.17 3322:47
71 Jonas Siegenthaler 000 +1 00.00 5121:44
43 Luke Hughes 000 +2 30.22 0020:14
5 Brenden Dillon 000 -1 10.00 1016:53
6 Colton White 000 0 00.00 2012:02
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jacob Markstrom 31130 .968 2.74 +1.74

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
53 Michael Carcone L +1.44 +0.75 +0.20 +0.34 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 11:44
9 Clayton Keller R +1.03 0.00 +0.23 +0.86 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 22:46
50 Sean Durzi D +1.02 +0.55 +0.03 +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:44
8 Nick Schmaltz C +0.79 0.00 +0.32 +0.42 0.00 +0.01 +0.04 — 22:17
27 Barrett Hayton C +0.72 +0.70 +0.08 -0.04 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 12:42
19 Daniil But L +0.54 0.00 +0.25 +0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:18
28 Ian Cole D +0.46 0.00 0.00 +0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 17:42
57 Nick DeSimone D +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:25
77 JJ Peterka R +0.06 0.00 +0.14 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:52
22 Jack McBain C +0.06 0.00 +0.02 +0.09 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 12:36
11 Dylan Guenther R +0.02 0.00 +0.30 -0.16 -0.15 +0.01 +0.02 — 17:20
6 John Marino D -0.06 0.00 +0.03 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:28
82 Kevin Stenlund C -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.13 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 14:11
15 Alexander Kerfoot C -0.14 0.00 +0.04 -0.16 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:06
67 Lawson Crouse L -0.16 0.00 +0.06 -0.21 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:07
38 Liam O'Brien C -0.19 0.00 +0.04 -0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:01
98 Mikhail Sergachev D -0.26 0.00 +0.01 -0.13 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 20:59
88 Nate Schmidt D -0.29 0.00 +0.03 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:38
70 Karel Vejmelka G -0.75 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.75 60:00

New Jersey Devils

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
22 Brett Pesce D +2.46 +1.25 +0.13 +0.85 0.00 0.00 +0.23 — 22:56
25 Jacob Markstrom G +1.74 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.74 60:00
28 Timo Meier R +1.74 +0.75 +0.58 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:20
63 Jesper Bratt L +1.48 +1.30 +0.15 +0.04 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 18:38
13 Nico Hischier C +1.37 +0.75 +0.32 +0.26 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 19:06
86 Jack Hughes C +1.32 +1.25 +0.16 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:17
91 Dawson Mercer C +1.01 +0.70 +0.09 +0.26 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 16:35
14 Luke Glendening C +0.80 +0.70 +0.11 -0.05 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 12:12
43 Luke Hughes D +0.54 0.00 +0.14 +0.60 -0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 20:14
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R +0.47 0.00 +0.01 +0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 14:27
7 Dougie Hamilton D +0.28 +0.75 +0.11 -0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 22:47
18 Ondrej Palat L +0.04 0.00 +0.09 -0.20 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:21
45 Colton White D -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:02
12 Cody Glass C -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.49 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 13:44
16 Connor Brown R -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:12
83 Juho Lammikko C -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.37 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 9:46
11 Stefan Noesen R -0.53 0.00 +0.21 -0.65 -0.15 +0.01 +0.05 — 11:46
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:44
5 Brenden Dillon D -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:53

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.