Philadelphia FlyersPHI 5–2 Final Edmonton OilersEDM

Saturday, January 3, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI	3	0	2	5	29
Edmonton OilersEDM	1	1	0	2	25

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:16	PHI	Denver Barkey (1) Owen Tippett (12), Sean Couturier (17) · snap xG 0.22	1–0 ▶
10:31	PHI	Travis Sanheim (4) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.08	2–0 ▶
14:38	PHI	Bobby Brink (11) Cam York (14), Matvei Michkov (14) · deflected xG 0.10	3–0 ▶
16:08	EDM	Connor McDavid (25) Mattias Ekholm (15) · snap xG 0.15	3–1 ▶
2nd Period
9:54	EDM	Evan Bouchard (8)PP Connor McDavid (47), Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (22) · slap xG 0.10	3–2 ▶
3rd Period
9:09	PHI	Nick Seeler (1) Rodrigo Abols (6) · wrist xG 0.01	4–2 ▶
18:50	PHI	Owen Tippett (13)EN Sean Couturier (18), Nick Seeler (5) · wrist xG 0.77	5–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 55%Deserve to win45% EDM

PHI		EDM
3.81	Expected goals	2.44
5	Goals (no shootout)	2
2.07	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.89
66	Shot attempts	51
46	Unblocked attempts	36
29	Shots on goal	25

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
14:38	EDM	Goalie	Goalie · Pickard −2.4 goals saved 3 goals on 0.59 xG, 7 shots on goal
3rd Period
16:00	EDM	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Pickard, down 4–2 With 4:00 left; PHI scored at 18:50 of the 3rd (5–2)

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
22	Christian Dvorak	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	20:29
46	Trevor Zegras	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	2	0	20:11
11	Travis Konecny	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	1	0	18:24
74	Owen Tippett	1	1	2	+2	4	1.16	1	0	15:58
14	Sean Couturier	0	2	2	+2	9	0.57	0	0	15:37
10	Bobby Brink	1	0	1	+1	2	0.16	0	2	14:36
86	Denver Barkey	1	0	1	+2	3	0.22	1	0	14:11
27	Noah Cates	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	13:57
39	Matvei Michkov	0	1	1	+1	4	0.41	0	0	13:37
91	Carl Grundstrom	0	0	0	+1	5	0.08	3	0	11:54
18	Rodrigo Abols	0	1	1	+1	4	0.08	0	0	10:41
21	Garnet Hathaway	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	6	0	10:03
Defense
8	Cam York	0	1	1	+2	5	0.36	0	1	24:36
6	Travis Sanheim	1	0	1	+1	5	0.14	0	5	23:20
55	Rasmus Ristolainen	0	0	0	+2	7	0.24	0	1	19:16
24	Nick Seeler	1	1	2	+2	3	0.02	0	4	18:23
9	Jamie Drysdale	0	0	0	0	5	0.02	0	1	16:02
36	Emil Andrae	0	0	0	+1	3	0.02	1	0	15:52

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Dan Vladar	25	2	23	.920	2.44	+0.44

Edmonton Oilers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
97	Connor McDavid	1	1	2	-1	9	0.50	3	0	23:17
18	Zach Hyman	0	0	0	-1	6	0.55	0	0	21:17
29	Leon Draisaitl	0	0	0	-3	3	0.02	0	0	21:13
93	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	0	1	1	-1	7	0.92	1	1	19:21
96	Jack Roslovic	0	0	0	-2	3	0.08	0	0	16:18
92	Vasily Podkolzin	0	0	0	-2	3	0.11	1	2	16:08
19	Adam Henrique	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	12:35
53	Isaac Howard	0	0	0	-1	3	0.00	0	0	11:52
13	Mattias Janmark	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	10:57
22	Matt Savoie	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	10:16
10	Trent Frederic	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	08:39
Defense
2	Evan Bouchard	1	0	1	-1	5	0.18	0	0	27:39
14	Mattias Ekholm	0	1	1	0	5	0.03	1	2	25:14
24	Spencer Stastney	0	0	0	-3	2	0.03	1	2	18:01
25	Darnell Nurse	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	2	2	16:56
49	Ty Emberson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	15:30
75	Alec Regula	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	5	14:21

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Calvin Pickard	28	4	24	.857	2.70	-1.30

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
74 Owen Tippett R	+2.96	+1.45	+0.75	+0.65	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	15:58
14 Sean Couturier C	+2.31	+1.25	+0.37	+0.67	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	15:37
52 Denver Barkey C	+1.56	+0.75	+0.14	+0.67	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:11
10 Bobby Brink R	+1.55	+0.75	+0.10	+0.59	0.00	+0.01	+0.10	—	14:36
39 Matvei Michkov R	+1.41	+0.55	+0.26	+0.75	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	13:37
24 Nick Seeler D	+1.38	+1.30	+0.01	-0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.18	—	18:23
6 Travis Sanheim D	+1.29	+0.75	+0.09	+0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.23	—	23:20
8 Cam York D	+1.22	+0.70	+0.23	+0.26	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	24:36
18 Rodrigo Abols C	+0.60	+0.70	+0.05	-0.07	-0.15	+0.07	0.00	—	10:41
9 Jamie Drysdale D	+0.56	0.00	+0.01	+0.49	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	16:02
27 Noah Cates L	+0.50	0.00	0.00	+0.54	0.00	-0.04	0.00	—	13:57
36 Emil Andrae D	+0.49	0.00	+0.01	+0.50	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:52
80 Dan Vladar G	+0.44	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.44	59:46
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D	+0.13	0.00	+0.16	-0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	19:16
19 Garnet Hathaway R	-0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	10:03
91 Carl Grundstrom R	-0.20	0.00	+0.05	-0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:54
46 Trevor Zegras C	-0.27	0.00	+0.07	-0.48	+0.15	+0.01	-0.02	—	20:11
22 Christian Dvorak C	-0.44	0.00	+0.03	-0.55	0.00	+0.04	+0.05	—	20:29
11 Travis Konecny R	-0.49	0.00	+0.13	-0.60	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:24

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
97 Connor McDavid C	+3.08	+1.45	+0.33	+1.25	+0.15	-0.08	-0.02	—	23:17
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	+2.41	+0.55	+0.60	+1.23	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	19:21
18 Zach Hyman L	+1.69	0.00	+0.36	+1.33	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:17
14 Mattias Ekholm D	+1.47	+0.70	+0.02	+0.82	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	25:14
2 Evan Bouchard D	+1.28	+0.75	+0.12	+0.43	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	27:39
13 Mattias Janmark C	-0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.18	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	10:57
19 Adam Henrique C	-0.06	0.00	+0.01	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	+0.10	—	12:35
49 Ty Emberson D	-0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	15:30
10 Trent Frederic C	-0.18	0.00	0.00	-0.15	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	8:39
75 Alec Regula D	-0.21	0.00	0.00	-0.31	-0.15	0.00	+0.25	—	14:21
22 Matt Savoie C	-0.55	0.00	0.00	-0.61	0.00	-0.02	+0.08	—	10:16
23 Quinn Hutson R	-0.70	0.00	0.00	-0.68	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	9:17
25 Darnell Nurse D	-0.77	0.00	+0.01	-1.03	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	16:56
53 Isaac Howard L	-0.79	0.00	0.00	-0.79	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:52
92 Vasily Podkolzin R	-0.91	0.00	+0.07	-1.06	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	16:08
29 Leon Draisaitl C	-0.99	0.00	+0.01	-1.04	0.00	+0.02	+0.02	—	21:13
24 Spencer Stastney D	-1.02	0.00	+0.02	-1.15	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	18:01
28 Jack Roslovic C	-1.05	0.00	+0.05	-1.08	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:18
30 Calvin Pickard G	-1.30	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.30	57:09

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.