hockeystats.io

Montréal CanadiensMTL 0–2 Final St. Louis BluesSTL

Saturday, January 3, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Montréal CanadiensMTL 000 0 26
St. Louis BluesSTL 110 2 19

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
10:48 STL Jonatan Berggren (5) Cam Fowler (14), Otto Stenberg (5) · snap xG 0.17 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
10:13 STL Robert Thomas (10)SH Alexey Toropchenko (3) · backhand xG 0.12 0–2 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MTL 73%Deserve to win27% STL
MTLSTL
3.75Expected goals3.17
0Goals (no shootout)2
1.67Expected goals, 5 on 51.99
65Shot attempts38
48Unblocked attempts28
26Shots on goal19

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
15:32 STL Goalie Goalie · Binnington +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.05 xG, 17 shots on goal
15:40 MTL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced STL 1.22–0.12
In xG over 10 minutes, 5:40 to 15:40 of the 2nd; goals 0–1
3rd Period
2:48 MTL Deserve to win Deserve to win · MTL takes the lead, 62–38%
STL had led since 10:14 of the 1st, by as much as 74%
16:19 MTL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Fowler, down 2–0
With 3:41 left
17:53 MTL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Fowler, down 2–0
With 2:07 left

Shot map

MTL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ STL shoots
Brendan Gallagher: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:55) Jake Neighbours: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 4:29) Noah Dobson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:40) Jordan Kyrou: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 5:57) Sammy Blais: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:42) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:42) Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 10:14) Cam Fowler: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:46) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:17) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:34) Cole Caufield: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:50) Jake Neighbours: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:47) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 15:10) Robby Fabbri: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 16:40) Phillip Danault: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:16) Lane Hutson: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:23) Brendan Gallagher: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:47) Brendan Gallagher: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.31 (P1 19:50) Brendan Gallagher: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:55) Brendan Gallagher: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:56) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:16) Jake Neighbours: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:42) Pavel Buchnevich: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:01) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:08) Alexey Toropchenko: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 2:23) Robert Thomas: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:36) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:44) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:45) Brendan Gallagher: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:26) Phillip Danault: poke, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:24) Brendan Gallagher: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:50) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:54) Ivan Demidov: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:40) Noah Dobson: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:56) Nick Suzuki: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 14:23) Noah Dobson: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:33) Noah Dobson: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 14:41) Cole Caufield: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 15:13) Cole Caufield: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 15:18) Brendan Gallagher: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 15:32) Brayden Schenn: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 16:31) Lane Hutson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:19) Otto Stenberg: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 18:37) Zachary Bolduc: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:52) Zachary Bolduc: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:56) Noah Dobson: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:17) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 0:50) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:12) Noah Dobson: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:10) Phillip Danault: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.28 (P3 2:13) Ivan Demidov: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 2:24) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 2:48) Brendan Gallagher: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:21) Sammy Blais: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 4:32) Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 4:52) Oliver Kapanen: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:21) Oliver Kapanen: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:55) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:28) Alexey Toropchenko: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 8:59) Alexandre Texier: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:22) Noah Dobson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:47) Ivan Demidov: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:38) Phillip Danault: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:10) Lane Hutson: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:28) Robert Thomas: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:32) Cole Caufield: wrap-around, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:51) Noah Dobson: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:39) Ivan Demidov: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:48) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 16:50) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:12) Lane Hutson: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:58) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:11) Brayden Schenn: snap, 178 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 19:15) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.67 (P3 19:28) Jonatan Berggren: GOAL, snap, 23 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 10:48) Robert Thomas: GOAL, backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 10:13)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Nick Suzuki 000 -1 70.66 0124:21
13 Cole Caufield 000 0 60.39 0021:54
20 Juraj Slafkovský 000 -1 30.09 0020:29
93 Ivan Demidov 000 -1 60.26 1119:38
91 Oliver Kapanen 000 0 30.17 0015:48
85 Alexandre Texier 000 0 30.04 1115:28
24 Phillip Danault 000 -1 40.42 2015:22
7 Brendan Gallagher 000 -2 90.79 1014:19
76 Zachary Bolduc 000 -1 20.14 2014:03
90 Joseph Veleno 000 0 00.00 1009:14
62 Owen Beck 000 0 10.00 1008:02
0 Sammy Blais 000 0 20.20 0006:43
Defense
48 Lane Hutson 000 -1 50.06 0328:03
53 Noah Dobson 000 0 110.54 0027:23
8 Mike Matheson 000 0 10.00 1321:22
45 Alexandre Carrier 000 0 00.00 2020:12
3 Jayden Struble 000 -1 20.00 1009:31
72 Arber Xhekaj 000 -1 00.00 2107:53
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jacob Fowler 19217 .895 2.29 +0.29

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Robert Thomas 101 +1 50.15 0022:33
10 Brayden Schenn 000 0 71.27 1117:30
63 Jake Neighbours 000 0 30.24 4117:11
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 000 0 30.29 0016:32
89 Pavel Buchnevich 000 0 30.15 0015:13
13 Alexey Toropchenko 011 +1 20.17 3114:33
25 Jordan Kyrou 000 0 40.29 1114:06
28 Otto Stenberg 011 +1 20.15 0113:43
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 000 +1 10.11 2111:59
21 Mathieu Joseph 000 0 10.00 0211:57
29 Jonatan Berggren 101 +1 10.17 0011:21
21 Robby Fabbri 000 0 10.09 1010:04
Defense
6 Philip Broberg 000 0 20.00 0024:59
55 Colton Parayko 000 0 00.00 0722:31
72 Justin Faulk 000 +1 10.00 1220:47
17 Cam Fowler 011 +1 10.09 0018:22
75 Tyler Tucker 000 +1 00.00 3015:19
23 Logan Mailloux 000 +1 10.00 0013:20
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jordan Binnington 26026 1.000 3.75 +3.75

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
45 Alexandre Carrier D +0.83 0.00 0.00 +0.51 +0.30 0.00 +0.02 — 20:12
11 Brendan Gallagher R +0.73 0.00 +0.51 +0.36 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:19
76 Zachary Bolduc R +0.55 0.00 +0.09 +0.46 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 14:03
48 Lane Hutson D +0.44 0.00 +0.04 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 28:03
14 Nick Suzuki C +0.39 0.00 +0.43 -0.25 +0.15 +0.01 +0.05 — 24:21
24 Phillip Danault C +0.32 0.00 +0.27 +0.01 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 15:22
32 Jacob Fowler G +0.29 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.29 56:15
93 Ivan Demidov R +0.14 0.00 +0.17 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 19:38
13 Cole Caufield R +0.07 0.00 +0.25 -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:54
27 Sammy Blais L -0.06 0.00 +0.13 -0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:43
91 Oliver Kapanen C -0.10 0.00 +0.11 -0.22 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:48
8 Mike Matheson D -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 21:22
90 Joseph Veleno C -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.19 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 9:14
62 Owen Beck C -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.19 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 8:02
20 Juraj Slafkovský L -0.25 0.00 +0.06 -0.41 +0.15 -0.01 -0.04 — 20:29
53 Noah Dobson D -0.33 0.00 +0.35 -0.51 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 27:23
85 Alexandre Texier L -0.39 0.00 +0.03 -0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 15:28
47 Jayden Struble D -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:31
72 Arber Xhekaj D -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 7:53

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
50 Jordan Binnington G +3.75 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +3.75 60:00
17 Cam Fowler D +1.43 +0.70 +0.06 +0.68 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:22
29 Jonatan Berggren R +1.40 +0.75 +0.11 +0.61 0.00 -0.01 -0.06 — 11:21
28 Otto Stenberg C +1.19 +0.55 +0.10 +0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 13:43
18 Robert Thomas C +1.07 +0.75 +0.10 +0.26 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 22:33
13 Alexey Toropchenko R +0.99 +0.70 +0.11 +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:33
72 Justin Faulk D +0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.69 +0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 20:47
23 Logan Mailloux D +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:20
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R +0.52 0.00 +0.07 +0.41 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 11:59
10 Brayden Schenn C +0.45 0.00 +0.83 -0.27 -0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 17:30
75 Tyler Tucker D +0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:19
71 Mathieu Joseph R +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.18 +0.15 -0.01 +0.10 — 11:57
25 Jordan Kyrou R +0.42 0.00 +0.19 +0.19 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 14:06
63 Jake Neighbours L +0.26 0.00 +0.16 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:11
9 Robby Fabbri C +0.22 0.00 +0.06 +0.16 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 10:04
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R -0.10 0.00 +0.19 -0.26 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 16:32
89 Pavel Buchnevich L -0.52 0.00 +0.10 -0.29 -0.30 0.00 -0.02 — 15:13
55 Colton Parayko D -0.73 0.00 0.00 -0.91 -0.15 0.00 +0.33 — 22:31
6 Philip Broberg D -0.74 0.00 0.00 -0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 24:59

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.