| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 43 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:50 | Ville Koivunen (2) Ben Kindel (9), Jack St. Ivany (3) · snap xG 0.12 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 8:21 | Dmitri Voronkov (15) Denton Mateychuk (12) · tip-in xG 0.04 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 8:48 | Mason Marchment (9) Adam Fantilli (14), Kirill Marchenko (18) · backhand xG 0.06 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 18:38 | Kirill Marchenko (15) Zach Werenski (29), Denton Mateychuk (13) · snap xG 0.10 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:47 | Zach Werenski (15) Boone Jenner (13), Mathieu Olivier (7) · snap xG 0.03 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 16:51 | Noel Acciari (4) Connor Dewar (7) · wrist xG 0.25 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:28 | Tommy Novak (8)PP Ben Kindel (10) · slap xG 0.09 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 19:46 | Rickard Rakell (6) Anthony Mantha (15), Sidney Crosby (23) · snap xG 0.19 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 2:22 | Sidney Crosby (24) Erik Karlsson (28), Egor Chinakhov (4) · backhand xG 0.22 | 5–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PIT | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.14 | Expected goals | 2.69 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 3.27 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.26 |
| 92 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 67 | Unblocked attempts | 37 |
| 43 | Shots on goal | 25 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:15 | CBJ | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 60–40%
PIT had led since 1:50 of the 1st, by as much as 71% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:47 | PIT | Goalie | Goalie · Silovs −2.5 goals saved
4 goals on 1.47 xG, 13 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:13 | PIT | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · PIT takes the lead, 62–38%
CBJ had led since 17:15 of the 1st, by as much as 66% |
| 18:05 | PIT | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Silovs, down 4–3
With 1:55 left; PIT scored at 19:46 of the 3rd (4–4) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 87 | Sidney Crosby | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.55 | 1 | 0 | 24:34 |
| 67 | Rickard Rakell | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0.61 | 4 | 2 | 24:14 |
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.28 | 0 | 1 | 22:46 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.21 | 1 | 1 | 15:23 |
| 81 | Ben Kindel | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 |
| 46 | Blake Lizotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 3 | 1 | 13:54 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 13:18 |
| 16 | Justin Brazeau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.36 | 1 | 0 | 13:07 |
| 52 | Noel Acciari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.47 | 2 | 0 | 12:43 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 |
| 41 | Ville Koivunen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 11:28 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 65 | Erik Karlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 12 | 0.17 | 0 | 2 | 25:46 |
| 58 | Kris Letang | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 9 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 23:17 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 18:43 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.15 | 0 | 2 | 18:06 |
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 |
| 6 | Jack St. Ivany | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 15:06 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | 25 | 4 | 21 | .840 | 2.69 | -1.31 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 22:08 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.13 | 3 | 0 | 20:49 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.37 | 5 | 0 | 19:14 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 17:37 |
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.35 | 0 | 1 | 16:45 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.23 | 2 | 0 | 16:00 |
| 50 | Brendan Gaunce | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.31 | 1 | 1 | 14:13 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 12:35 |
| 58 | Danton Heinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 2 | 10:42 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 3 | 1 | 10:07 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 09:48 |
| 21 | Zachary Aston-Reese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 09:10 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 28:44 |
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 25:54 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 0.29 | 0 | 2 | 25:01 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 21:14 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 14:37 |
| 2 | Jake Christiansen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 07:06 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 43 | 5 | 38 | .884 | 4.14 | -0.86 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 Ben Kindel C | +1.90 | +1.40 | +0.06 | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.02 | — | 14:01 |
| 87 Sidney Crosby C | +1.73 | +1.30 | +0.36 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 24:34 |
| 55 Noel Acciari C | +1.67 | +0.75 | +0.31 | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:43 |
| 3 Jack St. Ivany D | +1.60 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:06 |
| 19 Connor Dewar C | +1.51 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:18 |
| 41 Ville Koivunen R | +1.42 | +0.75 | +0.28 | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 11:28 |
| 5 Ryan Shea D | +1.18 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:14 |
| 67 Rickard Rakell R | +1.16 | +0.75 | +0.39 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 24:14 |
| 65 Erik Karlsson D | +1.15 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 25:46 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | +1.10 | +0.55 | +0.13 | +0.29 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:38 |
| 46 Blake Lizotte C | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.58 | +0.30 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 13:54 |
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | +0.80 | +0.70 | +0.14 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:23 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:43 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +0.54 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:29 |
| 17 Bryan Rust R | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:46 |
| 16 Justin Brazeau R | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:07 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 23:17 |
| 77 Brett Kulak D | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:06 |
| 37 Arturs Silovs G | -1.31 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.31 | 60:41 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +1.95 | +1.25 | +0.19 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 25:01 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +1.86 | +1.30 | +0.23 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:45 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +1.76 | +1.45 | +0.04 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 25:54 |
| 17 Mason Marchment L | +1.52 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 16:00 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +1.50 | +0.70 | +0.23 | +0.78 | -0.15 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 17:37 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | +0.38 | +0.55 | +0.24 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:14 |
| 16 Brendan Gaunce C | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 14:13 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:48 |
| 27 Zachary Aston-Reese L | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:10 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | -0.01 | +0.70 | +0.08 | -0.75 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 20:49 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | -0.11 | +0.75 | +0.04 | -0.78 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:07 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:14 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.12 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 28:44 |
| 43 Danton Heinen L | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 10:42 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.79 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.12 | — | 22:08 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.81 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 12:35 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | -0.82 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 14:37 |
| 73 Jet Greaves G | -0.86 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.86 | 62:22 |
| 2 Jake Christiansen D | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 7:06 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.