hockeystats.io

Carolina HurricanesCAR 3–1 Final New Jersey DevilsNJD

Sunday, January 4, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Carolina HurricanesCAR 111 3 29
New Jersey DevilsNJD 100 1 29

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:51 CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (11) Unassisted · xG 0.91 1–0 ▶
7:34 NJD Dawson Mercer (11) Arseny Gritsyuk (10), Jonas Siegenthaler (4) · wrist xG 0.21 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
7:47 CAR Taylor Hall (8) Unassisted · poke xG 0.12 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
12:16 CAR Logan Stankoven (7) Taylor Hall (12) · wrist xG 0.05 3–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CAR 62%Deserve to win38% NJD
CARNJD
3.89Expected goals2.70
3Goals (no shootout)1
2.84Expected goals, 5 on 51.24
51Shot attempts60
41Unblocked attempts42
29Shots on goal29

Shot map

CAR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NJD shoots
Nikolaj Ehlers: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 0:49) Shayne Gostisbehere: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:50) Shayne Gostisbehere: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:34) Sean Walker: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:37) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:51) Luke Glendening: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:17) Nikolaj Ehlers: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:35) Arseny Gritsyuk: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:15) Jordan Martinook: deflected, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:03) Jack Hughes: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:05) Colton White: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:49) Nico Hischier: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:45) Andrei Svechnikov: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:58) Nikolaj Ehlers: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:06) Jackson Blake: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:13) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:17) Sean Walker: wrist, 76 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:53) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:54) Logan Stankoven: poke, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:55) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:11) Taylor Hall: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:28) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:59) Sebastian Aho: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:35) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 15:36) Sean Walker: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:23) Eric Robinson: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:42) Nico Hischier: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:39) William Carrier: backhand, 156 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:15) Timo Meier: snap, 171 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:34) Jesper Bratt: snap, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:43) Sebastian Aho: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:06) Sean Walker: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:19) Jackson Blake: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:10) Andrei Svechnikov: deflected, 4 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 2:40) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:41) Taylor Hall: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:45) Sean Walker: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:46) Nico Hischier: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:58) Sean Walker: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:09) Timo Meier: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:10) Connor Brown: deflected, 15 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 8:54) Joel Nystrom: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:25) Luke Hughes: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:59) Arseny Gritsyuk: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:44) Dawson Mercer: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 14:50) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:57) Dawson Mercer: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:00) Joel Nystrom: slap, 179 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 17:15) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:21) Brett Pesce: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:13) Noah Philp: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 2:34) Jack Hughes: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:56) Nico Hischier: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:04) Nico Hischier: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 3:05) Stefan Noesen: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:05) Nico Hischier: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 3:07) Jack Hughes: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 3:42) Jack Hughes: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:35) Jack Hughes: deflected, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:48) Connor Brown: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:11) Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:48) Jackson Blake: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:57) Taylor Hall: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.33 (P3 10:00) Joel Nystrom: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:04) Juho Lammikko: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:28) Jesper Bratt: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:15) Jesper Bratt: tip-in, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:20) Nico Hischier: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 12:28) Jesper Bratt: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:30) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:45) Jackson Blake: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 15:07) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:20) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:26) Jordan Martinook: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.53 (P3 17:05) Cody Glass: slap, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:13) Timo Meier: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 18:31) Luke Hughes: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:38) Timo Meier: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 19:40) Timo Meier: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.27 (P3 19:42) Nikolaj Ehlers: GOAL, shot, 8 ft, xG 0.91 (P1 0:51) Dawson Mercer: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 7:34) Taylor Hall: GOAL, poke, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 7:47) Logan Stankoven: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:16)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
20 Sebastian Aho 000 +1 20.10 0021:08
48 Jordan Martinook 000 0 30.57 2219:56
11 Jordan Staal 000 0 00.00 1217:11
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 101 +1 61.16 0016:20
37 Andrei Svechnikov 000 +1 30.21 0015:34
71 Taylor Hall 112 +1 40.56 1015:07
53 Jackson Blake 000 +1 40.38 0014:57
22 Logan Stankoven 101 +1 60.30 0012:58
28 William Carrier 000 0 10.00 5011:26
15 Noah Philp 000 0 10.15 2010:48
50 Eric Robinson 000 0 10.05 3009:42
77 Mark Jankowski 000 0 00.00 0308:24
Defense
26 Sean Walker 000 +1 70.14 1423:55
19 K'Andre Miller 000 +1 20.01 0123:22
4 Shayne Gostisbehere 000 -1 30.13 0321:39
5 Jalen Chatfield 000 +1 30.04 0121:26
21 Alexander Nikishin 000 0 10.00 1114:23
64 Joel Nystrom 000 +2 40.10 0112:11
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Brandon Bussi 29128 .966 2.70 +1.70

New Jersey Devils

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Nico Hischier 000 -1 90.63 3025:16
86 Jack Hughes 000 -1 60.28 0024:55
63 Jesper Bratt 000 -1 60.10 0023:25
28 Timo Meier 000 -1 70.49 2220:36
91 Dawson Mercer 101 -1 50.49 0118:58
81 Arseny Gritsyuk 011 -1 40.12 0115:49
16 Connor Brown 000 0 20.11 0014:51
11 Stefan Noesen 000 0 10.06 1011:27
12 Cody Glass 000 0 10.04 2211:13
81 Ondrej Palat 000 0 00.00 5109:10
41 Luke Glendening 000 0 10.09 1007:47
83 Juho Lammikko 000 0 10.08 2005:52
Defense
7 Dougie Hamilton 000 +1 70.09 1025:27
43 Luke Hughes 000 -2 60.11 0022:43
71 Jonas Siegenthaler 011 0 10.00 1019:04
22 Brett Pesce 000 -3 20.01 0217:46
5 Brenden Dillon 000 0 00.00 3013:58
6 Colton White 000 0 10.01 1009:59
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jake Allen 29327 .931 3.36 +0.36

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L +2.93 +0.75 +0.75 +1.45 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:20
71 Taylor Hall L +2.85 +1.45 +0.36 +0.91 +0.15 +0.01 -0.04 — 15:07
26 Sean Walker D +1.85 0.00 +0.09 +1.74 -0.15 0.00 +0.18 — 23:55
19 K'Andre Miller D +1.79 0.00 0.00 +1.77 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 23:22
32 Brandon Bussi G +1.70 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.70 60:00
20 Sebastian Aho C +1.67 0.00 +0.06 +1.58 0.00 +0.05 -0.02 — 21:08
53 Jackson Blake R +1.50 0.00 +0.24 +1.11 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:57
37 Andrei Svechnikov R +1.48 0.00 +0.14 +1.51 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 15:34
22 Logan Stankoven C +1.46 +0.75 +0.20 +0.82 -0.30 0.00 0.00 — 12:58
64 Joel Nystrom D +0.69 0.00 +0.06 +0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:11
48 Jordan Martinook L +0.35 0.00 +0.37 -0.13 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 19:56
5 Jalen Chatfield D +0.31 0.00 +0.03 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:26
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D +0.07 0.00 +0.09 -0.31 +0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 21:39
21 Alexander Nikishin D -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:23
28 William Carrier L -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:26
15 Noah Philp C -0.04 0.00 +0.10 -0.12 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 10:48
11 Jordan Staal C -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.14 -0.15 +0.02 +0.10 — 17:11
77 Mark Jankowski L -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 8:24
50 Eric Robinson L -0.25 0.00 +0.03 -0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:42

New Jersey Devils

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
91 Dawson Mercer C +0.66 +0.75 +0.32 -0.26 -0.15 -0.05 +0.05 — 18:58
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R +0.55 +0.70 +0.08 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:49
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D +0.53 +0.55 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:04
34 Jake Allen G +0.36 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.36 55:44
7 Dougie Hamilton D +0.27 0.00 +0.06 +0.38 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 25:27
28 Timo Meier R +0.14 0.00 +0.32 -0.25 0.00 -0.01 +0.08 — 20:36
11 Stefan Noesen R +0.10 0.00 +0.04 +0.07 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:27
14 Luke Glendening C +0.08 0.00 +0.06 +0.07 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 7:47
83 Juho Lammikko C +0.06 0.00 +0.05 +0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 5:52
45 Colton White D -0.34 0.00 +0.01 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 9:59
5 Brenden Dillon D -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:58
12 Cody Glass C -0.42 0.00 +0.03 -0.68 +0.15 -0.02 +0.10 — 11:13
16 Connor Brown R -0.49 0.00 +0.07 -0.54 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:51
13 Nico Hischier C -0.62 0.00 +0.41 -1.21 +0.15 +0.07 -0.04 — 25:16
18 Ondrej Palat L -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.68 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 9:10
86 Jack Hughes C -0.85 0.00 +0.18 -1.14 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 24:55
63 Jesper Bratt L -1.09 0.00 +0.07 -1.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 23:25
43 Luke Hughes D -1.63 0.00 +0.07 -1.81 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 22:43
22 Brett Pesce D -1.96 0.00 +0.01 -2.07 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:46

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.